NW Caribbean

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Steve H.
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NW Caribbean

#1 Postby Steve H. » Thu Oct 16, 2003 7:07 am

A yes or no will suffice.Still nothing noteworthy in the western Caribbean, but the models are still hinting. NOGAPS/Canadien showing something in the SW Carib/Nw Carib respectively, and if I was looking at the latest run :? looks like the UKMET develops an area of low pressure between Cuba and Miami. A couple of real weeks left for that area so we'll see. BTW, is JB still holding to Caribbean development :?: A yes or no answer would be sufficient :wink:
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DESTRUCTION5
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Yes Strongly! n/t

#2 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 16, 2003 8:34 am

..
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#3 Postby Steve H. » Thu Oct 16, 2003 9:36 am

Thanks :wink:
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#4 Postby Aimless » Thu Oct 16, 2003 1:35 pm

yes......or....no
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Yes

#5 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 16, 2003 1:48 pm

Speaking of yes Could that distinct spin just east od Jamacia be the start of a anthther JB masterpiece?

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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#6 Postby Valkhorn » Thu Oct 16, 2003 2:55 pm

Destruction, even if that developed it would pull a Michelle and travel northeastward by the looks of it.
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#7 Postby Steve H. » Thu Oct 16, 2003 3:09 pm

In the short term:

AN
INVERTED LOW LVL TROUGH IS TO FORM OVER THE WRN CARIBBEAN BY 48
HRS...WITH THE UKMET FCSTING A LOW TO FORM OVER WRN CUBA BY 60
HRS AND THEN EJECT NE ACROSS THE NW BAHAMAS BY 72 HRS. ALTHOUGH
THE UKMET IS CONSISTENT WITH ITS PREVIOUS RUNS...IT HAS FAILED
TO GAIN THE SUPPORT OF THE OTHER MDLS. THIS SOLUTION WILL BE
HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE INTERACTION OF THE AMPLIFYING UPPER
TROUGH WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT...AND IF IT DEVELOPS AS THE
UKMET PROJECTS...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING ORGANIZED
CONVECTION OVER WRN CUBA/NW BAHAMAS.

In the long term: Who the heck knows
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