Texas Winter 2019-2020

Winter Weather Discussion

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2481 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:26 am

With no trends looking good I expect a disappointment. Maybe I can get a little sleet in north FW. But, I’ve been here enough to know that wishing against the models is foolish. I AM excited we will see a good winter storm even if it doesn’t impact us much.

Even if the front is ahead of schedule I expect us to get screwed with WAA being stronger.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2482 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:29 am

What a giant waste apparently we still can't get winter storms here and I absolutely hate the gfs all those runs for days and days absolutely dead wrong. Like why even bother looking at it

But I knew when the Euro kept showing rain too..
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2483 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:41 am

guys it wouldn't surprise me on bit yall see snow, models struggle on this man!!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2484 Postby mcallum177 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:51 am

The latest NAM shows point soundings for Decatur and Bowie to be 33 and 31 ish respectively. On WUnderground the current readings are about 41 and 39 ish. Is this because Decatur and Bowie are at a higher elevation and sitting in the warm nose?
Last edited by mcallum177 on Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2485 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:52 am

stormlover2013 wrote:guys it wouldn't surprise me on bit yall see snow, models struggle on this man!!!!

Normally I agree, but there’s usually one model showing something promising if that occurs—nada this time.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2486 Postby somethingfunny » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:53 am

somethingfunny wrote:As a general manager of a Domino's Pizza in Dallas, y'all are making my heart pound with anxiety.

I've gotta make some staffing decisions tomorrow :roll: I should bring in extra people Wednesday anyway with a cold rain forecast, but if schools cancel.... Yikes!!

I'm not anticipating anything frozen impacting the roads in Dallas during the day or dinnertime Wednesday and I think I'm going to put my money on that call. More concerned about Thursday morning if anything.


I'm calling in one extra insider and one extra driver to help with the business spike expected from cold rain. Not biting on the snow/ice scenario here in North Dallas. That would require Super Bowl type staffing.... And I just don't see it happening.

Typically when I bring in extra people the weather doesn't materialize and when I ignore the forecast we get wrecked by unexpected weather. So we'll see. :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2487 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Feb 04, 2020 8:54 am

HRRR is way warmer tomorrow. I don't believe it but another negative sign.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2488 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:03 am

You win some and you lose some! Good thing it’s only the 4th of February. :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2489 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:04 am

mcallum177 wrote:The latest NAM shows point soundings for Decatur and Bowie to be 33 and 31 ish respectively. On WUnderground the current readings are about 41 and 39 ish. Is this because Decatur and Bowie are at a higher elevation and sitting in the warm nose?


Yikes. Well, that I think ends any hope for DFW. Congrats to WF though. They have been long overdue as well.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2490 Postby starsfan65 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:07 am

rwfromkansas wrote:
mcallum177 wrote:The latest NAM shows point soundings for Decatur and Bowie to be 33 and 31 ish respectively. On WUnderground the current readings are about 41 and 39 ish. Is this because Decatur and Bowie are at a higher elevation and sitting in the warm nose?


Yikes. Well, that I think ends any hope for DFW. Congrats to WF though. They have been long overdue as well.
Ya'll going to give up hope?
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2491 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:10 am

I'm siding with the NWS on this where FTW & Dallas will be the dividing line on freezing precip. .50" of freezing rain/sleet for eastern Tarrant with higher amounts as you move NW, and from DTW FTW to the west and NW you have a better chance for some of the precip to transition to snow for maybe a .10" with a cold rain mixed with sleet for points east of the airport and hwy 181.

Tarrant county may have some major travel problems wednesday while Dallas will be in the good. Also the front has move through DTN FTW, it was 61 when I left the house, got to work and the N/NW wind is gusty and a 10 degree temp drop, so the front is still ahead of the forecast by several hours
Last edited by CaptinCrunch on Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:14 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2492 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:10 am

Models struggle with temps and cold, when you get these events its usually a surprise
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2493 Postby dhweather » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:14 am

This weather pattern stinks. A delightful cold rain, woohoo. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2494 Postby losf1981 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:14 am

rwfromkansas wrote:
mcallum177 wrote:The latest NAM shows point soundings for Decatur and Bowie to be 33 and 31 ish respectively. On WUnderground the current readings are about 41 and 39 ish. Is this because Decatur and Bowie are at a higher elevation and sitting in the warm nose?


Yikes. Well, that I think ends any hope for DFW. Congrats to WF though. They have been long overdue as well.


We're still in a "believe it when we see it" situation here in WF. We've been scorned so much over the last couple of years that we're not going to get ahead of ourselves just yet. Currently 36 degrees. Feels like 30.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2495 Postby Snowflake7 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:21 am

Well this has depleted my excitement! I thought for sure we'd get a little something out of it..... Hello spring.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2496 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:23 am

WOW! Look at all these negative Nancy' this morning. It isn't over till the big boned lady sings (Politically correct) and she's still warming up... 8-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2497 Postby funster » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:23 am

Looks like a Big Cold Rainy but with the heavy precip it wouldn't take but 30 minutes of frozen precip to change things in Dallas. Winter hopes :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2498 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:24 am

The rain is beautiful this morning. It was beautiful last night too. I’m very glad it’s not dry and not hot.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2499 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:26 am

EnnisTx wrote:WOW! Look at all these negative Nancy' this morning. It isn't over till the big boned lady sings (Politically correct) and she's still warming up... 8-)



Just like our temps...... :spam:

All sarcasm aside the chance is still there from what I was seeing on the local weather this morning. More likely we may not but it's not zero. Crazy how just 25-50 miles can make all the difference
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#2500 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Feb 04, 2020 9:28 am

EnnisTx wrote:Looks like the front is between Decatur 44' and Alliance Airport at 63 degrees and they're about 20 miles apart.


Front is through Fort Worth Meacham Field at 48 degrees a 15 degree drop in an hour.
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