Texas Spring 2018

[Brent]

I am moving to durant tomorrow and so ill be making a trip back and forth from wylie.. The 23x hrrr model is faster with the front I am excited for 00z the trend is good to see some winter at least in durant

ah that makes more sense

I'm guessing probably icy more than anything

[Jarodm12]

Here comes 00z! front is faster

[bubba hotep]

The Texas Tech 4k Ensemble seems to like the dryline tomorrow afternoon in the area highlighted by FWD.

[bubba hotep]

00z 3k NAM gets freezing rain or sleet into the northern burbs of DFW.

[bubba hotep]

Westward expansion by SPC with the morning update with hail hatch over DFW and 5% TOR for eastern areas.

[bubba hotep]

FWD highlights the chance of some winter wx for NW areaa

[Ntxw]

April isn't really known for freezing rain or drizzle. Ground is much too warm and sun angle too strong. I can see a stray sleet pellet here and there. A fast moving line of storms as the front comes through. Story will be the cold for April. Anytime you get in the 30s on the fourth month is pretty noteworthy. April 2014 was the last time we had 30s at DFW for the month.

[northjaxpro]

GFS 240 hour 850 mb heights and temperature forecast

LOL.. That is a very impressive cold airmass shown for mid-April for much of the Eastern CONUS. You would think it is mid-December looking at the extended forecast instead. So far 2018 is seemingly not allowing Old Man Winter to leave the scene. What Spring?????? Amazing.....

Also, latest teleconnection forecasts are now hinting at the - NAO sticking around through the rest of April.

[Ntxw]

Ensembles keep the chill in North America. The -NAO persistence and some Pacific help is keeping a rather unusual below normal April, although not unlike some oncoming El Nino Aprils.

As noted before, along with Bubba's posts, heading into solar min, changes in the tropical Pacific it might be a cooler year (relative to the record years of the past several) overall for us.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Fronts coming through here. This wind is insane.

[bubba hotep]

Watch for DFW

[opticsguy]

I remember in the '70s some snow falling in June and a hard freeze in August in NW lower Michigan. I remember one of the summers, 76 or 77, having only a few days where it got over 80 degrees the whole summer.

If weather like this persists into mid-May, then there will be impacts on corn vs soybean planting, etc.

[bubba hotep]

Multiple discrete supercells developing just west of the metro.

[bubba hotep]

[Ntxw]

Cell moving into Collin County looks pretty potent. Might have a hail core with it

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/982381490519642112

[Yukon Cornelius]

Road crews were out all day today treating the bridges and overpasses. I feel like that’s going a little far.

[bubba hotep]

Cell moving into Collin County looks pretty potent. Might have a hail core with it

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/982381490519642112

Hopefully it stays north and doesn't hook to the SE, looking nasty on radar.

[Ntxw]

Cell moving into Collin County looks pretty potent. Might have a hail core with it

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/982381490519642112

Hopefully it stays north and doesn't hook to the SE, looking nasty on radar.

Pretty good sign of hook, ball. Folks up that way better be taking shelter

[bubba hotep]

Very intense returns just north of the notch, typically a sign of an extreme rotating updraft and giant hail, could produce a tornado.

[bubba hotep]

Hooking hard SE, big trouble...