Texas Winter 2017-2018

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Theepicman116
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5761 Postby Theepicman116 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:04 pm

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Much of Tarrant county still getting some snow however it’s just a dusting. :roll: Hopefully we get more than just a dusting.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5762 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:10 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
Captmorg70 wrote:This looks like a big bummer for north of DFW :( Seems like we have had a lot of cold this winter up this way, but can’t get any precipitation


Another one of those "too cold to snow" situations. This winter has turned out to be a big ol Winter Cancel in my book. It's not winter unless we get a good sleet or snow storm for me.


Well considering this part of the world only averages around an inch of snow every year, this storm coming up is what "winter" is typically like around these parts. Nothing too out of the ordinary, just so many factors have to come together for frozen precip considering our latitude


I'm good with sleet, actually. It looks like snow. It's been hard to even get that the past couple of years.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5763 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:16 pm

Euro looks like it will hold steady for the northeast quarter of the state

Anyone notice 1050mb high in Nebraska? Been trending west with the HP
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5764 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:19 pm

Ntxw wrote:Euro looks like it will hold steady for the northeast quarter of the state

Anyone notice 1050mb high in Nebraska? Been trending west with the HP


Yep, definitely been following that. That’s some bone chilling cold on the Euro. Crazy strong hp.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5765 Postby stormlover2013 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:21 pm

Did euro change any?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5766 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:45 pm

The trough has been trending west for this cold front. This is very good news. Especially for us in SE Tx, lowers the affect of the Ouachita mountains.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5767 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:46 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:Did euro change any?


It's about 5 deg colder for SE TX on Wednesday. Heavier snow west of San Antonio/Austin, lighter snow DFW area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5768 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:48 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:The trough has been trending west for this cold front. This is very good news. Especially for us in SE Tx, lowers the affect of the Ouachita mountains.


Don't expect much more here than cold rain possibly mixed in with some sleet pellets on Tuesday. Te setup is nothing close to the Dec. 8th snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5769 Postby PineyWoods » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:55 pm

wxman57 wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:Did euro change any?


It's about 5 deg colder for SE TX on Wednesday. Heavier snow west of San Antonio/Austin, lighter snow DFW area.


Since less snow for DFW does that mean less to no snow for Tyler and points east?
We do seem to be mostly cold and dry so far this winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5770 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jan 14, 2018 1:56 pm

Rather disappointing to see the Euro start to dry out the 1st system, kind of feels like the beginning of the end :(

At this point, can't put any stock on the 2nd round given the model issues here lately.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5771 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:07 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Rather disappointing to see the Euro start to dry out the 1st system, kind of feels like the beginning of the end :(

At this point, can't put any stock on the 2nd round given the model issues here lately.


Bubba, what do you mean by euro dry out the 1st system? We have folks who are concerned about closings Tuesday. We need to elaborate so plans can be made.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5772 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:16 pm

Ntxw wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Rather disappointing to see the Euro start to dry out the 1st system, kind of feels like the beginning of the end :(

At this point, can't put any stock on the 2nd round given the model issues here lately.


Bubba, what do you mean by euro dry out the 1st system? We have folks who are concerned about closings Tuesday. We need to elaborate so plans can be made.


QPF across DFW is basically cut in half with most areas down to 0.10" or below. Without looking at soundings, probably little to no accumulation west of I35 and then slowly increasing as you head NE. Significant accumulations (2"+) look to be confined to NE Texas into the ArkLaTx.

ETA: Obviously, people should focus on what the local NWS office and local mets are forecasting.
Last edited by bubba hotep on Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5773 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:16 pm

Moderator hat on

IMPORTANT!!!

As a reminder to all, we no longer require a disclaimer as it is automatic above the board but please remember when making claims of "dud", "nothing will happen" etc to be considerate that this is not all fun and games. We freely discuss all things but remember to try and provide a little more information for such claims to help us.

Always refer to your NWS forecast products for official information


As we were!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5774 Postby gboudx » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:17 pm

So what you're saying is that Lucy is teeing up the football for DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5775 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:23 pm

gboudx wrote:So what you're saying is that Lucy is teeing up the football for DFW.


It still looks like it will snow. But most were optimistically hopeful it would be some inches, but we need qpf and we are threading tenths of an inch makes a difference between dusting or 2"
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5776 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:33 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:The trough has been trending west for this cold front. This is very good news. Especially for us in SE Tx, lowers the affect of the Ouachita mountains.


Don't expect much more here than cold rain possibly mixed in with some sleet pellets on Tuesday. Te setup is nothing close to the Dec. 8th snow.


Correct, i wrote off the possibility of snow long ago. Huge warm nose. Ice or sleet wouldnt be the worst here, i enjoy any winter precip.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5777 Postby missygirl810 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:33 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Rather disappointing to see the Euro start to dry out the 1st system, kind of feels like the beginning of the end :(

At this point, can't put any stock on the 2nd round given the model issues here lately.


Bubba, what do you mean by euro dry out the 1st system? We have folks who are concerned about closings Tuesday. We need to elaborate so plans can be made.


QPF across DFW is basically cut in half with most areas down to 0.10" or below. Without looking at soundings, probably little to no accumulation west of I35 and then slowly increasing as you head NE. Significant accumulations (2"+) look to be confined to NE Texas into the ArkLaTx.

ETA: Obviously, people should focus on what the local NWS office and local mets are forecasting.




My hopes were going down until you posted that. I am in Greenville. Maybe we will see a little something.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5778 Postby downsouthman1 » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:45 pm

Well standing outside right now doing some car maintenance, I can confirm that the Gulf is open for business and it's beautiful out. Enjoy it while you can.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5779 Postby Texas Snow » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:53 pm

Tech model not a friend to Dallas
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#5780 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:58 pm

None of the WRF models (TX Tech, NMM, and ARW) show much snow for Dallas. Most precip is south of DFW on those runs.
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