Texas Winter 2018-2019

[bubba hotep]

18z GFS about the same H5 but ticks colder at the surface.

[Ntxw]

Both GFS and Euro are developing a strong ULL yet a week to 10 days out. Marginal cold but strong low pressure system. We are going bowling.

[bubba hotep]

Both GFS and Euro are developing a strong ULL yet a week to 10 days out. Marginal cold but strong low pressure system. We are going bowling.

I mentioned last night that this upcoming period was loaded with potential. We should see the NPAC shuffle allowing for cold to return to N. America with a continuation of the active STJ. Get one of these cutoffs rolling across the state with cold air in place and lots of people will be happy.

[Ntxw]

Both GFS and Euro are developing a strong ULL yet a week to 10 days out. Marginal cold but strong low pressure system. We are going bowling.

I mentioned last night that this upcoming period was loaded with potential. We should see the NPAC shuffle allowing for cold to return to N. America with a continuation of the active STJ. Get one of these cutoffs rolling across the state with cold air in place and lots of people will be happy.

You did call it sir. 10 days ago this period looked milder than the period prior. But in years where it wants to snow, it will find snow.

Curious the southern stream energy this week. Maybe more qpf to latch on than models currently show?

[Cpv17]

Our source region is loaded with cold air on the long range GFS. That type of cold that could come down might be too strong for any qpf in NTX like some of you have mentioned that was the problem last year for y’all up there.

[cheezyWXguy]

Our source region is loaded with cold air on the long range GFS. That type of cold that could come down might be too strong for any qpf in NTX like some of you have mentioned that was the problem last year for y’all up there.

Although we had some very cold air last year, if I remember correctly the main reason we couldn't get snow in dfw was due more to the pattern/storm track than it being too cold to snow. Systems that impacted NTX last year tended to move southward through the interior US in a track/orientation that minimized moisture return from the gulf or baja. It was only when the storms passed closer to the coast, or moved east of Texas that they were able to wrap in sufficient moisture.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Both GFS and Euro are developing a strong ULL yet a week to 10 days out. Marginal cold but strong low pressure system. We are going bowling.

I leave the 19th . I saw the model and shed a small tear.

[BrokenGlass]

Well in DFW local met news, both Delkus and Henry are using bear watch language in reference to the late week storm.


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[gpsnowman]

Well in DFW local met news, both Delkus and Henry are using bear watch language in reference to the late week storm.


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As did Rick Mitchell on NBC 5. Again though, temps will be an issue.

[DonWrk]

 https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1072281833767952384

[Ntxw]

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1072281833767952384

I've had an inkling/feeling for awhile this is going to be a blockbuster winter for DFW and in those exact areas. This is what 1963, 1977, and 2009 did.

[South Texas Storms]

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1072281833767952384

I've had an inkling/feeling for awhile this is going to be a blockbuster winter for DFW and in those exact areas. This is what 1963, 1977, and 2009 did.

I hope the fun extends southward across the state as well. After getting a nice taste of snow last winter, I want more!

[SnowintheFalls]

Hope DFW gets it's snow so we can all go back to wishing for more snow without sounding greedy! lol #winteriscoming

[bubba hotep]

The 18z GEFS, much like the 12z Euro EPS, shows a wide variety of winter wx solutions but almost all members have some version.

[Ntxw]

0z NAM is running. Hard to believe we're already back to model watching so soon.

[Cerlin]

0z NAM is running. Hard to believe we're already back to model watching so soon.

I hope it’s like this the rest of winter!!

[bubba hotep]

Curious the southern stream energy this week. Maybe more qpf to latch on than models currently show?

The 12z Euro is already pretty wet across Northern DFW and up through Paris. If that southern vort slows down then we could see better moisture return out in front of both systems but how does that timing change impact the column on the backside of the northern stream vort? or do we get better phasing and an even more dynamic system?

[Brent]

The 0z nam what a snow band just barely NE of Dallas.

[SGJ]

The 0z nam what a snow band just barely NE of Dallas.
http://i67.tinypic.com/1675hdt.png

Wylie, by any chance?
Nevermind... I see Wylie is covered. Let's keep that going!!!

[Brent]

The 0z nam what a snow band just barely NE of Dallas.
http://i67.tinypic.com/1675hdt.png

Wylie, by any chance?
Nevermind... I see Wylie is covered. Let's keep that going!!!

Now this is the same nam that buried OKC last week only to not see a flake but i feel like this is definitely a better chance