Convection firing north of Cancun associated with a LL Vort.
Forecasted conditions look good next 24 hrs.
Saturated air column thru the troposphere with little shear and an anticyclone.
Starts to pick up shear on approach to the coast but as we saw last week TCs tend to push shear out of the way this time of year.
Theory is that the upper troposphere is cooling off allow deeper convection to fire.
Stay tuned for updates.
Another GOM System
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Re: Another GOM System
Strong UL Low south of the convection. Looks like it'll break away from it.
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Re: Another GOM System
Still no support for development by the models before the vortex comes ashore over LA on Wednesday, just more tropical rains for the north central gulf coast before a strong front passes through on Thursday.
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Re: Another GOM System
Salute!
Yeah, the New Orleans wx folks are calling for a "wave" about mid week. And those folks have been leading the pack WRT tropical wx since I can remember from the 50's, no kidding.
We may get some rain here in the Panhandle, but we are cooling off and finally getting into "fall" wx.
Gums sends....
Yeah, the New Orleans wx folks are calling for a "wave" about mid week. And those folks have been leading the pack WRT tropical wx since I can remember from the 50's, no kidding.
We may get some rain here in the Panhandle, but we are cooling off and finally getting into "fall" wx.
Gums sends....
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lrak
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Re: Another GOM System
Swirl Alert south of Louisiana 
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AKA karl
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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