WPAC: MANGKHUT - Post-Tropical

[doomhaMwx]

[Highteeld]

That's about as good as it gets for an eyewall.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

https://i.imgur.com/cG7pvrO.jpg

That's about as good as it gets for an eyewall.

Where do you get those radar pics?

[mrbagyo]

Wind is raging here in Tagaytay City - south of Manila.
Lights sometimes flicker - may lose power soon. This is one gigantic wind field

[Highteeld]

https://i.imgur.com/cG7pvrO.jpg

That's about as good as it gets for an eyewall.

Where do you get those radar pics?

http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/

[Highteeld]

Intensifying after landfall because why not?

[Cunxi Huang]

I'm sure it's a 900-mb typhoon.

[1900hurricane]

I’d set 18Z/landfall intensity at 155 or 160 kt probably. Microwave intensity estimates supported 155 kt several hours before landfal, and the Dvorak Technique finally supported T7.5 with out a banding feature just prior to landfall.


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[mrbagyo]

This is the strongest landfall in that area since Super Typhoon Gordon in 1989

[supercane4867]

Not sure if Josh can get the calm in the eye with his current location unless it starts to wobble northward

[mrbagyo]

Not sure if Josh can get the calm in the eye with his current location unless it's starts to wobble northward

Yeah, he should have stayed in Magapit

[NotoSans]

This is the strongest landfall in that area since Super Typhoon Gordon in 1989

I think Super Typhoon Zeb in 1998 would be a possible competitor for that title.

[NotoSans]

JTWC at 150KT and JMA at 110KT 905HPA for the landfall intensity.

[mrbagyo]

This is the strongest landfall in that area since Super Typhoon Gordon in 1989

I think Super Typhoon Zeb in 1998 would be a possible competitor for that title.

Zeb was in Isabela province. Gordon was almost at this exact landfall site.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

26W MANGKHUT 180914 1800 18.0N 122.3E WPAC 150 900

This is too bearish

[Highteeld]

Seems too low. 890/160 kts seems more accurate to me. A lot changed in those last few hours before landfall.

[mrbagyo]

It's now detonating its payload

[CryHavoc]

JTWC at 150KT and JMA at 110KT 905HPA for the landfall intensity.

That would place it as clearly stronger than Gordon.

[NotoSans]

Not sure if Josh can get the calm in the eye with his current location unless it starts to wobble northward

I would say a southward wobble looks more likely in this case, so Josh may miss the eye by quite a bit.

[mrbagyo]

JTWC at 150KT and JMA at 110KT 905HPA for the landfall intensity.

That would place it as clearly stronger than Gordon.

I won't put too much weight on the estimate by JTWC and JMA for Gordon. - a grave underestimation. Gordon was more symmetrical and also had a WMG eye embedded in Full CMG ring before landfall