Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic (Is Invest 93L)

[gatorcane]

Wow and look what is behind this wave, good thing it isn’t August:

[floridasun78]

Wow and look what is behind this wave, good thing it isn’t August:

https://i.postimg.cc/j5dkTs4b/goes16-ir-eatl-201907082245.jpg

that big going into sal zone that go between 10n and 20n and 20w and 30w bigger sal affect wave down by below 10n

[AutoPenalti]

SAL will be a huge factor for the remaining part of July, the AEW’s have arrived as expected. Some of these pouches will likely diminish some of the dusty air in the area helping to aid convection in these waves. Just have to watch for one that can sneak underneath it.

[hurricanehunter69]

when craig setzer on channel 4 gets concerned then we should too, this system looks DOA

Development or not these systems never make it to CONUS

systems coming off Africa never make it?

Agreed! What's on the line here though,... is forecasts. Personally, I went with a slightly above average season (15/8/3). I am finding this sudden uptick in activity very concerning however. Especially considering that it is coinciding with all the news about the collapse of the El Nino. Oh, and emerging La Nina....? wow

[cycloneye]

As expected,the wave has not organized but instead,it has been less defined lately.

[CyclonicFury]

The 00z GFS and GFS-Legacy still seem to indicate the possibility for a weak spin-up with this wave.

[cycloneye]

The 00z GFS and GFS-Legacy still seem to indicate the possibility for a weak spin-up with this wave.

Well,I was going to give up on it but maybe something trys to get going briefly.

[floridasun78]

SAL have won it did good for day or so

[AutoPenalti]

GFS picking it up again albeit weak.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

its too early

Disagree all you want.

There wont be any development down that way till August. Check back in 2 weeks

[Hurricane Andrew]

its too early

Disagree all you want.

There wont be any development down that way till August. Check back in 2 weeks

Tropical cyclones can and will laugh in the face of climatology. Not saying that this one will, just that blanket rules exist to be broken.

[floridasun78]

we seen july storm in Atlantic but shear and sal have most area cover so thing have be their to see TS so we could see system but chance not high

[StruThiO]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1149120437420474368

[colbroe]

Seems like this tropical wave has a mind of its own the low pressure system has redeveloped .

[ouragans]

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower activity. Some
slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[AJC3]

Code: Select all

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower activity.  Some
slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[cycloneye]

There is a glitch in the board that I can't lock the thread as Invest 93L is up.

[cycloneye]

The glitch at S2K has been fixed so now I can lock this thread.INVEST 93L Thread