ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- ObsessedMiami
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
You know, the ads that appear between posts are unnervingly saying LABOR DAY EVENT. Just a little creepy for us in Miami LOL
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
If Dorian goes through or just north of Barbados I think it has a good chance of surviving after passing the Lesser Antilles.
The majority of TWs so far this season end up tracking north of the Greater Antilles, I am almost convinced Dorian will do the same. UKMET and ICON agree with me
The majority of TWs so far this season end up tracking north of the Greater Antilles, I am almost convinced Dorian will do the same. UKMET and ICON agree with me

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Looks pretty restricted on the SE quad. Might be some residual easterly shear.
https://i.imgur.com/6GYXmMo.jpg
watch a long loop. you will see a huge pulse emanating from the convection causing a collapse to the low level clouds. it is essentially a shockwave... a lot of displacement .. always interesting watch.
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
1935 but it won't be like thatObsessedMiami wrote:You know, the ads that appear between posts are unnervingly saying LABOR DAY EVENT. Just a little creepy for us in Miami LOL
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
More pink por favor


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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

Deep convective burst taking place over the center of the system. I wasn't sure whether or not this mornings large convective burst would be able to sustain itself, but it's now seeming like it will.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
3/4 of the way there.


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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It's 4:36. Let the refreshing of the NHC page begin! 

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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
abajan wrote:It's 4:36. Let the refreshing of the NHC page begin!
Hell I've been refreshing THIS page!

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
nice little band forming on the SE side
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
SATCON (a consensus based on satellite estimates, including microwave ones) suggests Dorian is considerably stronger than NHC's official intensity.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 1905L.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 1905L.html
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Ian2401 wrote:nice little band forming on the SE side
Clearly the beginning of an eyewall replacement cycle

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
jconsor wrote:SATCON (a consensus based on satellite estimates, including microwave ones) suggests Dorian is considerably stronger than NHC's official intensity.
https://imgur.com/5j3QEjS
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 1905L.html
yeah well we all know its likely quite a bit stronger lol .. as is typically the case.

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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hmm... update is late. I wonder what intensity they'll put it at.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:Hmm... update is late. I wonder what intensity they'll put it at.
i say 55mph
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Up to 45 knots now.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Sun Aug 25, 2019 4:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
45kt/1003mb
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Kendall -> SLO -> PBC
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