Tropical View MM5 - weird development situation

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Stormsfury
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Tropical View MM5 - weird development situation

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Oct 22, 2003 9:26 am

Not the Caribbean, though. Very weak windfields with a with the low there. What I'm referring to is the an area in the SW ATL moving ENE away from the coast. Notice early in the period how Nicholas is generally taken WNW and then finally north and whatever is left gets absorbed and shoved northward. However, farther WSW a low pressure system spins up along the strong exiting trough off the East Coast, which by the way is a piece of energy ejected from the Western Caribbean (nicely shown at 925mb level). However, towards the end of the period, it gets separated from the trough and left behind as the Central ATL ridge expands and joins forces with the ridge in the US. By this time, the MM5 winds at 40m would indicate a small tropical storm (or a gale center). Not saying that this is gonna happen. Just doing a little model interpretation and kinda interesting nonetheless.

MSLP
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/45km.cgi?ti ... =Animation

Accumulated Wind Speed at 40m
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/45km.cgi?ti ... =Animation

925mb Vorticity
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/45km.cgi?ti ... =Animation
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Steve H.
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#2 Postby Steve H. » Wed Oct 22, 2003 10:22 am

Do you have access to today's run (10/22)? That's a good view (the 925mb).
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Oct 22, 2003 5:57 pm

Steve H. wrote:Do you have access to today's run (10/22)? That's a good view (the 925mb).


Oops. Sorry about that.

Wow. This one is interesting with correct date and all.

http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/45km.cgi?ti ... =Animation
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