Texas Winter 2019-2020

[Yukon Cornelius]

Nice cold and frosty morning. Made it down to 19 with a really heavy frost.

[Haris]

31F this morning. At least it feels like winter right now

[Cerlin]

Good freeze this morning. Excited to start watching models in February.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I have a bet with a friend of mine. It will get below 30F at my station in Sugar Land 3 times this season. Putting alot of faith in a -EPO environment. It was a cold end to October, cold half of November, based off of this we, we said December would be warm. Have to be patient folks!

[ThunderSleetDreams]

I have a bet with a friend of mine. It will get below 30F at my station in Sugar Land 3 times this season. Putting alot of faith in a -EPO environment. It was a cold end to October, cold half of November, based off of this we, we said December would be warm. Have to be patient folks!

A lot of people here want to live in a vacuum. Because it got cold last November and was mild the rest of the season, it must be that way this year too. I can point to some analogs where November was freezing, December was mild and January/February turned in some doozies. We had one in 2014-2015. There was 2008 or 2009 (can't recall which year), there was 2003 then the infamous late 70s and mid 80s.

Our NPAC is much more favorable and the background state is more favorable. Coupled with a 'non-warm' region 1+2, and a Pacific that is progressing towards our cold phases, I think its fairly safe to see some Arctic air in January and the first part of February.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Something to watch in the long range. Our source region is frigid and -30s and -40s are slipping into Montana.

[Ralph's Weather]

We gotta watch for potential snow Friday night into Saturday with the upper low staying tightly closed. These systems can really over produce.

[South Texas Storms]

We gotta watch for potential snow Friday night into Saturday with the upper low staying tightly closed. These systems can really over produce.

Snow looks unlikely, but this system being deeper will now help to keep temperatures chilly across much of the state through the weekend. A big change from a few days ago when a warming trend was expected to begin. That now looks to hold off until next week, and wxman57's warm Christmas prediction doesn't look very warm anymore. I'm expecting seasonal temperatures for Christmas across much of Texas.

Hopefully parched south central TX can get some much needed rain from this system...our chances are increasing!

[Ralph's Weather]

We gotta watch for potential snow Friday night into Saturday with the upper low staying tightly closed. These systems can really over produce.

Snow looks unlikely, but this system being deeper will now help to keep temperatures chilly across much of the state through the weekend. A big change from a few days ago when a warming trend was expected to begin. That now looks to hold off until next week, and wxman57's warm Christmas prediction doesn't look very warm anymore. I'm expecting seasonal temperatures for Christmas across much of Texas.

Hopefully parched south central TX can get some much needed rain from this system...our chances are increasing!

It'll be interesting but if we get sub 0C at 850mb which is very possible then we def could see snow. Surface would likely start in the low 40s to high 30s but would likely wet bulb down into the upper 30s.

[CaptinCrunch]

Made it down to 27F this morning with a WC of 20F.

Keep the faith my winter loving fools, the pendulum will swing the other way, and we shall all rejoice in the winter games of 2020.

Remember the Dallas Stars are hosting the Winter Classic @ the Cotton Bowl, so it will get cold.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

We gotta watch for potential snow Friday night into Saturday with the upper low staying tightly closed. These systems can really over produce.

Snow looks unlikely, but this system being deeper will now help to keep temperatures chilly across much of the state through the weekend. A big change from a few days ago when a warming trend was expected to begin. That now looks to hold off until next week, and wxman57's warm Christmas prediction doesn't look very warm anymore. I'm expecting seasonal temperatures for Christmas across much of Texas.

Hopefully parched south central TX can get some much needed rain from this system...our chances are increasing!

It'll be interesting but if we get sub 0C at 850mb which is very possible then we def could see snow. Surface would likely start in the low 40s to high 30s but would likely wet bulb down into the upper 30s.

I’ll be in Longview so bring it!

[weatherdude1108]

Something to watch in the long range. Our source region is frigid and -30s and -40s are slipping into Montana.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019121706/gfs_T2m_namer_62.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019121706/gfs_z500a_namer_61.png

My brother was saying how areas in AK (Yukon area) will stay below 0 degrees F for a while. I looked it up. That's some serious cold up there! It has to go somewhere(?).

Fort Yukon AK
Today: Sunny, with a high near -10. Wind chill values as low as -45. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around -23. Wind chill values as low as -45. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near -19. Wind chill values as low as -45. Northeast wind around 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around -39. Wind chill values as low as -55. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near -34. Calm wind.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -40.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near -33.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around -39.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near -29.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -38.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near -31.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -38.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near -23.

Wind Chill Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
440 AM AKST Tue Dec 17 2019

AKZ220-180300-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0017.191218T0300Z-191218T2100Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
Including Fort Yukon, Venetie, Central, Circle, Stevens Village,
Beaver, Chalkyitsik, Birch Creek, Circle Hot Springs,
Eagle Summit, and Twelvemile Summit
440 AM AKST Tue Dec 17 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills
will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed
skin. Expect wind chills to range from 15 below zero to 50
below zero.

* WHERE...Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands.

* WHEN...6 PM this evening to noon Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will warm this morning with
clouds moving through the area, then cool rapidly in the
afternoon and evening as skies clear.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$



https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... TextType=2

[Yukon Cornelius]

Something to watch in the long range. Our source region is frigid and -30s and -40s are slipping into Montana.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019121706/gfs_T2m_namer_62.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019121706/gfs_z500a_namer_61.png

I’ll be in central CO at my parents cabin during that timeframe!

[wxman57]

Looks like sunny and low 70s for Houston on Christmas - according to the 12Z Euro.

[TheProfessor]

The 12z GFS has me getting snow in Louisiana on New Years Eve lol. Not impossible, but very unlikely.

[aggiecutter1]

Cat 5 in the Gulf in December


image uploader

[TheProfessor]

Cat 5 in the Gulf in December

[url]https://i.ibb.co/ByJg4YQ/Hurricane.png [/url]
image uploader

Yeah this might disrupt our plans to travel up to DC on Sunday. Models are keeping the storm suppressed, but unfortunately it's over where we need to start our drive lol.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Another cold and frosty 19 degree morning. I think the low was forecasted at 25.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

33F here in Sugar Land.

[Ralph's Weather]

22 in Hideaway. Thankfully cold seems much easier to get this season than last so when the pattern turns in a couple weeks we should be in good shape. But I agree with others in that we need rain this winter.