Texas Summer 2019
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Lot of storms for a 20 percent chance lol
Better chances in the days ahead
Better chances in the days ahead
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#neversummer
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Well it's June 1st, which means it's officially hurricane season. Everyone on the Texas coast should keep their eyes on the weather this week. The European ensembles want take a tropical system and round it up the coast later this week. SSTs are typically 27C in the western Gulf(and higher in some locations) so the waters are definitely warm enough for TC formation. Will definitely be interesting to watch if something does form and the placement of the high pressure that could steer a potential storm.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
TheProfessor wrote:Well it's June 1st, which means it's officially hurricane season. Everyone on the Texas coast should keep their eyes on the weather this week. The European ensembles want take a tropical system and round it up the coast later this week. SSTs are typically 27C in the western Gulf(and higher in some locations) so the waters are definitely warm enough for TC formation. Will definitely be interesting to watch if something does form and the placement of the high pressure that could steer a potential storm.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
This would be terrible. It would reshuffle the broad pattern, subsidence and then warm spell behind it. No thanks on Bill 2015 redo kicking off a 2 month dry spell.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Ntxw wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Well it's June 1st, which means it's officially hurricane season. Everyone on the Texas coast should keep their eyes on the weather this week. The European ensembles want take a tropical system and round it up the coast later this week. SSTs are typically 27C in the western Gulf(and higher in some locations) so the waters are definitely warm enough for TC formation. Will definitely be interesting to watch if something does form and the placement of the high pressure that could steer a potential storm.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
This would be terrible. It would reshuffle the broad pattern, subsidence and then warm spell behind it. No thanks on Bill 2015 redo kicking off a 2 month dry spell.
Yeah My parents live in New Orleans now so I'm quickly trying to get our hurricane kit complete(because they didn't do it while I was away at college.) before this storm could get close to us. Would rather this storm just get pushed west as a weak system.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
The circulation in the BOC is evident on satellite. Although it does appear on the broad side.
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- Haris
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Weeklies are amazing!!! Hopefully this fella (invest) doesnt form!!!
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
- Haris
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Ntxw wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Well it's June 1st, which means it's officially hurricane season. Everyone on the Texas coast should keep their eyes on the weather this week. The European ensembles want take a tropical system and round it up the coast later this week. SSTs are typically 27C in the western Gulf(and higher in some locations) so the waters are definitely warm enough for TC formation. Will definitely be interesting to watch if something does form and the placement of the high pressure that could steer a potential storm.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
This would be terrible. It would reshuffle the broad pattern, subsidence and then warm spell behind it. No thanks on Bill 2015 redo kicking off a 2 month dry spell.
Ntwx, that would only happen if this invest were to form into a TS right? Not Depression? Also, what happens if it still forms into a TD or TS but hits mX instead. WIll it still change the pattern for us?
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Haris wrote:Ntxw wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Well it's June 1st, which means it's officially hurricane season. Everyone on the Texas coast should keep their eyes on the weather this week. The European ensembles want take a tropical system and round it up the coast later this week. SSTs are typically 27C in the western Gulf(and higher in some locations) so the waters are definitely warm enough for TC formation. Will definitely be interesting to watch if something does form and the placement of the high pressure that could steer a potential storm.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
This would be terrible. It would reshuffle the broad pattern, subsidence and then warm spell behind it. No thanks on Bill 2015 redo kicking off a 2 month dry spell.
Ntwx, that would only happen if this invest were to form into a TS right? Not Depression? Also, what happens if it still forms into a TD or TS but hits mX instead. WIll it still change the pattern for us?
I think as long as it doesn't recurve east of us we're good
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Haris wrote:Ntxw wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Well it's June 1st, which means it's officially hurricane season. Everyone on the Texas coast should keep their eyes on the weather this week. The European ensembles want take a tropical system and round it up the coast later this week. SSTs are typically 27C in the western Gulf(and higher in some locations) so the waters are definitely warm enough for TC formation. Will definitely be interesting to watch if something does form and the placement of the high pressure that could steer a potential storm.
EDIT: Didn't realize this storm is already an invest.
This would be terrible. It would reshuffle the broad pattern, subsidence and then warm spell behind it. No thanks on Bill 2015 redo kicking off a 2 month dry spell.
Ntwx, that would only happen if this invest were to form into a TS right? Not Depression? Also, what happens if it still forms into a TD or TS but hits mX instead. WIll it still change the pattern for us?
A stronger system would generally hook up with the more broad pattern, amplifying the changes. It is kind of chicken or egg kind of thing. Plus a consolidated storm in the gulf would wound up lower level moisture that normally feeds summer rains and scours it out along with it. The key is not to change the 500mb pattern of trough west, ridge east. A decent tropical system that goes poleward weakens the eastern ridge, consequently changing it to ridge in the west/plains. It is a delicate seesaw balance.
It's a good rule of thumb that dry spells come after significant tropical systems on the Atlantic side. But it is not always 1 to 1 correlation depending on upper patterns.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Texas Snowman
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- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2019
After the big storms in North Texas last night, San Angelo is getting a taste of heavy early summer rainfall :
319
WGUS74 KSJT 021403
FFSSJT
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
903 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
TXC451-021515-
/O.CON.KSJT.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-190602T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tom Green TX-
903 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN TOM GREEN COUNTY...
At 858 AM CDT, emergency management reported flash flooding for
numerous streets in and around San Angelo, with multiple water
rescues taking place. Two to four inches of rain have fallen and
additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the
warned area over the next two hours. Flash flooding is already
occurring and is expected to continue.
Some locations that will continue to experience flooding include...
San Angelo, Mereta, Veribest, Wall, O.c. Fisher Reservoir, Vancourt,
Lake Nasworthy, Goodfellow Air Force Base, Grape Creek and Harriet.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.
&&
LAT...LON 3131 10055 3157 10053 3158 10012 3128 10012
$$
319
WGUS74 KSJT 021403
FFSSJT
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
903 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
TXC451-021515-
/O.CON.KSJT.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-190602T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tom Green TX-
903 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN TOM GREEN COUNTY...
At 858 AM CDT, emergency management reported flash flooding for
numerous streets in and around San Angelo, with multiple water
rescues taking place. Two to four inches of rain have fallen and
additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the
warned area over the next two hours. Flash flooding is already
occurring and is expected to continue.
Some locations that will continue to experience flooding include...
San Angelo, Mereta, Veribest, Wall, O.c. Fisher Reservoir, Vancourt,
Lake Nasworthy, Goodfellow Air Force Base, Grape Creek and Harriet.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.
&&
LAT...LON 3131 10055 3157 10053 3158 10012 3128 10012
$$
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Texas Snowman wrote:After the big storms in North Texas last night, San Angelo is getting a taste of heavy early summer rainfall :
319
WGUS74 KSJT 021403
FFSSJT
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
903 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
TXC451-021515-
/O.CON.KSJT.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-190602T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tom Green TX-
903 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN TOM GREEN COUNTY...
At 858 AM CDT, emergency management reported flash flooding for
numerous streets in and around San Angelo, with multiple water
rescues taking place. Two to four inches of rain have fallen and
additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the
warned area over the next two hours. Flash flooding is already
occurring and is expected to continue.
Some locations that will continue to experience flooding include...
San Angelo, Mereta, Veribest, Wall, O.c. Fisher Reservoir, Vancourt,
Lake Nasworthy, Goodfellow Air Force Base, Grape Creek and Harriet.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.
&&
LAT...LON 3131 10055 3157 10053 3158 10012 3128 10012
$$
Ivie is already over 70% full, and all that rain that has fallen over San Angelo will he heading down the Concho River. This is huge news for those of us in West Texas. I didn’t think these upper Colorado River lakes would ever fill up!
4 likes
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
A good old fashioned summertime day out in the Trans Pecos with...flash flooding?!?
———-
WGUS54 KMAF 030028
FFWMAF
TXC043-243-377-030330-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0016.190603T0028Z-190603T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
728 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Western Brewster County in southwestern Texas...
Southeastern Jeff Davis County in southwestern Texas...
Northeastern Presidio County in southwestern Texas...
* Until 1030 PM CDT.
* At 727 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two to three inches of
rain have already fallen and an additional one to two inches is
expected. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly or may
already be occurring.
* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Alpine, Marfa, Fort Davis, Bloys Camp, Alpine-Casparis Municipal
Airport, Davis Mountains State Park, McDonald Observatory, Camp
Mitre Peak, Marfa Municipal Airport, Black Mountain, Paisano Pass,
Indian Lodge, Fort Davis National Historical Site and Buffalo Trail
Scout Camp.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.
&&
LAT...LON 3081 10391 3020 10346 3022 10444 3081 10444
$$
![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
———-
WGUS54 KMAF 030028
FFWMAF
TXC043-243-377-030330-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0016.190603T0028Z-190603T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
728 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2019
The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Western Brewster County in southwestern Texas...
Southeastern Jeff Davis County in southwestern Texas...
Northeastern Presidio County in southwestern Texas...
* Until 1030 PM CDT.
* At 727 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two to three inches of
rain have already fallen and an additional one to two inches is
expected. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly or may
already be occurring.
* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Alpine, Marfa, Fort Davis, Bloys Camp, Alpine-Casparis Municipal
Airport, Davis Mountains State Park, McDonald Observatory, Camp
Mitre Peak, Marfa Municipal Airport, Black Mountain, Paisano Pass,
Indian Lodge, Fort Davis National Historical Site and Buffalo Trail
Scout Camp.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.
&&
LAT...LON 3081 10391 3020 10346 3022 10444 3081 10444
$$
1 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
the Euro still shows whatever 91L is basically riding the coastline late Wednesday through early Friday... and while most of the state gets some rain the heaviest totals look to be up in flood plagued NE OK and Arkansas
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Ahh summer! My favorite board! BRING ON THE HEAT!!!
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
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I'm a Princess, not a forecaster.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Ahh summer! My favorite board! BRING ON THE HEAT!!!
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
Booooo!
![Very Happy :D](./images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif)
1 likes
- Haris
- Category 5
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Ahh summer! My favorite board! BRING ON THE HEAT!!!
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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- S2K Supporter
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Ahh summer! My favorite board! BRING ON THE HEAT!!!
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
This thread needs a dislike button
![mr. green :ggreen:](./images/smilies/icon_mrgreen.gif)
2 likes
#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer 2019
gpsnowman wrote:Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Ahh summer! My favorite board! BRING ON THE HEAT!!!
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
Booooo!Kidding aside, Wednesday is shaping up to be a soaker around here. Early tropical fun.
I could do without any more rain, my backyard doesn't have the best irrigation and is downhill, dirt has eroded from the yard through my back patio. Dog tracks mud in all the time... I just want a month of no rain.......
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I'm a Princess, not a forecaster.
Re: Texas Summer 2019
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:gpsnowman wrote:Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Ahh summer! My favorite board! BRING ON THE HEAT!!!
EndlessSummer, SUMMERFOREVER
Booooo!Kidding aside, Wednesday is shaping up to be a soaker around here. Early tropical fun.
I could do without any more rain, my backyard doesn't have the best irrigation and is downhill, dirt has eroded from the yard through my back patio. Dog tracks mud in all the time... I just want a month of no rain.......
July and August will probably offer that if not sooner. Just saw some mid 90's forecasted for the weekend.
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