Texas Spring 2020

[weatherdude1108]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

[Cpv17]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

Congrats! That’s a nice rain. Probably not much runoff either which makes it even better.

[JDawg512]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

Last I checked over 3 inches have fallen but will wait a bit before I check since it's still raining.

[Haris]

2" here W of Austin. Over 4-6" just S of Austin though. Insane rains today! The rates were torrential! Just the start. more ahead this weekend!

[South Texas Storms]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

Nice! North side of SA also cashed in today with close to 1 inch in some areas. More on the way this weekend too!

[gpsnowman]

Congrats to all the rain starved folks down south. Nice totals from there. Let's hope this state wide rainy pattern can continue until the summer nastiness hits all of us.

[weatherdude1108]

Gained another 0.25", making it 1.25"

[weatherdude1108]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

Congrats! That’s a nice rain. Probably not much runoff either which makes it even better.

Yeah, whatever puddled up in my usual spots in the yard, soaked in within an hour or so.

[weatherdude1108]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

Nice! North side of SA also cashed in today with close to 1 inch in some areas. More on the way this weekend too!

Awesome! My dad on the north side of SA said he got 0.75" my brother north of airport in SA said he only got 0.17".

[weatherdude1108]

2" here W of Austin. Over 4-6" just S of Austin though. Insane rains today! The rates were torrential! Just the start. more ahead this weekend!

They did get heavy!

[weatherdude1108]

I got an 1" of rain this morning/afternoon, after several bone dry, low humidity soil-drying days. Temps in the 60s/70s and moist. Soil got a drink. I'll take it!

Last I checked over 3 inches have fallen but will wait a bit before I check since it's still raining.

Wow! It looked like the south and central parts of Austin were getting hammered earlier.

[TheAustinMan]

Was great to get a big helping of rain today, though hopefully the flash flooding wasn't too bad. Here's the LCRA Hydromet recap of today's rainfall totals in the Austin area (ignore that 0.20... should be about 1.1" for that area). A bit of something for everyone with totals ranging from a few tenths of an inch to over 5 inches! Could get a similar situation this weekend with a possible mesoscale convective vortex / surface low setting up over Texas.

770 KB. Source: LCRA Hydromet

[bubba hotep]

That is a huge 5" mean contour on the EPS!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I never really trust the models on precip maps more than 120 hours out, but nice to see.

[vbhoutex]

Jeff Lindner's take on our weekend weather:

Strong storm system will move into TX and stall over portions of the state this weekend into early next week.

Several rounds of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall will be possible.

Short wave trough and associated convectively induced small scale low pressure centers that resulted in the heavy rainfall yesterday across portions of central and SE TX has moved into LA this morning. Overnight rainfall averaged 4-5 inches of portions of Jackson County with isolated totals just south of Ganado of up to 8 inches. It is certainly that time of year where mesoscale processes guide much of the weather and yesterday was a good example of that.

With the short wave now east of the area, meso high pressure is in control this morning, but this will be breaking down by early afternoon. Southerly winds and influx of Gulf moisture will return in earnest by early afternoon. With heating and building instability, expect scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop over the region. There is no upstream short wave to help enhance activity like yesterday, so activity this afternoon should be smaller in scale and isolated to scattered in nature.

Similar pattern on Thursday and Friday, but a weak short wave could cross the area Thursday afternoon helping to enhance storm organization. Additionally, we will need to watch how activity evolves over SW/W TX and moves eastward on Thursday and Friday as this could affect the local forecast some.

Weekend:

Concern remains this weekend as a mid and upper level low pressure system moves into TX and slow/stalls over the region. Moisture profiles deepen starting late Friday with PWS at or above 2.0 inches by Saturday morning with a favorable inflow of Gulf moisture progged along the mid and upper TX coast Saturday into Sunday. Numerous complexes of storms will likely develop Friday evening and into Saturday over portions of central and south-central TX and possibly toward the TX coastal bend in associated with this low pressure feature. Pattern favors strong to severe storms and heavy to excessive rainfall. Complex or several complexes of storms will move toward and into SE TX on Saturday. Heavy rainfall threat will be likely with these complexes with significant moisture in place. Only lacking feature at the moment is any sort of defined low level boundary, but I have seen these set ups before that over time tend to force their own low level boundaries from thunderstorm complexes or rain cooled air.

Mid and upper level low moves very little into the early part of next week and will keep moderate to high rain chances going. We have seen such features in the past when sitting in deep tropical air masses behave similar to an inland moving tropical system with very heavy rainfall near their circulation cores at night and in banding features during the day. This will be something that will need to be watched as the system sits and spins over SC/SE TX for several days.

It is still early for any good rainfall totals, but will broadbrush a solid 2-4 inches for most of the area for Saturday and Sunday. These totals will likely change some over the coming days. Isolated totals could be significantly higher, but it is impossible to determine at this time range where such totals mays occur. As noted yesterday in a pattern that was less favorable than this weekend will be, isolated areas were able to pick up 5-8 inches of rainfall.

Flooding will likely become an increasing threat this weekend from SC/C TX into SE TX and linger into the early to mid part of next week. This is certainly a weather pattern to pay attention to as similar setups in the past have produced excessive rainfall and flooding across the state.

[Cpv17]

That is a huge 5" mean contour on the EPS!

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/tx/total_precip_inch/1589328000/1590624000-hmncqLXePME.png

Man, that’s incredible

[Haris]

[Cpv17]

Big change on the 12z Euro. Not nearly as wet

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Big change on the 12z Euro. Not nearly as wet

Yeah, it seems the Low has much more movement and scoots off to the NE. GFS has the ULL going over the GOM.... Thats sketchy enough lol

[JDawg512]

3.67 was the total I recorded at the Rain Cave yesterday. Good start to May.