Ucfkid wrote:What's causing the storms to miss Florida?
The best answer to your question is in the NHC Forecast Discussion here:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/131455.shtml
Due to a lack of a well-defined center, the initial motion is highly
uncertain. It appears that there has been little motion during
the past few hours. A weakness in the ridge over the western
Atlantic is forecast to develop and this pattern should steer the
system slowly toward the northwest and then northward. In about 3
days, an eastward moving mid-latitude trough will force the system
to recurve away from the coast toward the Atlantic. The guidance
has shifted a little to east this morning and consequently the NHC
track forecast was adjusted in that direction. However, the official
forecast is still on the western edge of the guidance envelope. If
the disturbance develops a little more to the east, the track
forecast will probably adjusted to the right later today.
Anything more is conjecture at this point. The NHC track and forecast discussion will be updated at 5pm. That is really the best, most reliable source for up to date information.
Are you at UCF? Big game tomorrow. Go Knights!
