NICKY IS LOOKING SICK

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AussieMark
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NICKY IS LOOKING SICK

#1 Postby AussieMark » Wed Oct 22, 2003 6:49 am

In this satellite image it appears that Nicholas is really battling to survive to the elements.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUWV.JPG
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#2 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Oct 22, 2003 7:11 am

IMO, Nicholas is no longer a TS and in fact, as Wxman57 stated yesterday, has not been for a while. The trough moving East will begin to pick up Nicholas' remains later today and he will be no more. In the Caribbean the low pressure there is trying to organize but will be torn apart by Westerly shear to its' N from the same trough. It appears there is no where for this disturbance to go but E if it develops and wants to survive.
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#3 Postby JCT777 » Wed Oct 22, 2003 8:11 am

Yes, Nick is being read his last rites. Time to look toward the next storm possibility.
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#4 Postby stormchazer » Wed Oct 22, 2003 10:41 am

Stick a fork in Nick. He is done!
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#5 Postby wxman57 » Wed Oct 22, 2003 1:29 pm

The question I have is would the NHC upgrade a system with NO convection within 150 miles of a weak LLC and Dvorak estimates of T1.5 to a TS? Well, that's what they are, in effect, doing by continuing to call Nicholas a TS. No consistency whatsoever at the NHC.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 22, 2003 1:34 pm

But 57 they will drop the ts status at 5 PM finnally I hope so as the t number is now 1.0.
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#7 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Oct 22, 2003 2:09 pm

So Nick will be sub-tropical right?
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#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Oct 23, 2003 12:21 am

I honestly agree that Nicholas hasn't been a tropical storm for awhile. Back when I was responding to wxman57's posts I was responding to the current discussion.
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