SW carribean to become focal point

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Vortex
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SW carribean to become focal point

#1 Postby Vortex » Fri Oct 24, 2003 10:20 am

this weekend. Most guidance now points to some development(at least TD) to form just E of Nicaragua or just NE of Honduras. IMO we should see this system begin to organize by Saturday and likely a depression by late Sunday. Movement should be slowly NNW. In the longer range its very uncertain as a strong front is poised to pass thru S. Fl early next week. Either way there is a good shot at devlopment and a 55kt storm seems reasonable at this time. !2z guidance coming in continues to support development over the next 2 days. More later....
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Steve H.
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#2 Postby Steve H. » Fri Oct 24, 2003 10:33 am

What guidance are you referring to vort? Seems like convection is re-firing down there this morning in the SW carib, and Invest near Hispaniola is weakening already. BTW, why is Hispaniola like a storm magnet :?:
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#3 Postby CocoaBill » Sat Oct 25, 2003 7:34 am

Models are showing a hit...............


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _084.shtml
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 25, 2003 8:15 am

I believe Hispanola is a "storm magnet" because it has a lot of mountains. Forgive me if I'm wrong.. But I believe that is why
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 25, 2003 8:19 am

Yes Josephine there are peaks of over 10,000 feet in Hispanola which are the kiilers for systems going that way and in many cases it has happened.
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Oct 25, 2003 1:53 pm

I don't think tropical systems move toward Hispaniola "simply" because of it's mountains. If so, what is causing them (the mountains), to pull these systems toward the island?
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