Texas Spring 2018

[bubba hotep]

12z GFS dropped the 06z winter storm but keeps the wet cool theme well into April.

[Brent]

12z GFS dropped the 06z winter storm but keeps the wet cool theme well into April.

anything not a heat wave is a win imo

[Tejas89]

Slightly warmer-than-normal temps the next few days in DFW. Chamber of commerce weather, as they say.

March will come in 5 to 6F above normal temp-wise, and just below normal on rainfall.

[bubba hotep]

12z Euro with record cold at DFW and one of the latest freezes on record. Northern burbs are in the upper 20s. My garden is looking great and I'll fight someone if this happens lol

[Haris]

Do you guys eye another active period for TX anytime soon ? I know not the next 1-2 weeks

[Brent]

12z Euro with record cold at DFW and one of the latest freezes on record. Northern burbs are in the upper 20s. My garden is looking great and I'll fight someone if this happens lol

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... mer_11.png

did we go back to January?

[1900hurricane]

Do you guys eye another active period for TX anytime soon ? I know not the next 1-2 weeks

Perhaps in the two week period. There are some hints of a NPac jet extension and a western North America trough. That's a good rain combination for Texas, but could also bring severe weather implications.

 https://twitter.com/wxmann/status/979272798395809792




 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/979412662865055744




 https://twitter.com/wxmann/status/979274603628392448

[downsouthman1]

Wow, today is the 18th anniversary of the storm that started it all for me.

Wow. 18 years already. I remember this. I was living and working in Fort Worth back then. When the outbreak occurred that afternoon and evening, I was at work at Nokia off 170, near 114. Sky was black. I remember sirens sounding and them telling us to take cover. Barely any rain where we were. Finally they let us out. We started hearing reports that even though we were spared, downtown Fort Worth took a direct blow from a tornado, including heavily damaging a highrise building with a restaurant on top. Also hail killed a man trying to save his truck from damage. Traffic was trash for days through downtown as everyone wanted to see the damaged tower. Back then, it was believed by most that tornadoes could not strike a downtown area because the buildings would disrupt the wind flow and destroy the tornado..so when people saw the damage, they were shocked.

[Brent]

the 6z GFS goes from 90s in DFW to a freeze in DFW the next day around day 10

[Ntxw]

the 6z GFS goes from 90s in DFW to a freeze in DFW the next day around day 10

These freezes keeps being 10 days out and leveling out in the medium to short term. Not sure I buy that yet. I do like the idea of some below normal. As we get closer there has been an escape route for the coldest anomalies to the east/northeast (-NAO?)

STY Jelawat is going poleward, maybe that will help buckle things some this go round.

[bubba hotep]

MJO going 8-1-2 in April looks like a cooler than normal signal for much of the US.

[Brent]

I'm curious about Monday... what's a 20-25 degree difference between models?

GFS/Euro 70s NAM 50s in Dallas. CMC Is near 80! This is a few days ago when the Euro had the freeze and snow

Does look like a much more obvious front for Wednesday though

[Ntxw]

March is at 63.2 (+5.7F) good enough to tie 10th warmest for DFW. Today should be above normal which may be enough to beat out some other years and be 10th alone.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Pretty stout spring cold front on tap for tomorrow. High tomorrow of 50, which is the low for tonight. Temps dropping to low 40s by 5pm and then a low tomorrow night in the mid 30s.

[northjaxpro]

Some of you may need to dust off that Texas Winter Thread lol... GFS showed this similar solution back on Thursday.@ 240 hours. The latest 252 hour 18Z GFS long range guidance is depicting quite an impressive cold intrusion of air for mid-April funneling down East of the Rockies into Texas.

This is long range and the models could easily back off this, but definitely something to keep an eye on as time progresses.

[Brent]

Some of you may need to dust off that Texas Winter Thread lol... GFS showed this similar solution back on Thursday.@ 240 hours. The latest 252 hour 18Z GFS long range guidance is depicting quite an impressive cold intrusion of air for mid-April funneling down East of the Rockies into Texas.

This is long range and the models could easily back off this, but definitely something to keep an eye on as time progresses.

the hints definitely keep appearing is interesting in itself

and tomorrow night and Monday seems to have trended more to the outlier NAM which is a drastic front in DFW tomorrow evening

Also the end of the NAM has freezing temps in DFW Wednesday morning. It is an outlier right now but it also was an outlier tomorrow too... have to see if it stays consistent first though

[lukem]

6 degrees in Livingston, Montana this morning. I think the forecasted low was supposed to be like 17. Reminds me of some of the fronts this winter where they really seemed to underestimate the cold.

[bubba hotep]

HRRR has temps plummeting into the lower 50s this afternoon across the northern portions of DFW.

[Brent]

Front just hit here wasnt that warm to begin with with the clouds and wind but definitely feeling colder already

[Yukon Cornelius]

Pretty chilly Easter Day. Currently 45 with a wind chill of 36.