ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

#401 Postby **NDG** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:16 am

Deep convection continues to fire just east of the coc.

#402 Postby **GCANE** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:25 am

Just checked weather stations on the north shore of Cuba.
Winds still generally out of the east.

PSUHiker31 · #403 Postby **PSUHiker31** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:26 am

One thing I haven't seen mentioned is that I do feel like this is moving a bit faster than models have generally projected at this time.

#404 Postby **northjaxpro** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:27 am

Nice and impressive curved band on the eastern quadrant of the developing surface circulation. It definitely looks like liftoff for this system for sure now. It looks fairly healthy early this morning.

#405 Postby **xironman** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:30 am

Shortwave IR shows the position pretty well, probably still too weak to be felt in Cuba

#406 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:33 am

northjaxpro wrote:Nice and impressive curved band on the eastern quadrant of the developing surface circulation. It definitely looks like liftoff for this system for sure now. It looks fairly healthy early this morning.

moderate lighting this morning, ,52 at the house since midnight, lets see if we can get that over 4, just depends on where the training occurs, we have 12 hours to get there..system seems to be ontrack in terms of track and intensity, impressive sat yesterday afternoon wound a few people up but its a good lesson that the surface is really where its at if you want something classified

#407 Postby **GCANE** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:35 am

WINDSAT just came in, about 15 min ago

#408 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:35 am

#409 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:38 am

NDG wrote:I can't believe they didn't upgrade it, but daylight might change their mind when first visible pics come in.
There is finally some nice pressure drop across the Keys.

they need a defined center, there are multiple "centers" moving within the broad circulation, needs to tighten up to declare, it will happen in time

#410 Postby **NDG** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:40 am

GCANE wrote:Just checked weather stations on the north shore of Cuba.
Winds still generally out of the east.

There are southerly winds to the south of the developing circulation, keep in mind that it is a very small circulation as forecasted by the models.

Aric Dunn · #411 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:40 am

the broad circ out west of the convection has elongated out .. looks like a reformation to the ene with that very deep convection on radar and sat. interesting..

WAcyclone · #412 Postby **WAcyclone** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:40 am

GCANE wrote:WINDSAT just came in, about 15 min ago

This is a more than 10 hours old pass. It also looks like the swath missed the system to the west.

#413 Postby **GCANE** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:44 am

Looks like in-feed of TPW is being choked off by Cuba.
That should end when it reaches about 85W.

#414 Postby **GCANE** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:47 am

WAcyclone wrote:
GCANE wrote:WINDSAT just came in, about 15 min ago

This is a more than 10 hours old pass. It also looks like the swath missed the system to the west.

Am I missing something?
Time stamp is 9:19 UTC.
Right now its 9:46 UTC

#415 Postby **NDG** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:47 am

GCANE wrote:WINDSAT just came in, about 15 min ago

http://i66.tinypic.com/sl2q6v.png

Incorrect, this image is from yesterday's pass, look at the time stamp on the bottom right. Late this morning is when there will be another pass in this area.

#416 Postby **NDG** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:51 am

BTW, Port Everglades has been reporting wing gusts 45-50 mph at times with the incoming squalls since midnight.

Nimbus · #417 Postby **Nimbus** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:54 am

Winds at Long key should swing from ENE at 40 degrees to due east at 90 degrees.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=LONF1

System is still under light shear but looks like it has only one low level center on radar.

#418 Postby **GCANE** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:55 am

ULL is just to the SW of the CoC.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... uct=wv-mid

#419 Postby **GCANE** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:56 am

NDG wrote:
GCANE wrote:WINDSAT just came in, about 15 min ago

http://i66.tinypic.com/sl2q6v.png

Incorrect, this image is from yesterday's pass, look at the time stamp on the bottom right. Late this morning is when there will be another pass in this area.

Thanks for the correction

Aric Dunn · #420 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:58 am

lol they have so many marine warnings out.. could have just a TS warning

ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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