ATL: DOLLY - Remnants
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
the llc is almost completely stacked now..
and umm.. there is definitely, although shallow, convection rotating around that eye feature..
looks like it is trying.. if some fresh convection builds in that ring ... looks like we might get a quick hurricane out of dolly lol
and umm.. there is definitely, although shallow, convection rotating around that eye feature..
looks like it is trying.. if some fresh convection builds in that ring ... looks like we might get a quick hurricane out of dolly lol
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Aric Dunn wrote:the llc is almost completely stacked now..
and umm.. there is definitely, although shallow, convection rotating around that eye feature..
looks like it is trying.. if some fresh convection builds in that ring ... looks like we might get a quick hurricane out of dolly lol
https://i.ibb.co/S3rwCx6/LABELS-19700101-000000-5.gif
She’s getting her act together really quickly. I hope the NHC goes with 50-55 kt for the 5 pm update.
Meanwhile, I better start preparing for the taste of hat...
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
aspen wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:the llc is almost completely stacked now..
and umm.. there is definitely, although shallow, convection rotating around that eye feature..
looks like it is trying.. if some fresh convection builds in that ring ... looks like we might get a quick hurricane out of dolly lol
https://i.ibb.co/S3rwCx6/LABELS-19700101-000000-5.gif
She’s getting her act together really quickly. I hope the NHC goes with 50-55 kt for the 5 pm update.
Meanwhile, I better start preparing for the taste of hat...
sure reminds of hurricane vince from 2005. different regions obviously but marginal ssts cold air aloft.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
aspen wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:the llc is almost completely stacked now..
and umm.. there is definitely, although shallow, convection rotating around that eye feature..
looks like it is trying.. if some fresh convection builds in that ring ... looks like we might get a quick hurricane out of dolly lol
https://i.ibb.co/S3rwCx6/LABELS-19700101-000000-5.gif
She’s getting her act together really quickly. I hope the NHC goes with 50-55 kt for the 5 pm update.
Meanwhile, I better start preparing for the taste of hat...
Pics or it didn’t happen lol
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- cainjamin
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Dolly is looking really good with that proto-eye. The strength of the convection is definitely waning a little though - the northern half of the circulation is starting to move over 21-23 degree waters. Probably means that upper level winds aren't mixing down to the surface very well. I'd bet the NHC will up to 50KT at the 5:00pm update but I doubt they would go much higher without concrete evidence of higher winds.
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
aspen wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:the llc is almost completely stacked now..
and umm.. there is definitely, although shallow, convection rotating around that eye feature..
looks like it is trying.. if some fresh convection builds in that ring ... looks like we might get a quick hurricane out of dolly lol
https://i.ibb.co/S3rwCx6/LABELS-19700101-000000-5.gif
She’s getting her act together really quickly. I hope the NHC goes with 50-55 kt for the 5 pm update.
Meanwhile, I better start preparing for the taste of hat...
It probably won't taste half bad if seasoned properly. Might be a little chewy though.
2 likes
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
There are some bubbles just under the canopy on the NW side... if sustained they will start overshooting .. then we will know this is deepening.
still fairly shallow.
still fairly shallow.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Really? Unchanged from 40 kt? This is at least 45 kt if not close to 60 kt. I hope Dolly keeps herself together long enough for an upgrade.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Talk about underestimated. Definitely looks significantly stronger
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Now it looks like it’s weakening. Convection has become shallower and the eye-like feature is less prominent.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Well so much for a "burned" name, Dolly is looking like a worthy storm after all.
Aspen, you might need to start marinating that hat.
I might follow ya and eat my socks if Dolly becomes a Hurricane.
Aspen, you might need to start marinating that hat.
I might follow ya and eat my socks if Dolly becomes a Hurricane.
4 likes
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Dolly was looking really cute there for a bit but unfortunately all the convection is gone. She took pity on all you potential clothing-eaters, it would seem.
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I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
They definitely need to up her intensity in post season analysis
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
Also of note, this is the 4th well organized system we've had so far.
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Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm
At this rate, I will not be eating any hat. Dolly’s convection has significantly waned and it almost looks subtropical again.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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