ATL: DORIAN - Models

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chris_fit
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#441 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:19 pm

Next frame will be telling - does it turn back W?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#442 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:21 pm

120hrs.... Strong

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#443 Postby toad strangler » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:21 pm

Ramping up at 120 and look at that ridge :eek:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#444 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:21 pm

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12z Euro...120 hours...Making WNW turn towards Florida...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#445 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:22 pm

That's going to Florida this run.

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#446 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:22 pm

toad strangler wrote:Ramping up at 120 and look at that ridge :eek:

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Gonna def bend W soon
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#447 Postby sma10 » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:23 pm

Euro very similar to UKmet
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#448 Postby HDGator » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:23 pm

toad strangler wrote:Ramping up at 120 and look at that ridge :eek:

Yeah, look at that ridge building in. I don't like where this is headed.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#449 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:23 pm

:uarrow: Ridge begins to build back in between 96 -120 hours from now. No re-curve.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#450 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:24 pm

Small...but mighty, heading towards Florida peninsula. Can't go very far north, considering that ridge. ugh
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#451 Postby caneseddy » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:24 pm

That runs looks straight towards South Florida. No way does it go past that ridge :eek:

Run ends due east of Miami
Last edited by caneseddy on Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#452 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:24 pm

The weakness created by Erin (98L) on the 12z ECMWF is able to draw Dorian far enough north to avoid death over Hispaniola. Then the ridge builds back in, bending Dorian to Florida.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#453 Postby LarryWx » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:28 pm

12Z Euro 144 cape Canaveral moving nw
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#454 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:28 pm

144hrs

Central FL

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#455 Postby sma10 » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:29 pm

sma10 wrote:Euro very similar to UKmet


Edit: but diverges with UKmet at 144h
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#456 Postby SFLcane » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:29 pm

12z Nogaps..

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#457 Postby p1nheadlarry » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:29 pm

Surface pressure doesn't seem too low (ECMWF), is it the res
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#458 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:30 pm

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12z Euro...144 hours...Almost Landfall E Central Florida, @Sebastian :D ...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#459 Postby zhukm29 » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:30 pm

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1166049980538335232


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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#460 Postby SFLcane » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:32 pm

p1nheadlarry wrote:Surface pressure doesn't seem too low (ECMWF), is it the res


About 45kts..
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