Watch me be wrong.
When will Dolly Form?
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TheStormExpert
Re: When will Dolly Form?
Saturday June 6th at precisely 06z, location south-central GoM just north of the Yucatán!
Watch me be wrong.
Watch me be wrong.
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
Global models are starting to come to a bit of a consensus on a STC forming in the NW open Atlantic around Tuesday the 9th and Wednesday the 10th. Right now the people who voted for June 3-10 have a good chance of being right.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Stormi
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
I'm guessing Dolly will make her appearance mid-June, coming through the MDR. June 11th-20th was my vote.
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
I'm thinking Mid-June, considering the start the season is off to already.
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
This is for you young forecasters: My mentor's explained, always look for the next system's when busy with the current. Never be surprised. It could kill you or your friends. We analyzed imagery for bad actors. Same thing in as sense.
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TheStormExpert
Re: When will Dolly Form?
TheStormExpert wrote:Saturday June 6th at precisely 06z, location south-central GoM just north of the Yucatán!
Watch me be wrong.
24hrs. later and this did not age well!
Anyways I will just go back to my original guess of between June 11th-20th.
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cycloneye
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
This poll is closed for voting with 61 participants but you can still post comments.
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Miami Storm Tracker
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CyclonicFury
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
June 23rd.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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AnnularCane
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
CyclonicFury wrote:June 23rd.
Cheater!
So much for my July "prediction," although I'm not sure it really counts anyway since it was a wild guess and I never actually voted.
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cycloneye
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
CyclonicFury wrote:June 23rd.
Congratulations.
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northjaxpro
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
Well, I had the correct date (today), but the wrong region of the basin. At the time I made the predix, i obviously did not think Dolly.would form where it is now.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: When will Dolly Form?
northjaxpro wrote:Well, I had the correct date (today), but the wrong region of the basin. At the time I made the predix, i obviously did not think Dolly.would form where it is now.
Hey, right date and was west of 60W..... if this were horse-shoes you'd be pretty damn close.
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Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
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northjaxpro
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Re: When will Dolly Form?
chaser1 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Well, I had the correct date (today), but the wrong region of the basin. At the time I made the predix, i obviously did not think Dolly.would form where it is now.
Hey, right date and was west of 60W..... if this were horse-shoes you'd be pretty damn close.
Or hand ģranades huh. Thanks Chaser!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Jun 24, 2020 10:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: When will Dolly Form?
northjaxpro wrote:chaser1 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Well, I had the correct date (today), but the wrong region of the basin. At the time I made the predix, i obviously did not think Dolly.would form where it is now.
Hey, right date and was west of 60W..... if this were horse-shoes you'd be pretty damn close.
Speaking of hand-grenades, wonder if Edouard might just be the next one in about 10 days? I'm gonna guess right on July 4 but down in the far Western Caribbean. Time for another poll
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Andy D
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