
Texas Spring 2019
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- Rgv20
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Getting ready for Summer down here...Heat Index of 109!


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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2019
Rgv20 wrote:Getting ready for Summer down here...Heat Index of 109!
http://i63.tinypic.com/optnjr.png
Screw that.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
SoupBone wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Pretty uneventful day across southeast TX today. I guess yesterday’s storms zapped all the energy out of the atmosphere.
That's what I'm asking. It seems as though we may be missing most of the bad stuff, which is staying well to the north. But will it inch its way toward us over the next few days? We're supposed to have several more days of this left.
If I had to guess I’d say most of southeast Texas stays dry today especially south of 10. Tomorrow will probably be more widespread.
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
My backyard flood area is full, so I'm betting I got over 2" of rain today




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- Rgv20
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Interesting tidbit from the NWS Brownsville early morning discussion....cross polar flow! where was this during winter
LONG TERM (Thursday Night through Tuesday): The trend for
forecast difficulty in location and timing of rainfall which has
been a hallmark of the past couple of weeks continues this period
as well...but there are a few interesting features on the map that
should help to resolve the issue during the first few days of the
period.
First: While rainfall and thunderstorm intensity (or occurrence at
all, particularly for the populated Rio Grande Valley) has been
the bugaboo...the focus may turn to the first true front in about
two weeks to cross part or all of the Deep S. Texas/Rio Grande
Valley region. Such a front would provide some welcome relief in
some...or all...areas from the summer swelter so far this May
especially at night. Unlike the pattern in the recent 10-14 days
which has been dominated by the subtropical jet with southwest
U.S./northern Baja cutoffs ejecting energy out of them, for
Thursday night through Sunday, confidence is increasing in a
northern stream interaction, including a somewhat late cross
polar flow at 500 mb diving into the eastern Rockies and
northern/central Plains. This flow brings down relatively chilly
air (for mid May) with a 1026+ surface ridge into the eastern
Colorado/western Kansas area by early Friday, with a fairly far
south extension of the nose of the ridge deep into Texas.
The NAM-12, which for fall and winter was often the most accurate
in handling associated shallow cool air masses into the RGV and
northern Mexico, once again drives noticeably cooler (and
refreshing) air into most of the region, driving north/northwest
flow all the way into the nearshore waters by late Friday. The GFS
and ECMWF are typically tardy with this...but are trending in the
direction. Raw NAM-12 temperatures by Friday afternoon are in the
60s and hold there into early Saturday. While not going that far
just yet...the corresponding upper level pattern mentioned above
does fit the mold and an unseasonably cool Friday afternoon and
still cool-ish Saturday (70s to lower 80s) would not be out of the
realm of possibility. Such a trend would also change the nature of
precipitation a bit...overrunning rain with embedded rumbles but a
lower threat for severe thunderstorms.

LONG TERM (Thursday Night through Tuesday): The trend for
forecast difficulty in location and timing of rainfall which has
been a hallmark of the past couple of weeks continues this period
as well...but there are a few interesting features on the map that
should help to resolve the issue during the first few days of the
period.
First: While rainfall and thunderstorm intensity (or occurrence at
all, particularly for the populated Rio Grande Valley) has been
the bugaboo...the focus may turn to the first true front in about
two weeks to cross part or all of the Deep S. Texas/Rio Grande
Valley region. Such a front would provide some welcome relief in
some...or all...areas from the summer swelter so far this May
especially at night. Unlike the pattern in the recent 10-14 days
which has been dominated by the subtropical jet with southwest
U.S./northern Baja cutoffs ejecting energy out of them, for
Thursday night through Sunday, confidence is increasing in a
northern stream interaction, including a somewhat late cross
polar flow at 500 mb diving into the eastern Rockies and
northern/central Plains. This flow brings down relatively chilly
air (for mid May) with a 1026+ surface ridge into the eastern
Colorado/western Kansas area by early Friday, with a fairly far
south extension of the nose of the ridge deep into Texas.
The NAM-12, which for fall and winter was often the most accurate
in handling associated shallow cool air masses into the RGV and
northern Mexico, once again drives noticeably cooler (and
refreshing) air into most of the region, driving north/northwest
flow all the way into the nearshore waters by late Friday. The GFS
and ECMWF are typically tardy with this...but are trending in the
direction. Raw NAM-12 temperatures by Friday afternoon are in the
60s and hold there into early Saturday. While not going that far
just yet...the corresponding upper level pattern mentioned above
does fit the mold and an unseasonably cool Friday afternoon and
still cool-ish Saturday (70s to lower 80s) would not be out of the
realm of possibility. Such a trend would also change the nature of
precipitation a bit...overrunning rain with embedded rumbles but a
lower threat for severe thunderstorms.
1 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Gregg County is closed and rightfully so with so many impassable roads and widespread damage.
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Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
HockeyTx82 wrote:Shoshana wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Is 11 around? You live next to a government facility?
confused
Our power lines are underground.
It was a reference to Stranger Things, sorry just making a joke. Hope you all are safe.
I love that show! I missed the reference too.lol. No wind damage here. Or hail.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Cpv17 wrote:Rgv20 wrote:Getting ready for Summer down here...Heat Index of 109!
http://i63.tinypic.com/optnjr.png
Screw that.
Thought about moving north? That looks horrible!lol
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

2.6" yesterday and today combined in my part of town.
Monthly total at my location: 7.4”
Total since April 1st: 13.8”
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/GcK9wzt/Screen-Shot-2019-05-08-at-5-16-23-PM.png [/url]
2.6" yesterday and today combined in my part of town.
Monthly total at my location: 7.4”
Total since April 1st: 13.8”
I got 2.1 combined yesterday and today. Haven't kept track of the monthly totals. But I think I am around 5 to 6" for May, plus whatever fell in April. All I know is my yard can't take any more now.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Texas Snowman wrote:No offense intended to anyone here, but I think if it snows one foot in Austin, Dallas and Houston next winter, there will be complaints the very next day.![]()
Lakes are full, wildflowers are blooming, no big killer tornadoes have ravaged the state, it hasn’t hit 100 yet in most of Texas, and no wildfires are raging anywhere.
Sounds like a good spring to me! As Joe Bastardi likes to say, enjoy the weather because it’s the only weather you’ve got.
Agreed! This spring has been wonderful here so far, with plentiful rain and no heat waves. I'm very happy and thankful! Hopefully we can keep this going well into June.
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- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Ralph's Weather wrote:Gregg County is closed and rightfully so with so many impassable roads and widespread damage.
I grew up in Longview and went to HS there. I’ll check on my parents.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
South Texas Storms wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:No offense intended to anyone here, but I think if it snows one foot in Austin, Dallas and Houston next winter, there will be complaints the very next day.![]()
Lakes are full, wildflowers are blooming, no big killer tornadoes have ravaged the state, it hasn’t hit 100 yet in most of Texas, and no wildfires are raging anywhere.
Sounds like a good spring to me! As Joe Bastardi likes to say, enjoy the weather because it’s the only weather you’ve got.
Agreed! This spring has been wonderful here so far, with plentiful rain and no heat waves. I'm very happy and thankful! Hopefully we can keep this going well into June.
yeah I know I had my complaints about winter, but this spring has been perfect to me, I'd rather not have hail busted windshields again

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#neversummer
- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Man, Longview took it on the nose. Lots of damage.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
Re: Texas Spring 2019
HockeyTx82 wrote:Shoshana wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Is 11 around? You live next to a government facility?
confused
Our power lines are underground.
It was a reference to Stranger Things, sorry just making a joke. Hope you all are safe.
Ohhhh, I thought maybe it was a tv or movie reference... we’re fine

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Re: Texas Spring 2019
I saw a report that Lake Buchanan and Lake Travis will each rise at least a couple feet. They're already full.
https://www.kxan.com/weather/weather-bl ... 1990045426
https://www.kxan.com/weather/weather-bl ... 1990045426
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Sneaky little cell trying to slide into the Wichita Falls area


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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
I just finished a jog/run this morning. The air is completely calm. After I stopped and stretched, dang gnat or mosquito buzzing around my ear. Steam emanating from my own body. I felt like I was swimming! I checked the weather station. 72 degrees with 95% humidity, ZERO breeze. Eeek.
It's WET out there!
It's WET out there!

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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Rgv20 wrote:Getting ready for Summer down here...Heat Index of 109!
http://i63.tinypic.com/optnjr.png
The Gates of Hell - The RGV
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
Re: Texas Spring 2019
weatherdude1108 wrote:I just finished a jog/run this morning. The air is completely calm. After I stopped and stretched, dang gnat or mosquito buzzing around my ear. Steam emanating from my own body. I felt like I was swimming! I checked the weather station. 72 degrees with 95% humidity, ZERO breeze. Eeek.
It's WET out there!
There’s a lot of moisture in the air out there for storms to work with later today. Seems like it’s a very unstable airmass.
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