Texas Spring 2019

[Texas Snowman]

625
WFUS54 KLUB 202353
TORLUB
TXC125-269-210045-
/O.NEW.KLUB.TO.W.0025.190520T2353Z-190521T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
653 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

The National Weather Service in Lubbock Texas has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
East central Dickens County in northwestern Texas...
Western King County in northwestern Texas...

* Until 745 PM CDT.

* At 652 PM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located
13 miles south of Dumont, or 14 miles east of Dickens, moving east
at 30 mph. Travel west of Guthrie along Highway 114 is highly
discouraged.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* Locations impacted include...
Guthrie and Finney.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is developing. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to
a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3352 10066 3369 10068 3382 10024 3348 10019
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 259DEG 26KT 3361 10058

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

[Texas Snowman]

363
WWUS54 KLUB 210007
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
707 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC169-263-210030-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-190521T0030Z/
Kent TX-Garza TX-
707 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL KENT AND SOUTHEASTERN GARZA COUNTIES...

At 707 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Lake Alan Henry, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Alan Henry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3309 10119 3321 10103 3307 10093 3302 10101
3301 10112
TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 238DEG 31KT 3307 10108

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$


--

[Ntxw]

Man those in OKC and Tulsa metros that everything closed or canceled for is probably scratching their heads right now, but I see that as a good thing for them to dodge all that. HRRR was not the best there showing numerous cells breaking out early afternoon that didn't happen in central and southern Oklahoma. Now up there it looks like a late evening MCS passing through them. In Texas, the southern panhandle seems to be living up to forecast and then some a bit. There was a couple of tornadoes in SW Oklahoma earlier this afternoon.

Storm modes is always a hard forecast, even when ideal conditions are in place.

[rwfromkansas]

Looks like Guthrie might take close to a direct hit if on the ground.

[Haris]

Weather .... is .... humbling ....

[Brent]

Weather .... is .... humbling ....

Yup its not just wintry weather that can be fickle

It sucks but I'm sure most would rather not have the alternative

[rwfromkansas]

West TX has been very active. Just so funny that mother nature wants to do what she wants.

[Ntxw]

It's definitely been quite a show between Midland and Abilene along I-20. Wide open spaces mostly so not a lot of coverage over population centers. That said, Hamlin on radar looks like they just took a direct hit.

Tornado Warning
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1008 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC151-253-210330-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-190521T0330Z/
Jones TX-Fisher TX-
1008 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN JONES AND NORTHEASTERN FISHER COUNTIES...

At 1006 PM CDT, a tornado indicated by radar was just northeast of
Hamlin, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hamlin and Neinda.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is developing. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to
a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

[Brent]

West TX has been very active. Just so funny that mother nature wants to do what she wants.

Goes to show why we love this hobby so much because there's always surprises

[Yukon Cornelius]

Despite all of the hype, fortunately my area didn't have any of the real severe weather. Small hail, gusty winds and 0.95" of rain overnight. Thanks for all of the concern for out this way yesterday! On to the next one.

[weatherdude1108]

I may be totally off on this one, but it seems like the SPC could have gotten away with keeping the Moderate Risk yesterday, like the past several days out they were predicting (without upgrading). Not sure if it was a "High Risk" day based on the less widespread reality(?) (like storms not initiating where they were predicted to initiate, etc).

But that said, I'm not a severe weather expert, and you never know what the weather is going to do. A lot of factors go into the SPC's forecasts, and they have a lot of data coming at them. Very fluid and dynamic with a lot of mesoscale and micro-scale influences.

I've seen Marginal Risk days here end up with a severe thunderstorm watch and twisters reported nearby.

Just throwing it out there for discussion purposes.

Better to be safe than sorry in any case.

[DonWrk]

I'm just cringing at that ridge in the southeast.

[Haris]

Near 0.4" of rain today. Happy w/ that since rain looks to be distant. Not liking the upcoming pattern. Previews of summer have begun.

[Lagreeneyes03]

I may be totally off on this one, but it seems like the SPC could have gotten away with keeping the Moderate Risk yesterday, like the past several days out they were predicting (without upgrading). Not sure if it was a "High Risk" day based on the less widespread reality(?) (like storms not initiating where they were predicted to initiate, etc).

But that said, I'm not a severe weather expert, and you never know what the weather is going to do. A lot of factors go into the SPC's forecasts, and they have a lot of data coming at them. Very fluid and dynamic with a lot of mesoscale and micro-scale influences.

I've seen Marginal Risk days here end up with a severe thunderstorm watch and twisters reported nearby.

Just throwing it out there for discussion purposes.

Better to be safe than sorry in any case.

I think there was a graphic out there that they invented another category "Extreme" and it was in white. Unreal.

Meanwhile, boy the storms sure fell about at the DFW metro. What was that all about? But I'm looking forward to a long dry spell and the heat ridge. I'm ready to get that pool to a comfortable temperature and swim.

[dhweather]

Near 0.4" of rain today. Happy w/ that since rain looks to be distant. Not liking the upcoming pattern. Previews of summer have begun.

Yes, I think a long stretch of 90's is about to start.

[Brent]

I'm just cringing at that ridge in the southeast.

Better them than us

Although it does look like we're getting a piece of it but stil near 90 isnt that bad for late May

[dhweather]

 https://twitter.com/oklahomachaser/status/1130853354978963458





They were extremely fortunate.

[dhweather]

Here's the sounding for OUN at 7PM last night - crazy

[dhweather]

Any significant lift and we would have been in a world of hurt last night as well.

[Lagreeneyes03]

What exactly does "Compressional heating from mid-level subsidence" mean?

I know it obviously was not predicted, that's for sure. A saving grace, where did it come from and how did it form? How was it unforecasted?