Texas Winter 2019-2020

[bubba hotep]

Where is the hype train? 00z Euro

[Cerlin]

Where is the hype train? 00z Euro

https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020011300/240/sn10_acc.us_sc.png

A lot of us are from DFW and that’s no better than what we got Saturday for us, so that’s why it’s pretty quiet.

[gpsnowman]

Where is the hype train? 00z Euro

https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020011300/240/sn10_acc.us_sc.png

https://youtu.be/5qPAOarQxaU
Right here Bubba!!

[stormlover2013]

well all know to not get on the hype train unless it's about 2-3 days before

[Cpv17]

well all know to not get on the hype train unless it's about 2-3 days before

Yeah that’s for sure! A few years ago I would’ve been on it, but I’ve learned my lesson!

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

well all know to not get on the hype train unless it's actually happening.

Fixed it for you

[wxman57]

Where is the hype train? 00z Euro

https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020011300/240/sn10_acc.us_sc.png

A lot of us are from DFW and that’s no better than what we got Saturday for us, so that’s why it’s pretty quiet.

That map indicates 10-20 times the snow you got Saturday (.02 vs. .2 to .4). How much snow is enough for the year? Time to turn up the heat...

[Cerlin]

Where is the hype train? 00z Euro

https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020011300/240/sn10_acc.us_sc.png

A lot of us are from DFW and that’s no better than what we got Saturday for us, so that’s why it’s pretty quiet.

That map indicates 10-20 times the snow you got Saturday (.02 vs. .2 to .4). How much snow is enough for the year? Time to turn up the heat...

That’s a completely valid take. I sort’ve meant that I am still satisfied from Saturday and therefore don’t need to feel a part of a hype train unless it’s widespread heavy snow.

[Ralph's Weather]

Where is the hype train? 00z Euro

https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020011300/240/sn10_acc.us_sc.png

I am struggling to see how that upper air pattern would have that reflection at the surface. A deep early week trough moves through followed by a mid week closed SW low that cuts NE through the Panhandle should advect way too much warmth for snow SE of the low's path. Odd and I discount it for now.

GFS makes more sense with a similar storm to this past weekend for early next week.

[orangeblood]

GEFS starting to hone in on Jan. 20-21st time frame....540-546 thicknesses well into Texas with light precip

[Cpv17]

GEFS starting to hone in on Jan. 20-21st time frame....540-546 thicknesses well into Texas with light precip

https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020011312/SGP/GEFSSGP_prec_meanprec_192.png

Why aren’t the operationals showing anything?

[Ralph's Weather]

GEFS eliminates the SE ridge after this week. Looks like a progressive pattern but with low heights so any amplification could produce winter fun, but it will be hard to forecast specific events long range.

[CaptinCrunch]

The change may finally be happening, February may end up saving our Winter from the clutches of old man wxman57 and his imaginary wall of doom.

[Ralph's Weather]

The change may finally be happening, February may end up saving our Winter from the clutches of old man wxman57 and his imaginary wall of doom.

It is almost always Feb/early March for us.

[Cpv17]

The change may finally be happening, February may end up saving our Winter from the clutches of old man wxman57 and his imaginary wall of doom.

What are y’all seeing that makes you think that?

[Ralph's Weather]

Looks like we are nearing the pattern flip that everyone has been waiting on. The eastern 2/3 of the US will be under a good winter pattern finally come next week and it appears to have staying power. The southern jet looks to become dominant. After this weekend the GFS nor GEFS has any 50s, though no signs of cold either. Both also show near constant precip chances. With this pattern any decent shortwave could produce snow. We won't have to spend 10 days waiting on one potential storm that may or may not pan out.

[orangeblood]

Euro ENS coming around as well for next Monday/Tuesday....

[ThunderSleetDreams]

The change may finally be happening, February may end up saving our Winter from the clutches of old man wxman57 and his imaginary wall of doom.

What are y’all seeing that makes you think that?

Same thing I’ve been saying on here and wxinfinity ad nauseum since late December.... the Pacific wasn’t going to fail us, the heavy cold is on our side of the globe and we don’t have an anomalous NAO this year.

I don’t have to look at the models to know we were going to get our shot in the last half of January and into February. Throw in the subtropical jet and we look good into early Spring

[harp]

All I know is there has been some EXTREMELY cold air up in Canada. It just never is transported down to our area.

[orangeblood]

Another variable that's really standing out in the Long Term...it appears a big chunk of the Northern Hemisphere is about to have a massive cool down!!!