Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

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GCANE
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Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#1 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 10:29 am

Lots of vortical hot towers firing off this morning in low shear.
Albeit LL Vort is weak, this may be a slow brew from a PV streamer.
Keeping an eye on this.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#2 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 10:32 am

Solid CAPE at 4000
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#3 Postby SoupBone » Mon Aug 27, 2018 10:52 am

GCANE wrote:Lots of vortical hot towers firing off this morning in low shear.
Albeit LL Vort is weak, this may be a slow brew from a PV streamer.
Keeping an eye on this.



No images?
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#4 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Aug 27, 2018 10:54 am

SoupBone wrote:
GCANE wrote:Lots of vortical hot towers firing off this morning in low shear.
Albeit LL Vort is weak, this may be a slow brew from a PV streamer.
Keeping an eye on this.



No images?

it was upper low pass by fl doing weekend not becoming tropical
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#5 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 10:59 am

SoupBone wrote:
GCANE wrote:Lots of vortical hot towers firing off this morning in low shear.
Albeit LL Vort is weak, this may be a slow brew from a PV streamer.
Keeping an eye on this.



No images?



At Sunrise

Image
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#6 Postby SoupBone » Mon Aug 27, 2018 11:03 am

GCANE wrote:
SoupBone wrote:
GCANE wrote:Lots of vortical hot towers firing off this morning in low shear.
Albeit LL Vort is weak, this may be a slow brew from a PV streamer.
Keeping an eye on this.



No images?



At Sunrise

Image



Yeah I noticed that as well. It's that time of year for sure and shear is low right in that spot. Though, there's a much higher area of shear right at the Texas coast.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#7 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 11:08 am

Keeping an eye on low-level moisture.
Persistent convection could fill this in.
It may take time to develop if at all.

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#8 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 11:42 am

Strong convection to the NE of the 250mb low.
Good position to pull down the vort to lower levels.

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Image
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#9 Postby TexWx » Mon Aug 27, 2018 11:45 am

I was checking this out this morning on TWC.
I thought they would mention it, but nope.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#10 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 12:00 pm

Chances may be improving

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#11 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 12:38 pm

CAPE increasing.
Now up to 4500 flowing directly into convection

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#12 Postby SoupBone » Mon Aug 27, 2018 12:42 pm

So what's driving the lack of discussion for this one? Is it the close proximity to land already?
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#13 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 3:08 pm

Improving LL Vort

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#14 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 27, 2018 3:18 pm

700mb vort also consolidating from the convection.
500mb vort obviously coming down as a PV streamer from the 200mb vort.

Watching 26N 51W for the vorts to combine.
This could be a good case study for TC genesis from a PV streamer if indeed it happens.

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Image

Image
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Re:Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#15 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 29, 2018 11:56 am

Looking a little better today.
Convection picking up.
Improved surface convergence south of LA coast.


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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#16 Postby Nimbus » Wed Aug 29, 2018 12:48 pm

Lowest surface pressure was a ship report of 29.97 off Tampa bay area.
Radar echoes are upper level but some wind directions coming down with the rain might indicate a mid level circ?
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#17 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 29, 2018 2:10 pm

NAM on Monday night was the only model really developing anything out of this. It still shows a bit of a twist, but it doesn't look like much is going to come from it.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 82912&fh=6
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#18 Postby lrak » Wed Aug 29, 2018 2:24 pm

Steve wrote:NAM on Monday night was the only model really developing anything out of this. It still shows a bit of a twist, but it doesn't look like much is going to come from it.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 82912&fh=6


I sure hope a little of that green hits the S.TX coast. We are dry as a bone.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#19 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 29, 2018 2:26 pm

A couple small hot towers 27.5N 92.5W
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#20 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Aug 29, 2018 2:41 pm

The gulf sure is unsettled today and looks to stay this way through next week. Quite a change from how it has looked for the majority of the summer:

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