How many named storms will form in October?

[norva13x]

3 storms, at least one major hurricane. Not gonna try to even guess at where they would go, but west Caribbean will spin up at least one.

[jconsor]

3 named storms, 2 hurricanes, 1 major. The major will originate from the W Caribbean.

[aspen]

So far, 2019 has followed a rather similar pace to 2018, so I expect a similar amount of total storms in October (3-4, including Melissa).

[Steve820]

I predict 3 named storms, with 1 becoming a hurricane (Melissa and Nestor (coming from PTC 16) being the tropical storms, and Olga being the hurricane). I expect Olga to form by the end of the month, originate from the western Caribbean, and peak as a C1-C2 hurricane.

[Hurricaneman]

I predict 3 named storms, with 1 becoming a hurricane (Melissa and Nestor (coming from PTC 16) being the tropical storms, and Olga being the hurricane). I expect Olga to form by the end of the month, originate from the western Caribbean, and peak as a C1-C2 hurricane.

My forecast is going to bust but yours seems to be right on, feel like a hurricane at the end of the month is possible

[HurricaneRyan]

We ended up with 5 named storms and 1 hurricane

[northjaxpro]

I am going with 5 total named storms in October, with 2 of them being major hurricanes. Two storms could impact the CONUS.

Well, my breakdown

5 named cyclones

2 could impact the CONUS (Nestor and Olga)

Only 1 Hurricane (Pablo)

So I was good on with 2 of my 3 predictions for the month.

Not too shabby....

[aspen]

So far, 2019 has followed a rather similar pace to 2018, so I expect a similar amount of total storms in October (3-4, including Melissa).

5 named storms and 1 hurricane...I sure was off by quite a bit.

[Monsoonjr99]

3 named storms, 2 hurricanes, 1 major. Just like the previous two years.

I'm thinking 2019 is likely to end with Olga, but maybe November or even December delivers surprise Pablo.

October was weaker than I thought it would be, only having one hurricane and zero majors, but it did produce quantity by having the greatest number of TCs forming in the month (6) since 2005 (8).

[SconnieCane]

3 named storms, 2 hurricanes, 1 major. Just like the previous two years.

I'm thinking 2019 is likely to end with Olga, but maybe November or even December delivers surprise Pablo.

October was weaker than I thought it would be, only having one hurricane and zero majors, but it did produce quantity by having the greatest number of TCs forming in the month (6) since 2005 (8).

Yeah, based on what was said earlier on about some of the MJO indicators, I thought we'd get another Caribbean-to(possibly)-Gulf big dog. It sure showed the new GFS is still prone to latching on to phantoms at least to an extent. Nestor and Olga did happen, but only briefly existed as properly organized TCs.