ATL: DORIAN - Recon

[Sciencerocks]

URNT15 KNHC 311326
AF302 2305A DORIAN HDOB 22 20190831
131700 2618N 07244W 6960 03139 0071 +061 +012 124072 075 067 015 00
131730 2617N 07246W 6974 03120 0067 +058 +012 129075 078 070 020 00
131800 2615N 07247W 6963 03118 0053 +061 +013 133080 082 073 020 00
131830 2614N 07248W 6967 03108 0036 +068 +013 130077 081 071 022 00
131900 2613N 07250W 6962 03102 0017 +074 +013 132080 081 070 010 00
131930 2612N 07251W 6970 03082 0013 +069 +013 129084 086 073 008 00
132000 2611N 07252W 6970 03074 0008 +064 +013 128088 088 075 009 00
132030 2609N 07254W 6967 03065 9994 +065 +013 126092 094 080 012 00
132100 2608N 07255W 6969 03046 9973 +064 +014 123098 101 083 022 00
132130 2607N 07256W 6972 03026 9959 +059 +014 123104 106 087 030 00
132200 2606N 07258W 6949 03026 9913 +072 +015 128105 107 091 030 00
132230 2604N 07259W 6966 02974 9876 +076 +016 126110 112 101 028 00
132300 2603N 07300W 6973 02928 9834 +075 +017 127119 123 109 043 03
132330 2602N 07302W 6970 02882 9775 +074 +017 125128 131 119 065 03
132400 2601N 07303W 6986 02791 9687 +084 +018 125127 131 141 052 00
132430 2600N 07304W 6966 02736 9577 +110 +020 122098 127 144 024 03
132500 2558N 07306W 6958 02717 9483 +159 +022 124053 083 118 006 03
132530 2557N 07306W 6966 02679 9481 +144 +023 129031 040 057 001 03
132600 2555N 07308W 6975 02658 9469 +146 +027 128020 026 046 000 03
132630 2554N 07309W 6974 02659 9426 +186 +031 173010 016 046 000 03
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

255
URNT15 KNHC 311336
AF302 2305A DORIAN HDOB 23 20190831
132700 2553N 07310W 6963 02667 9425 +183 +035 239004 008 /// /// 03
132730 2551N 07312W 6967 02664 9444 +164 +039 315023 029 /// /// 03
132800 2550N 07313W 6970 02680 9470 +163 +043 314057 071 /// /// 03
132830 2549N 07314W 6979 02723 9560 +129 +046 315095 103 116 018 00
132900 2548N 07315W 6963 02815 9678 +090 +048 313106 108 117 019 00
132930 2547N 07317W 6965 02878 9742 +095 +049 314102 106 107 020 00
133000 2546N 07318W 6965 02932 9798 +095 +048 314093 099 098 005 00
133030 2544N 07319W 6973 02960 9846 +092 +045 311086 090 089 006 00
133100 2543N 07320W 6973 02984 9890 +080 +042 311080 083 088 005 00
133130 2542N 07322W 6959 03023 9919 +075 +038 305075 079 082 019 00
133200 2541N 07323W 6966 03032 9942 +072 +036 310074 076 078 026 00
133230 2540N 07324W 6965 03053 9959 +075 +033 314072 074 080 006 00
133300 2539N 07325W 6973 03057 9986 +068 +031 310065 069 078 007 03
133330 2538N 07327W 6967 03076 9985 +081 +029 310064 066 076 000 00
133400 2536N 07328W 6967 03091 9984 +092 +028 312060 063 076 000 03
133430 2535N 07329W 6969 03098 9998 +092 +028 310055 059 074 000 03
133500 2534N 07331W 6969 03107 0010 +090 +028 306051 054 072 000 03
133530 2533N 07332W 6970 03109 0021 +086 +029 304051 052 /// /// 03
133600 2532N 07333W 6971 03118 0039 +078 +029 302049 051 069 002 03
133630 2530N 07335W 6963 03130 0035 +084 +029 304047 048 069 000 03
$$

[craptacular]

Good news (hopefully) ... according to FlightAware, there is a filed flight plan for Gonzo departing at 1:24pm EDT for an 8-hr mission out in front of Dorian.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Image from earlier Air Force recon mission.

Through 2:16pm EDT, returning home (probably to Keesler Air Force Base in Mississippi). Satellite at 2:16pm EDT.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Starting with the next plane, fixes will be ever 3 hours rather than every 6 hours. Next missions into the storm:

FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71
A. 31/2330Z,01/0230Z,0530Z ... Scheduled to first arrive in center at 7:30pm EDT
B. AFXXX 2705A DORIAN
C. 31/2015Z ... Takeoff at 4:15pm EDT
D. 26.3N 74.5W
E. 31/2300Z TO 01/0530Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 42
A. 31/2330Z ... Scheduled to first arrive in center at 7:30pm EDT
B. NOAA2 2805A DORIAN
C. 31/2130Z ... Takeoff at 5:30pm EDT
D. 26.3N 74.4W
E. 31/2300Z TO 01/0330Z
F. SFC TO 20,000 FT

From Plan of the Day: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/recon.php

[Chris_in_Tampa]

NOAA G-IV mission through 2:51pm EDT.
Satellite imagery from 2:51pm EDT. From: https://realearth.ssec.wisc.edu/
NHC track at 11am EDT. From: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gis/archive_fo ... &year=2019
Planned NOAA9 track from: https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pag ... 831N2.html

They reversed the flight path.

CONUS, band 13 color:



CONUS, band 9 (mid-level water vapor) color:

[Aric Dunn]

NOAA G-IV mission through 2:51pm EDT.
Satellite imagery from 2:51pm EDT. From: https://realearth.ssec.wisc.edu/
NHC track at 11am EDT. From: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gis/archive_fo ... &year=2019
Planned NOAA9 track from: https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pag ... 831N2.html

They reversed the flight path.

CONUS, band 13 color:

https://i.imgur.com/m8qsmNc.jpg

CONUS, band 9 (mid-level water vapor) color:

https://i.imgur.com/6UVktqA.jpg

maybe to make sure the data north of Dorian gets incorporated into the models for 18z ?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

maybe to make sure the data north of Dorian gets incorporated into the models for 18z ?

Last night someone asked about how to know if sondes got into the GFS. I wrote a little something up about that last night and added it here:
http://tropicalatlantic.com/reconnaissance/#other
"NOAA/NCEP Real Time Data Monitoring System (to determine if any dropsondes were added to the GFS)"

It doesn't say in the chart that I mention what sondes got in, you would have to kind of estimate which ones likely did based on how many were dropped and at what time.

[Aric Dunn]

maybe to make sure the data north of Dorian gets incorporated into the models for 18z ?

Last night someone asked about how to know if sondes got into the GFS. I wrote a little something up about that last night and added it here:
http://tropicalatlantic.com/reconnaissance/#other
"NOAA/NCEP Real Time Data Monitoring System (to determine if any dropsondes were added to the GFS)"

It doesn't say in the chart that I mention what sondes got in, you would have to kind of estimate which ones likely did based on how many were dropped and at what time.

ok thanks sounds like fun lol

[Aric Dunn]

maybe to make sure the data north of Dorian gets incorporated into the models for 18z ?

Last night someone asked about how to know if sondes got into the GFS. I wrote a little something up about that last night and added it here:
http://tropicalatlantic.com/reconnaissance/#other
"NOAA/NCEP Real Time Data Monitoring System (to determine if any dropsondes were added to the GFS)"

It doesn't say in the chart that I mention what sondes got in, you would have to kind of estimate which ones likely did based on how many were dropped and at what time.

so if im reading that char correct this upcoming 18z will some in it from the G4

the Airforce recon from earlier had 17. the current G4 has dropped 17 ...

soo the first 8 dropsondes from the G4 will be in the 18z ?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

NOAA2 about to make first pass into Dorian.

[Sciencerocks]

URNT15 KWBC 312255
NOAA2 2605A DORIAN HDOB 11 20190831
224600 2536N 07517W 7526 02518 0066 +127 +111 313037 037 034 000 00
224630 2538N 07516W 7522 02519 0063 +127 +111 312036 036 036 000 00
224700 2539N 07514W 7525 02515 0061 +126 +108 316037 038 035 000 00
224730 2540N 07512W 7526 02509 0057 +126 +110 314037 038 036 000 00
224800 2542N 07510W 7520 02512 0052 +128 +106 318038 038 039 000 00
224830 2543N 07509W 7524 02506 0046 +130 +109 321040 041 041 000 00
224900 2544N 07507W 7525 02500 0039 +132 +113 321042 044 041 000 00
224930 2546N 07505W 7526 02492 0031 +133 +116 320045 046 043 000 03
225000 2547N 07503W 7524 02490 0025 +133 +109 323046 047 043 000 00
225030 2548N 07502W 7523 02486 0021 +131 +119 322048 049 047 001 00
225100 2549N 07500W 7520 02480 0012 +133 +111 325050 052 047 000 00
225130 2550N 07458W 7529 02464 0005 +133 +106 326054 055 048 000 00
225200 2552N 07457W 7528 02457 9992 +134 +111 326058 058 052 000 00
225230 2553N 07455W 7524 02454 9985 +132 +119 326061 063 054 000 00
225300 2554N 07454W 7529 02439 9974 +130 +125 326065 066 055 003 00
225330 2555N 07452W 7518 02436 9957 +130 //// 329069 069 058 008 01
225400 2557N 07451W 7528 02412 9939 +134 +132 328073 076 061 005 00
225430 2558N 07449W 7520 02400 9918 +135 +125 325077 079 064 011 00
225500 2559N 07448W 7526 02372 9892 +135 +134 327084 085 071 010 00
225530 2600N 07446W 7519 02352 9855 +142 //// 327087 089 077 011 01

[Sciencerocks]

871
URNT15 KWBC 312305
NOAA2 2605A DORIAN HDOB 12 20190831
225600 2602N 07445W 7513 02330 9817 +148 //// 326091 094 082 007 01
225630 2603N 07443W 7513 02292 9774 +147 +147 324099 102 087 008 00
225700 2604N 07442W 7513 02232 9710 +150 +142 320109 112 097 025 00
225730 2605N 07440W 7497 02171 9614 +157 +151 317118 121 115 052 00
225800 2606N 07439W 7512 02055 9505 +164 //// 314095 111 126 007 01
225830 2608N 07437W 7525 01991 9433 +185 +168 316041 058 089 018 03
225900 2609N 07436W 7521 01982 9419 +183 +172 317012 016 033 000 00
225930 2610N 07434W 7517 01980 9415 +183 +167 266003 005 026 000 03
230000 2611N 07432W 7523 01974 9416 +183 +165 184012 017 026 000 00
230030 2612N 07430W 7521 01983 9423 +182 +167 166030 041 042 001 00
230100 2613N 07428W 7532 01997 9458 +177 +165 157073 087 120 003 00
230130 2614N 07426W 7453 02171 9551 +156 //// 149126 136 124 012 01
230200 2615N 07424W 7373 02354 9659 +139 //// 149129 134 118 013 01
230230 2616N 07423W 7534 02234 9733 +147 //// 147119 122 106 006 01
230300 2617N 07421W 7529 02291 9791 +146 +146 147109 113 099 005 00
230330 2618N 07419W 7515 02343 9836 +141 //// 147104 105 089 019 01
230400 2619N 07417W 7525 02363 9879 +136 //// 146099 102 077 025 01
230430 2620N 07416W 7514 02403 9908 +134 //// 145093 096 073 013 01
230500 2621N 07414W 7530 02406 9930 +135 +130 146087 088 068 007 00
230530 2622N 07412W 7519 02430 9955 +129 //// 146079 081 065 002 01

[Sciencerocks]

267
URNT15 KWBC 312315
NOAA2 2605A DORIAN HDOB 13 20190831
230600 2623N 07410W 7524 02442 9971 +129 +121 146077 078 061 001 00
230630 2623N 07409W 7528 02447 9985 +130 +112 146074 075 057 000 00
230700 2624N 07407W 7514 02473 9997 +127 +119 145071 072 055 003 00
230730 2625N 07405W 7518 02476 0004 +127 //// 145068 068 054 005 01
230800 2626N 07403W 7523 02479 0014 +126 +124 145065 066 052 002 00
230830 2627N 07401W 7526 02480 0022 +127 +114 147063 063 050 001 00
230900 2628N 07400W 7518 02494 0031 +123 +122 150063 064 051 003 00
230930 2629N 07358W 7510 02511 0037 +125 +115 148061 062 051 002 00
231000 2630N 07356W 7518 02504 0042 +126 +120 148059 060 051 001 00
231030 2631N 07354W 7514 02514 0051 +119 +113 150063 064 050 001 00
231100 2632N 07352W 7518 02512 0057 +119 +116 150062 064 054 005 00
231130 2633N 07350W 7517 02518 0061 +118 //// 146059 063 056 015 01
231200 2634N 07348W 7514 02522 0061 +121 //// 138054 056 056 017 01
231230 2635N 07347W 7518 02525 0065 +123 +122 140053 054 052 017 00
231300 2636N 07345W 7518 02529 0074 +120 +117 139053 054 048 006 00
231330 2637N 07343W 7528 02524 0078 +122 +114 142053 054 049 003 00
231400 2638N 07341W 7501 02554 0085 +118 +115 139052 053 049 001 00
231430 2639N 07339W 7528 02529 0084 +122 +108 140051 052 048 000 00
231500 2640N 07337W 7513 02550 0086 +125 +098 138049 050 046 000 00
231530 2641N 07336W 7511 02555 0094 +123 +079 139055 057 043 000 00

[Sciencerocks]

917
URNT15 KNHC 312316
AF308 2505A DORIAN HDOB 23 20190831
230630 2645N 07511W 6970 03130 //// +088 //// 058056 057 046 001 01
230700 2644N 07510W 6973 03124 //// +090 //// 057057 057 047 001 01
230730 2643N 07509W 6968 03124 //// +120 //// 056058 058 046 003 01
230800 2642N 07507W 6969 03123 0026 +352 //// 055058 059 046 004 05
230830 2640N 07506W 6970 03118 0028 +301 //// 056060 062 046 011 01
230900 2639N 07505W 6963 03119 0031 +231 //// 058063 066 047 004 01
230930 2638N 07503W 6970 03108 //// +082 //// 057066 066 050 002 01
231000 2637N 07502W 6969 03104 //// +083 //// 056066 067 050 002 01
231030 2636N 07501W 6969 03101 0008 +243 //// 055066 066 050 034 05
231100 2635N 07500W 6967 03096 9996 +370 +370 053067 067 045 059 03
231130 2634N 07458W 6971 03089 9982 +372 +372 050067 068 /// /// 03
231200 2633N 07457W 6970 03084 9985 +199 //// 052070 071 061 005 01
231230 2632N 07456W 6967 03080 //// +121 //// 050072 073 064 004 01
231300 2630N 07454W 6971 03064 //// +100 //// 051076 076 066 002 01
231330 2629N 07453W 6971 03056 //// +122 //// 052079 081 070 003 01
231400 2628N 07452W 6972 03041 9936 +214 //// 055083 084 073 004 01
231430 2627N 07451W 6973 03025 9911 +213 //// 055087 091 075 004 01
231500 2626N 07449W 6967 03013 9888 +276 //// 054095 097 078 009 01
231530 2625N 07448W 6968 02992 9887 +345 +345 058104 107 083 010 00
231600 2624N 07447W 6976 02960 9849 +349 +349 056106 107 086 020 00
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

912
URNT15 KNHC 312326
AF308 2505A DORIAN HDOB 24 20190831
231630 2623N 07446W 6966 02951 9837 +348 +348 059108 109 094 021 00
231700 2622N 07445W 6978 02907 9809 +348 +348 059115 117 102 014 00
231730 2621N 07444W 6968 02882 9771 +348 +348 059122 125 105 018 03
231800 2621N 07443W 6962 02846 9724 +346 +346 061131 133 /// /// 03
231830 2620N 07442W 6997 02762 9684 +345 +345 061138 140 /// /// 03
231900 2619N 07441W 6966 02753 9621 +345 +345 062142 144 143 046 00
231930 2618N 07441W 6964 02700 9551 +348 +348 064128 142 145 043 03
232000 2618N 07440W 6988 02635 9486 +283 //// 067085 114 139 012 05
232030 2616N 07438W 6970 02625 9425 +218 //// 067049 069 065 004 05
232100 2615N 07438W 6973 02613 //// +152 //// 074024 036 038 001 05
232130 2613N 07437W 6974 02608 //// +149 //// 086012 018 025 001 05
232200 2611N 07437W 6970 02612 //// +142 //// 102002 008 024 001 01
232230 2610N 07436W 6970 02614 //// +136 //// 260012 019 026 002 01
232300 2608N 07436W 6965 02636 //// +138 //// 263035 047 041 003 05
232330 2606N 07435W 6961 02668 //// +160 //// 256075 090 078 003 05
232400 2605N 07433W 6981 02703 9552 +297 //// 245115 119 123 027 05
232430 2604N 07431W 6960 02809 9610 +201 //// 238118 120 128 039 05
232500 2603N 07430W 6962 02868 //// +138 //// 234112 118 120 012 01
232530 2602N 07429W 6967 02915 9781 +375 +375 232100 107 101 007 03
232600 2600N 07427W 6963 02957 9829 +374 +374 231091 096 /// /// 03
$$

[Blinhart]

So it looks like the AF308 flight might be having sensor problems, if I am reading all those // lines correctly.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

NOAA recon image through 7:35pm EDT. Satellite at 7:26pm EDT.

[Sciencerocks]

730
URNT15 KWBC 010005
NOAA2 2605A DORIAN HDOB 18 20190831
235600 2655N 07444W 7523 02504 0041 +132 +103 084066 067 056 002 00
235630 2653N 07444W 7514 02510 0032 +138 +084 085067 068 058 000 00
235700 2651N 07444W 7516 02501 0020 +142 +098 086068 068 059 000 00
235730 2649N 07444W 7521 02492 0017 +141 +106 085068 068 061 001 00
235800 2647N 07444W 7529 02480 0002 +150 +101 083069 069 060 001 00
235830 2645N 07444W 7517 02486 9998 +147 +098 083071 072 062 001 00
235900 2643N 07444W 7518 02471 9988 +145 +111 083073 075 064 002 00
235930 2641N 07444W 7521 02462 9983 +140 +116 085076 077 065 002 00
000000 2639N 07444W 7518 02455 9972 +141 +109 085079 080 068 000 00
000030 2637N 07444W 7527 02437 9964 +137 +113 084083 084 069 001 00
000100 2635N 07444W 7529 02421 9954 +134 +105 084089 091 073 002 00
000130 2633N 07444W 7518 02415 9936 +133 +112 084095 097 074 001 00
000200 2632N 07443W 7525 02391 9909 +139 +127 089101 103 079 010 00
000230 2630N 07443W 7526 02368 9887 +135 +135 085105 109 083 018 00
000300 2628N 07443W 7526 02337 9845 +144 +137 086114 117 091 028 00
000330 2626N 07443W 7507 02322 9803 +142 //// 085117 120 098 033 01
000400 2624N 07443W 7510 02272 9750 +144 //// 084125 130 113 032 01
000430 2622N 07443W 7507 02205 9673 +142 //// 082139 142 132 070 01
000500 2621N 07443W 7471 02139 9563 +147 //// 082127 136 148 056 01
000530 2619N 07443W 7515 02027 9462 +181 +168 081080 099 149 045 03

[Sciencerocks]

069
URNT15 KWBC 010015
NOAA2 2605A DORIAN HDOB 19 20190901
000600 2617N 07443W 7513 01996 9426 +184 +171 080044 050 057 002 00
000630 2615N 07443W 7531 01957 9407 +186 +173 082024 029 037 000 03
000700 2613N 07442W 7530 01957 9405 +183 +173 057008 012 028 000 00
000730 2610N 07442W 7530 01959 9410 +183 +169 272009 015 028 000 00
000800 2608N 07442W 7524 01984 9425 +183 +171 263027 035 045 000 00
000830 2606N 07442W 7519 02010 9449 +182 +165 261057 076 072 007 00
000900 2605N 07442W 7545 02042 9508 +186 +168 261105 117 121 032 03
000930 2603N 07442W 7550 02127 9624 +160 //// 263119 122 118 030 05
001000 2601N 07442W 7564 02185 9714 +154 //// 265110 113 107 012 01
001030 2600N 07442W 7524 02290 9779 +147 //// 268099 101 099 005 01
001100 2558N 07442W 7526 02328 9827 +147 //// 268087 089 088 012 01
001130 2556N 07442W 7485 02401 9865 +140 //// 264085 087 078 024 01
001200 2554N 07442W 7541 02367 9898 +139 +139 268079 081 075 010 00
001230 2552N 07442W 7530 02402 9928 +136 +129 266072 075 070 005 00
001300 2550N 07442W 7524 02426 9943 +140 +124 265065 067 066 004 00
001330 2548N 07442W 7520 02445 9963 +136 +124 264062 063 063 001 00
001400 2546N 07442W 7524 02452 9974 +137 +123 264057 059 058 003 00
001430 2544N 07442W 7517 02465 9986 +135 +126 258055 055 054 003 00
001500 2542N 07442W 7527 02465 9999 +132 +116 261055 055 053 002 00
001530 2541N 07442W 7519 02477 0006 +131 +111 261052 052 050 000 03