Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cainjamin
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 168
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2017 1:38 pm
Location: Nova Scotia, Canada

Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#1 Postby cainjamin » Mon Jun 08, 2020 10:31 am

https://i.imgur.com/DDY9ClY.mp4

Very impressive wave for early June out around 8N 45W, can even see some low level turning in the lower clouds. Likely a very transient feature as conditions are not favourable, but still a fun little thing to watch so early in the season!
2 likes   
Noel '07, Kyle '08, Earl '10, Arthur '14, Dorian '19, Teddy '20, Lee '23

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145306
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 08, 2020 11:02 am

Closeup shows the impressive inverted V signature and there is a weak turning.

Image
11 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2907
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#3 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Jun 08, 2020 11:04 am

Oh wow, that's really impressive! :D
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#4 Postby SFLcane » Mon Jun 08, 2020 11:16 am

CCKW doing its thing.
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#5 Postby NDG » Mon Jun 08, 2020 11:23 am

Not bad looking for this time of the year. The one approaching Trinidad and Tobago is not bad looking either.
I remember back in 2017 how the TWs were very impressive in June, with the same low latitude as these two.
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4762
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#6 Postby psyclone » Mon Jun 08, 2020 11:32 am

This is more evidence of peak season trouble...yet another foreshock..
5 likes   

User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2367
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#7 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Jun 08, 2020 3:59 pm

There is some definite low level spin there too
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#8 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jun 08, 2020 4:07 pm

actually has a very vigorous circulation. not quite to the surface but if convection can build some more.. this was that Dry wave from yesterday at 40 west that looked good.

hmmm..
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#9 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jun 08, 2020 4:12 pm

also the wave near the islands also produced and vigorous closed low level vort. that will travel to the western carrib and likely get things going there..

then this one will likely be the final catalyst for development in the western carrib.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

wayne1701
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 11
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2020 3:38 pm

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#10 Postby wayne1701 » Mon Jun 08, 2020 9:14 pm

When the basin produces a early season cyclone in the MDR, it's time to lace up your tracking shoe's.
1 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic

#11 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jun 08, 2020 9:34 pm

the wave was shear alway tonight
0 likes   

User avatar
Nancy Smar
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1081
Age: 24
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm

Area to develop E of the Windward Islands

#12 Postby Nancy Smar » Wed Jun 10, 2020 6:17 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 102308
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A well-defined tropical wave is located about 425 miles east of the
Windward Islands, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Although further development is not expected due to dry air and
adverse upper-level winds, some areas of heavy rain and gusty winds
are possible across portions of the Windward Islands on Thursday
and Thursday night while the wave moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
1 likes   

User avatar
Nancy Smar
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1081
Age: 24
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm

Re: Area to develop E of the Windward Islands

#13 Postby Nancy Smar » Wed Jun 10, 2020 6:27 pm

A tropical wave is along 54W/55W from 13N southward moving W at
15-20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
noted from 10N-12N between 54W-56W, with additional deep
convection inland over French Guiana and Suriname. Some areas of
heavy rain and gusty winds are possible across portions of the
Windward Islands on Thursday and Thursday night as the wave
continues westward.
0 likes   

User avatar
ouragans
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 490
Age: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:09 pm
Location: Abymes, Guadeloupe F.W.I
Contact:

Re: Area to develop E of the Windward Islands

#14 Postby ouragans » Wed Jun 10, 2020 7:12 pm

There was already a topic about that wave
0 likes   
Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.

David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145306
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#15 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 10, 2020 7:19 pm

I merged the posts of the other thread to the original one that had this wave.Also edited the title.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#16 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jun 10, 2020 8:34 pm

this wave will be gone by thur as shear over leedwards will destroy it
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#17 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 11, 2020 3:29 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#18 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 11, 2020 3:30 am

This is the wave the models have been jumping back and forth on that may develop a warm core in the west Carib.
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#19 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 11, 2020 3:38 am

Nothing to worry about in terms of SAL

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Tropical Wave East of Windward Islands

#20 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 11, 2020 3:40 am

Its actually firing due to the fact its interacting with a shear axis; not totally engulfed in shear.

Image

Image
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: BobHarlem, Hurricanehink, hurricanes1234, jaguars_22, SFLcane, StormWeather, USTropics and 42 guests