OK, I'm Fishing Here!

[Steve H.]

Anybody know if JB has given up on his west caribbean low idea, or is he still honking? Inquiring minds want to know :o Still some energy down in the SW caribbean, and SF had shown the MM5 which seems to have this area on steroids since it shows it a la Michele. Thoughts?? :?

[Anonymous]

I'd still keep an eye on it. It is the birthplace for killers.

[stormchazer]

Going by the feeling on this board and others we are in one of two extremes. The death of the 2003 Hurricane season or on the brink of one more big development in the SW Carribean. I to what like to hear a bit of what Joe B. is thinking??!!

[mitchell]

Joe B Friday Morning:

"TROPICS.

It will be interesting to see what TPC my do with Nicholas since the storm could be staging a comeback over the weekend and making a big loop over the next 5 days. In fact it would not surprise me that it looks better in 5 days than it looked over the last week, and of course much of the time it looked no better than Henri in its dissipated state.

But the southwest Caribbean is the place to watch for possible affects on the U.S coastline. My current thinking is in line with the European, that there is influx of warmth into the northern branch and this leads t o a strong pressure fall center that develops in a non tropical manner over south Florida Sunday night, and that races north northeast up the coast with a windswept 6-12 hour rain storm up the east coast, the Carolinas Monday but the center will be near Burlington Tuesday morning. The European/eta alliance when confirming what I believe have always served me well, but there is plenty of room for debate here.

The European though leaves the true tropical system behind. Now this has about 60 hours to develop before it can get caught and if it develops and does get caught, then it would be a nastier system for Florida, but the results further north would still be the same as its would be nasty anyway. I am suspicious of it being left there to stew as it was trying to do that with the typhoon that is now caught. But it is interesting what it does with it after. It takes it northeast to south of Jamaica by Thursday. The Thursday- Sunday period of next week will feature the continued backing the western atlantic ridge with a rapid pulling out of the eastern trof. The mean euro 240 is wild, implying a turn northwest of what ever is there.

[vbhoutex]

Sounds like JB is trying to cover all the bases-as usual.

[Steve H.]

Thanks Mitchell, now JB is liking Euro rather than the UKMET :o

[JCT777]

JB sees a tropical system making a run up the eastern seaboard?? I am shocked!! :o

[ameriwx2003]

It sounds like from watching JB'S video today, while he covers the possiblity of some energy coming North from the Caribbean this week-end into early next week. He is riding the Euro of the main energy staying in the SW Caribbean moving NE from there and after that moving back to the NW possibly:):). As he put it the 10 day EURO means has some wild possiblities. Joe B is not giving up on his Florida storm before the season is over yet either :):)

[stormchazer]

JB going for the grandstand play. Thats a new one??!! Right!

[mobile bay girl]

Well, well, well... JB's calling for a FL storm? He just might get it. We're heading to the Keys in a few weeks. That would be about right--- we actually get an autumn vacation this year and have a tropical storm meet us there!

[Rainband]

I wouldn't bet on it