MrJames wrote:12z
https://i.imgur.com/TT6zwmQ.png
00z run for comparison
https://i.imgur.com/2fqor8L.png
Looks like there are 2 ensemble members West Palm and south as opposed to 0 on the 00Z run.
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MrJames wrote:12z
https://i.imgur.com/TT6zwmQ.png
00z run for comparison
https://i.imgur.com/2fqor8L.png
MrJames wrote:12z
https://i.imgur.com/TT6zwmQ.png
00z run for comparison
https://i.imgur.com/2fqor8L.png
Blown Away wrote:MrJames wrote:12z
https://i.imgur.com/TT6zwmQ.png
00z run for comparison
https://i.imgur.com/2fqor8L.png
Dorian is currently on the extreme R side of that cone, so a more easterly track might be the future?
shawn6304 wrote:Blown Away wrote:MrJames wrote:12z
https://i.imgur.com/TT6zwmQ.png
00z run for comparison
https://i.imgur.com/2fqor8L.png
Dorian is currently on the extreme R side of that cone, so a more easterly track might be the future?
The right side? My understanding is that dorian is west and south of all models
emeraldislenc wrote:Is it looking worse for N.C.?
gatorcane wrote:12Z UK ensembles anybody?
Blown Away wrote:MrJames wrote:12z
https://i.imgur.com/TT6zwmQ.png
00z run for comparison
https://i.imgur.com/2fqor8L.png
Dorian is currently on the extreme R side of that cone, so a more easterly track might be the future?
Blown Away wrote:shawn6304 wrote:Blown Away wrote:
Dorian is currently on the extreme R side of that cone, so a more easterly track might be the future?
The right side? My understanding is that dorian is west and south of all models
Look at the 12z grouping and then go look at where Dorian is currently.
AutoPenalti wrote:Is that a shift east on the UKMET?
was never supposed to happen until it entered the bahamas.Blown Away wrote:Ukmet has been all over the place. The ensembles map keeps calling for this W or WSW movement and it hasn't happened run after run...
its been heading west, how much more west can west be?Blown Away wrote:Ukmet has been all over the place. The ensembles map keeps calling for this W or WSW movement and it hasn't happened run after run...
Blown Away wrote:AutoPenalti wrote:Is that a shift east on the UKMET?
Yes, 12z operational shifted east, but once again many ensembles showing different solution than what is happening..
Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:Blown Away wrote:AutoPenalti wrote:Is that a shift east on the UKMET?
Yes, 12z operational shifted east, but once again many ensembles showing different solution than what is happening..
what is making all the models and ensembles have such a difficult time with dorian? is it the trough vs ridge uncertainty?
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