ATL: KAREN - Models

[LarryWx]

No way it gets that far north without heading out...let alone threaten FL.

I 100% disagree.

[LarryWx]

12z Euro: Based on hour 84, I expect a S FL hit later on this run, possibly south of the 0Z.

[chris_fit]

[chris_fit]

Pretty much same exact spot as Monday's 12Z Run on the same exact date stamp

[SFLcane]

Heading SW lol @ 96hrs

[sma10]

The next frame should be where it starts accelerating to the West and weakens ... we'll see

[StruThiO]

not weakening thru 120.

[chris_fit]

[boca]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

[sma10]

not weakening thru 120.

If anything strengthening. Modestly, but strengthening from 1008 to 1006

[sma10]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

Open wide.
The Euro has hit Florida with Karen the last, like 5 runs in a row lol

[SFLcane]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

Open wide! No way it heads north a massive ridge to its north

[StruThiO]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

[CronkPSU]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

you talking this model run or in reality down the road?

[sma10]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

you talking this model run or in reality down the road?

Lol, well that's a different question, right? Nobody knows what's going to happen down the road

[kevin]

EC 0 - 144 hours (12z)

[jlauderdal]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

I arranged for a big black crow to be delivered to the meating place in boca
277 East Palmetto Park Road
Boca Raton, Florida

Tabasco sauce optional

You want it before or after your shutters go up...


Very odd to see Lorenzo so close at 120h but there he is, karen is moving along at a decent clip, major disruption from PR is not a given.

[chris_fit]

[LarryWx]

12Z Euro: Only way this misses FL imo is if it goes south. Weakening like on the 0Z due to shear.

[boca]

If this hits Florida I’ll eat crow.

you talking this model run or in reality down the road?

In reality because we will have to wait a week to see what actually happens.