Disturbed Weather in the NW GOMEX

[Dean4Storms]

I know there is no model support on this, but interesting development on satellite this morning with this tropical wave....

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=gom&product=ir

[Dean4Storms]

I see no evidence of LL rotation but definitely a MLC sitting there.

[Nimbus]

Looked like some kind of low pressure south of Cozemel interacting with shear, but usually if there is no model support these kind of flare ups dissipate.

[wxman57]

It's a tropical wave that moved off the west coast of Africa on June 18th. We've been tracking it. Development chances near zero, but it may bring some rain to Texas Tue/Wed.

[chaser1]

Upper diffluence aloft seems to be aiding the convection. Problem is that the upper level high appears to be centered a good deal to the north and east of the wave axis and while the primarily southerly flow aloft aloft is helping to flare up convection, that same strong unidirectional southerly flow is also impeding any COC from developing as well.

[Nimbus]

Convection in the western gulf off Texas is waning this afternoon but its under the high pressure so fully cut off the cold front that dropped through Florida.