Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

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Cerlin
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2641 Postby Cerlin » Tue Jan 08, 2019 4:47 pm

harp wrote:I wonder why the 12Z FV3 GFS didn't run?

Government shutdown?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2642 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Jan 08, 2019 5:58 pm

These warm temp busts everyday lately have been crazy.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2643 Postby harp » Tue Jan 08, 2019 6:06 pm

18Z FV3 GFS not running either. :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2644 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jan 08, 2019 8:07 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:These warm temp busts everyday lately have been crazy.


I agree. I saw 80 degrees at my house today. Who, uh, what could be causing this? :firedevil:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2645 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Jan 08, 2019 8:35 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:These warm temp busts everyday lately have been crazy.


I agree. I saw 80 degrees at my house today. Who, uh, what could be causing this? :firedevil:


Satan?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2646 Postby gboudx » Tue Jan 08, 2019 9:53 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:These warm temp busts everyday lately have been crazy.


I agree. I saw 80 degrees at my house today. Who, uh, what could be causing this? :firedevil:


Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2647 Postby TexasSam » Tue Jan 08, 2019 10:15 pm

Lol! I love the Church Lady.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2648 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Jan 08, 2019 10:25 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2649 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 08, 2019 10:37 pm

Coming back to Dallas tomorrow night maybe i can bring some colder weather back no snow up here though either :roll: plenty of cold and wind tomorrow apparently
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2650 Postby dhweather » Tue Jan 08, 2019 11:43 pm

Have we started the WINTER CANCEL movement yet? :lol: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2651 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Jan 08, 2019 11:53 pm

dhweather wrote:Have we started the WINTER CANCEL movement yet? :lol: :lol:

It works every other year. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2652 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 08, 2019 11:56 pm

Winter cancel

Its never gonna snow again

Warmth for life

There better get the plows ready DFW :roflmao:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2653 Postby BrokenGlass » Wed Jan 09, 2019 1:52 am

dhweather wrote:Have we started the WINTER CANCEL movement yet? :lol: :lol:

What winter? More like Fall cancel.

In Dallas we used to say we have 2 seasons, “winter and summer”. Might need to update that to “summer and not summer”.


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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2654 Postby orangeblood » Wed Jan 09, 2019 8:20 am

dhweather wrote:Have we started the WINTER CANCEL movement yet? :lol: :lol:


haha not with GEFS 5 day means looking like this..... :cold: :cold:

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2655 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Wed Jan 09, 2019 8:28 am

orangeblood wrote:
dhweather wrote:Have we started the WINTER CANCEL movement yet? :lol: :lol:


haha not with GEFS 5 day means looking like this..... :cold: :cold:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2019010906/gfs-ens_T2maMean_namer_12.png

Hasn’t it been pretty consistently been showing this or something similar?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2656 Postby orangeblood » Wed Jan 09, 2019 8:37 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
dhweather wrote:Have we started the WINTER CANCEL movement yet? :lol: :lol:


haha not with GEFS 5 day means looking like this..... :cold: :cold:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2019010906/gfs-ens_T2maMean_namer_12.png

Hasn’t it been pretty consistently been showing this or something similar?


Yes, models are becoming very consistent showing Canada going into the freezer starting around the 15th....from there, the cold appears to begin overwhelming the pattern. Way too early to know how and to what degree that will affect the southern plains though
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2657 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 09, 2019 8:41 am

00Z Euro has cross-Polar flow setting up on the 13th. I need to get to work on my southern Canada wall...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2658 Postby spencer817 » Wed Jan 09, 2019 9:16 am

18z FV3 had the icebox coming straight towards NTX, 0z not so much, encouraging though from the ops!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2659 Postby Ntxw » Wed Jan 09, 2019 9:43 am

Indeed some cold showing up in Western Canada medium range.

Lets label +/-20th for label's sake as the demarcation between the milder Pacific air masses shifting to colder continental air transition.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2660 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 09, 2019 10:29 am

The cold is going to build and the pattern is looking decent, but nothing specific to latch onto right now. I still think out best chances for winter weather come after the 23rd. Prior to that around the 14th and 19th we have a couple hail mary shots but those are 10% chances at best right now. At least we are wet and not warm for the time being.
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