Texas Winter 2019-2020

Winter Weather Discussion

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TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#561 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Dec 16, 2019 1:56 pm

harp wrote:GFS keeps trying to bring cold air down a few days after Christmas. Let's see if that continues. All may not be lost.
You can also see a wave of moisture come down from Colorado so it may help if it does snow in early January :jacket:
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Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?

All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#562 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Dec 16, 2019 2:10 pm

I try to tell myself that during times where there is a lack of cold air, or cold air intrusions, it's good for the long term to build up the snowpack up north for a bit!
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#563 Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 3:04 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I try to tell myself that during times where there is a lack of cold air, or cold air intrusions, it's good for the long term to build up the snowpack up north for a bit!


Correct, this flow pattern will be building the snow pack up north - in Siberia.

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#564 Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 3:23 pm

Michael Ventrice just tweeted an outlook for the first week of January from the great IBM model. A little cold air in the far NW U.S. Otherwise, not so much.

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#565 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 4:36 pm

According to the CPC, temperatures are a torch for the next few weeks, but moisture looks promising. We'll see I guess.

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#566 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Dec 16, 2019 4:48 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I try to tell myself that during times where there is a lack of cold air, or cold air intrusions, it's good for the long term to build up the snowpack up north for a bit!


Correct, this flow pattern will be building the snow pack up north - in Siberia.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019121612/gfs_T2m%20a_us_43.png


You can see over the next couple weeks, temps drop considerably in the Arctic. Cold air has to go somewhere!
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#567 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 16, 2019 4:49 pm

Cerlin wrote:
TropicalTundra wrote:
Cerlin wrote::bored:
Isn’t everybody? :roflmao:

I’m just glad it feels like winter outside right now. I can have the heater on tonight and enjoy it.


If it's gonna be this cold it needs to snow :lol:
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#neversummer

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#568 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:11 pm

Temperatures have for the most part been below forecast highs with upper 30s being the primary readings. Temps again tomorrow will struggle to reach forecasted highs after a very cold morning with temps in the upper 20s.

It's good fireplace weather :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#569 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:20 pm

Hate to say it, but I see no reason for optimism anytime soon.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#570 Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:52 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:
You can see over the next couple weeks, temps drop considerably in the Arctic. Cold air has to go somewhere!


I have 100% confidence that any cold air building in the Polar regions will be moving south eventually.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#571 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 16, 2019 6:47 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:
You can see over the next couple weeks, temps drop considerably in the Arctic. Cold air has to go somewhere!


I have 100% confidence that any cold air building in the Polar regions will be moving south eventually.


Wait were you hacked this doesn't seem like you :double:

I'm suspicious
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#572 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Dec 16, 2019 7:01 pm

Brent wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:
You can see over the next couple weeks, temps drop considerably in the Arctic. Cold air has to go somewhere!


I have 100% confidence that any cold air building in the Polar regions will be moving south eventually.


Wait we're you hacked this doesn't like you :double:

I'm suspicious

Yeah I can't tell if this is rubbing salt in our wounds dressed as sarcasm or a valid weather observation from a professional.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#573 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Dec 16, 2019 7:19 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Brent wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
I have 100% confidence that any cold air building in the Polar regions will be moving south eventually.


Wait we're you hacked this doesn't like you :double:

I'm suspicious

Yeah I can't tell if this is rubbing salt in our wounds dressed as sarcasm or a valid weather observation from a professional.


Total sarcasm. Ebenezer Scrooge was a saint compared to the taunting of Wxman57. His annual wintertime gloating is as tired and old as the December weather in recent years. But someday... :lol: :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#574 Postby EnnisTx » Mon Dec 16, 2019 7:53 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Brent wrote:
Wait we're you hacked this doesn't like you :double:

I'm suspicious

Yeah I can't tell if this is rubbing salt in our wounds dressed as sarcasm or a valid weather observation from a professional.


Total sarcasm. Ebenezer Scrooge was a saint compared to the taunting of Wxman57. His annual wintertime gloating is as tired and old as the December weather in recent years. But someday... :lol: :froze:


Exactly! It will move South eventually. Meaning between now and the end of time....... :red: :mad:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#575 Postby dhweather » Mon Dec 16, 2019 9:43 pm

From the FWD AFD:

There is nothing at the moment however to suggest any sort of major cold air delivery, or weather that would be substantially disruptive to holiday travel plans.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#576 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Mon Dec 16, 2019 10:35 pm

Don’t let wxman troll y’all into thinking cold will move south towards us. Technically he is right, it will move south, but only across the border into the northern plains and Midwest then get shunted off to the East. I know long range models are just now getting into the new year but I’m starting to lose hope pretty quickly for any chances of a real winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#577 Postby WeatherP1 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 11:56 pm

EnnisTx wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Yeah I can't tell if this is rubbing salt in our wounds dressed as sarcasm or a valid weather observation from a professional.


Total sarcasm. Ebenezer Scrooge was a saint compared to the taunting of Wxman57. His annual wintertime gloating is as tired and old as the December weather in recent years. But someday... :lol: :froze:


Exactly! It will move South eventually. Meaning between now and the end of time....... :red: :mad:


"Please Do Not Shoot
The Pianist
He Is Doing His Best"
Wxman57 is correct, cold air will move south. South can be central Asia/eastern Europe, or the Northeast US. When/if true arctic air is heading towards Texas, he’ll let us know his wall has been breached.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#578 Postby SnowintheFalls » Tue Dec 17, 2019 12:57 am

It sure is hard to get optimistic especially after the bust from last winter! I was at the least hoping for some cold temps around Christmas but even that optimism has been tempered. Getting to use the fireplace tonight was a plus though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#579 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 17, 2019 1:34 am

SnowintheFalls wrote:It sure is hard to get optimistic especially after the bust from last winter! I was at the least hoping for some cold temps around Christmas but even that optimism has been tempered. Getting to use the fireplace tonight was a plus though.


Yeah I know a lot of people are saying it's gonna be different this year but so far the similarities to last year are kind of striking right down to the coldest air so far having been back before Thanksgiving

Hopefully things change after Christmas but I'm just not optimistic anymore
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#580 Postby wxman57 » Tue Dec 17, 2019 6:39 am

WeatherP1 wrote:
"Please Do Not Shoot
The Pianist
He Is Doing His Best"
Wxman57 is correct, cold air will move south. South can be central Asia/eastern Europe, or the Northeast US. When/if true arctic air is heading towards Texas, he’ll let us know his wall has been breached.


Correct. The only direction that air over the Pole can move is south, but it has 360 deg to choose from. Come to think of it, the wind always blows from the south at the North Pole, so why is it so cold there?

My wall is holding.
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