Texas Spring 2020

[Brent]

HRRR did back off now the NAM tries as it moves through Dallas lol

[HockeyTx82]

So what thus far is inhibiting storm development?

[EnnisTx]

I'm thinking these blowup just West of Ft. Worth. Clear here in Arlington now.

[EnnisTx]

That's one ugly storm headed for Nacogdoches!!

[rwfromkansas]

I am seeing specks of green on radar around eagle mountain etc., which may show something. Maybe.

[EnnisTx]

I am seeing specks of green on radar around eagle mountain etc., which may show something. Maybe.

Cumulus trying to develop out that way.

[Brent]

is it even going to rain at this point

[Ralph's Weather]

Nacogdoches is about to get hit hard. Strong wind, tennis ball sized hail and possible tornado.

[Haris]

Yikes. That’s a strong cap

[captainbarbossa19]

is it even going to rain at this point

I understand that convective systems are more difficult for the models to forecast, but it does seem like they really have been struggling within the past few years. I recall about five years ago that the models seemed to be handling these convective systems better. For example, I remember that if the Euro showed you were going to get rain within three days, it was probably going to rain. Now, it seems like it is much less consistent. Perhaps the algorithms used then were better than the ones in use now.

[EnnisTx]

Nacogdoches is about to get hit hard. Strong wind, tennis ball sized hail and possible tornado.

That sucker has a nasty hail core..

[Ralph's Weather]

Nacogdoches is about to get hit hard. Strong wind, tennis ball sized hail and possible tornado.

That sucker has a nasty hail core..

Looks like a tornado is trying south of Nac heading towards Chireno. There is no chance of seeing a tornado in this storm with the wind and heavy rain.

[HockeyTx82]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/MVxnj5L/1-AD0-C13-D-2453-437-C-A3-D7-E85-EDE1-D9-AE7.png [/url]


Yikes. That’s a strong cap

It's like that person you don't invite but they show up unexpectedly. In this case I'm fine with it. Would be pissed if this was a dry slot or warm nose and we missed out on snow

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

So what thus far is inhibiting storm development?

Delkus is saying there is still a cap in place. I guess forcing from the dry line would help break it?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

[CaptinCrunch]

Little to no developemnt so far with dry line approching DFW metro area. doesn't look good for east Texas as that's now where I believe the highest chances are for severe weather this afternoon.

Cap is strong with this one......

Looks like the dry line is entering western Tarrant Co....

[HockeyTx82]

Dry line looks to be through Decatur......

[CaptinCrunch]

Dry line looks to be through Decatur......

It's past Decatur now


Dry Line coming thru DTW FTW now, wind has really picked up

[Ntxw]

So what thus far is inhibiting storm development?

Delkus is saying there is still a cap in place. I guess forcing from the dry line would help break it?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

They are firing, in Oklahoma where the best upper forcing is.

[CaptinCrunch]

If we could of got the storms that were forecast for this morning then I think they would of weakened the cap enough for storm development this afternoon. Either the models over played the forcing for storms across DFW, or it didn't account for the strenght of the Cap over NCTX.

Dry Line is about to enter Dallas Co....

[bubba hotep]

Looks like maybe a cell trying to fire in SW Denton County.