Brent wrote:cold is well and good but we need rain
I hope for both, though the rain will likely be in short supply with the cold eastern Pacific we have. Some SW troughing should help get us some moisture though.
Texas Fall 2017
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Ralph's Weather
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I hope for both, though the rain will likely be in short supply with the cold eastern Pacific we have. Some SW troughing should help get us some moisture though.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Looks like snow in the area on Pearl Harbor Day, well the Edwards plateau area and points south/east of the Big Bend in Mexico. Can't wait! 
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
More optimistic QPF chances with north Texas, with one to two inch possibilities over the next two weeks. One inch or less probabilities in central parts of the state. Houston metro area gets about an inch. All subject to change in the next run.
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aggiecutter
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Good morning. I'll just leave this right here.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Most of the mid-range models are showing a big arctic outbreak for the early to mid December range.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I hate to poo-poo on the parade but I have noticed a trend of the models showing a large trough over the eastern CONUS and a cutoff low, only to then blend the two into one large trough over the east and no cutoff low. I see what y'all are showing there but ... well ... I'm skeptical right now that it will verify. And it really sucks because we are getting desperate for rain.
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Portastorm wrote::uarrow:
I hate to poo-poo on the parade but I have noticed a trend of the models showing a large trough over the eastern CONUS and a cutoff low, only to then blend the two into one large trough over the east and no cutoff low. I see what y'all are showing there but ... well ... I'm skeptical right now that it will verify. And it really sucks because we are getting desperate for rain.
Correct, typically when they say "Polar Vortex," it doesnt mean crazy cold for us, it's more east based. I'm more excited of the the blocking signal that keeps popping up. Cold air is coming down for sure.
We may get a one off event or two with big rain, but you know that during la nina we cant expect much rain. Water restrictions will be coming in the spring im sure.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
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aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Tomorrow is the last day to post in this thread and then will be closed for open discussion. Much talk is already in the winter thread as December looks to be interesting ahead!
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Quick Link to "Texas Winter 2017-2018":
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=118636
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=118636
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Well this will be my last post in this thread. I'm one angry rain miser right now. Not a drop of rain to finish out November... Grrr. 
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
Re: Texas Fall 2017
Adios Texas Fall. You were too warm and dry. Now on to a cold and wet winter!!!!
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
The good thing I can say about Fall 2017 is that the leaves in my part of the world changed color earlier this autumn than last one. So that is a good thing. And I had a nice cold morning on Thanksgiving when I got up at 4 am and started smoking the traditional brisket and turkey for patrons of the Portastorm Weather Center. So there's that. LOL. Otherwise, yeah, no rain ... adios autumn. Bring on the cold and wet!
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I'm going to make the call a little early time wise but most discussion is already over in the winter thread anyway..so with that
This thread is now Closed for discussion as we have transitioned to the Winter thread for December-January-February. All general discussion posts will be moved. Thank you all as we close out meteorological Fall
If you need to find the thread ngturner1 has the hotlink above
This thread is now Closed for discussion as we have transitioned to the Winter thread for December-January-February. All general discussion posts will be moved. Thank you all as we close out meteorological Fall
If you need to find the thread ngturner1 has the hotlink above
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