#2098 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 30, 2018 2:52 pm
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
As for what I would have as Lane's best track, here is what I would set it (starting at initial circulation):
EP142018, LANE, 77,
20180814, 0000, , LO, 11.1N, 116.5W, 25, 1013,
20180814, 0600, , LO, 11.0N, 117.3W, 25, 1013,
20180814, 1200, , LO, 11.0N, 118.2W, 25, 1012,
20180814, 1800, , LO, 11.0N, 119.4W, 25, 1012,
20180815, 0000, , TD, 10.9N, 120.6W, 30, 1010,
20180815, 0600, , TS, 10.8N, 121.7W, 35, 1008,
20180815, 1200, , TS, 10.7N, 122.8W, 35, 1008,
20180815, 1800, , TS, 10.5N, 123.9W, 45, 1005,
20180816, 0000, , TS, 10.3N, 124.9W, 45, 1006,
20180816, 0600, , TS, 10.3N, 125.9W, 45, 1006,
20180816, 1200, , TS, 10.4N, 126.9W, 50, 1003,
20180816, 1800, , TS, 10.5N, 127.9W, 60, 1001,
20180817, 0000, , HU, 10.9N, 129.2W, 65, 998,
20180817, 0600, , HU, 11.1N, 130.7W, 75, 992,
20180817, 1200, , HU, 11.2N, 132.1W, 80, 988,
20180817, 1800, , HU, 11.3N, 133.6W, 90, 981,
20180818, 0000, , HU, 11.6N, 134.9W, 105, 968,
20180818, 0600, , HU, 11.9N, 136.2W, 120, 957,
20180818, 1200, , HU, 12.1N, 137.5W, 125, 951,
20180818, 1800, , HU, 12.4N, 138.9W, 120, 955,
20180819, 0000, , HU, 12.6N, 140.3W, 110, 963,
20180819, 0600, , HU, 12.8N, 141.6W, 105, 966,
20180819, 1200, , HU, 13.1N, 142.9W, 100, 970,
20180819, 1800, , HU, 13.4N, 144.1W, 105, 967,
20180820, 0000, , HU, 13.6N, 145.3W, 105, 966,
20180820, 0600, , HU, 13.7N, 146.5W, 105, 966,
20180820, 1200, , HU, 13.7N, 147.7W, 110, 965,
20180820, 1800, , HU, 13.7N, 148.6W, 110, 964,
20180821, 0000, , HU, 13.8N, 149.8W, 120, 957,
20180821, 0600, , HU, 13.9N, 150.8W, 125, 952,
20180821, 1200, , HU, 14.0N, 151.8W, 135, 945,
20180821, 1800, , HU, 14.2N, 152.7W, 140, 941,
20180822, 0000, , HU, 14.4N, 153.6W, 145, 930,
20180822, 0600, , HU, 14.5N, 154.2W, 145, 926,
20180822, 1200, , HU, 14.9N, 155.0W, 135, 938,
20180822, 1800, , HU, 15.2N, 155.6W, 130, 940,
20180823, 0000, , HU, 15.6N, 156.3W, 120, 946,
20180823, 0600, , HU, 16.0N, 156.7W, 125, 942,
20180823, 1200, , HU, 16.6N, 157.2W, 115, 949,
20180823, 1800, , HU, 17.0N, 157.5W, 105, 954,
20180824, 0000, , HU, 17.5N, 157.8W, 100, 956,
20180824, 0600, , HU, 18.0N, 157.9W, 95, 961,
20180824, 1200, , HU, 18.4N, 157.9W, 85, 968,
20180824, 1800, , HU, 18.8N, 158.0W, 70, 977,
20180825, 0000, , TS, 19.1N, 158.1W, 55, 988,
20180825, 0600, , TS, 19.3N, 158.2W, 50, 992,
20180825, 1200, , TS, 19.5N, 158.6W, 45, 995,
20180825, 1800, , TS, 19.6N, 159.1W, 45, 996,
20180826, 0000, , TS, 19.5N, 160.0W, 40, 999,
20180826, 0600, , TS, 19.4N, 160.7W, 40, 1000,
20180826, 1200, , TS, 19.3N, 161.6W, 35, 1003,
20180826, 1800, , TS, 19.2N, 162.4W, 35, 1003,
20180827, 0000, , TS, 19.0N, 163.3W, 35, 1004,
20180827, 0600, , TS, 18.9N, 164.3W, 35, 1004,
20180827, 1200, , TS, 18.8N, 165.1W, 40, 1002,
20180827, 1800, , TS, 18.6N, 166.0W, 40, 1003,
20180828, 0000, , TS, 18.4N, 166.5W, 35, 1005,
20180828, 0600, , TD, 18.5N, 167.1W, 30, 1008,
20180828, 1200, , LO, 18.6N, 168.1W, 30, 1008,
20180828, 1800, , LO, 18.7N, 168.5W, 25, 1010,
20180829, 0000, , LO, 19.1N, 169.0W, 25, 1011,
20180829, 0600, , LO, 19.7N, 169.2W, 25, 1011,
20180829, 1200, , LO, 20.9N, 169.3W, 25, 1010,
20180829, 1800, , LO, 22.9N, 169.8W, 25, 1010,
20180830, 0000, , LO, 24.5N, 171.0W, 30, 1008,
20180830, 0600, , LO, 26.3N, 171.5W, 30, 1007,
20180830, 1200, , LO, 28.4N, 172.8W, 35, 1004,
20180830, 1800, , LO, 30.2N, 174.2W, 40, 1003,
20180831, 0000, , SS, 30.5N, 175.5W, 45, 1001,
20180831, 0600, , SS, 31.3N, 176.4W, 45, 1000,
20180831, 1200, , SS, 31.8N, 177.1W, 50, 998,
20180831, 1800, , SS, 32.2N, 177.5W, 50, 998,
20180901, 0000, , SS, 32.7N, 177.8W, 50, 997,
20180901, 0600, , SS, 33.5N, 178.0W, 55, 995,
20180901, 1200, , TS, 34.4N, 178.2W, 55, 994,
20180901, 1800, , TS, 35.6N, 178.4W, 60, 992,
20180902, 0000, , TS, 36.8N, 178.5W, 60, 990,
20180902, 0600, , HU, 38.0N, 178.5W, 65, 986,
* The EPAC portion is largely unchanged, although an initial peak of 125 kt is added when satellite was best at that point.
* After the reorganization, the peak intensity is increased to 145 kt.
* From the peak until after rapid weakening, the intensities are mostly brought down. That is especially true on the 24th.
* Based on ASCAT passes, the intensities after Hawaii are increased - I believe it remained a TS in that time.
* UPDATE September 1: Designated the unnamed storm mentioned by some as an extension of Lane.
Last edited by
CrazyC83 on Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:28 am, edited 4 times in total.
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