ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2061 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:30 am

Dean4Storms wrote:We are 3 miles or so from the Walton-Okaloosa county line where they start the Tropical Storm Warnings clear over to Indian Pass yet my Tallahassee NWS Office has us forecast for 20-25mph winds gusting to 30mph and we're about 12 hours from a landfall. I don't get that, such discrepancy and then we wonder why the average Joe gets so complacent and/or confused.


Try this site it is NWS out of Tallahassee showing potential wind, rain, surge and tornado activity.
http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=tae
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2062 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:31 am

not turning yet.


man its really moving fast.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2063 Postby PTPatrick » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:31 am

Edit: actually HRWF is pretty similar strength(80 knots) and showing Jackson county ms landfall, AL line.
Last edited by PTPatrick on Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2064 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:33 am

Glad to see it didn't RI while I was sleeping...though still has time to deepen more..
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2065 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:33 am

Recon data may support an upgrade to category 2 imo. It definately gained some strength
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2066 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:33 am

panamatropicwatch wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:We are 3 miles or so from the Walton-Okaloosa county line where they start the Tropical Storm Warnings clear over to Indian Pass yet my Tallahassee NWS Office has us forecast for 20-25mph winds gusting to 30mph and we're about 12 hours from a landfall. I don't get that, such discrepancy and then we wonder why the average Joe gets so complacent and/or confused.


Try this site it is NWS out of Tallahassee showing potential wind, rain, surge and tornado activity.
http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=tae


Click on threats and impacts.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2067 Postby wxman57 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:34 am

Looks like it cuts across Plaquemines Parish (LA) around 10pm the moves inland around Gulfport near 2am. Strongest winds Biloxi to Pascagoula.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2068 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:34 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Glad to see it didn't RI while I was sleeping...



no it didn't but it did a little bit. Trust me i went to bed thinking i was gonna wake up to a category 4 also...seems to happen so much lately :ggreen:
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2069 Postby BRweather » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:34 am

Looking at radar, leftover moisture over Natchez and Alexandria is not even moving north yet. Still NNW.

Its like the outflow from Nate is putting up a good fight against the impeding trough.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2070 Postby wxman57 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:35 am

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:not turning yet.


man its really moving fast.


It's not expected to make the turn until the center nears SE Louisiana this evening.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2071 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:36 am

center just moving into radar range.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2072 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:37 am

NHC guidance seems to be spot on.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2073 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:37 am

anyone else notice that noname system is still rotating around out there lol..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2074 Postby PTPatrick » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:38 am

I think it the NNE component tonight is what allows it to hit ms. It is booking it though. It'll be close. I think Buras gets clipped and it comes in near Biloxi.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2075 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:39 am

Aric Dunn wrote:anyone else notice that noname system is still rotating around out there lol..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html



I saw that i was a little concerned.. One of the models CMC I think had it flying into the Sarasota area as a tropical system but then dropped it.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data

#2076 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:41 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 071638
AF305 0816A NATE HDOB 49 20171007
162900 2716N 08931W 6967 03116 9991 +107 +070 021018 020 025 001 00
162930 2716N 08929W 6970 03111 9983 +110 +067 022021 022 026 001 00
163000 2716N 08927W 6970 03106 9978 +113 +065 025023 025 029 001 00
163030 2716N 08925W 6966 03107 9970 +117 +063 024024 026 030 002 00
163100 2716N 08923W 6971 03097 9964 +117 +061 021027 029 029 001 00
163130 2716N 08921W 6970 03095 9958 +120 +067 020030 031 029 001 00
163200 2716N 08919W 6967 03094 9954 +119 +077 019031 033 027 002 00
163230 2716N 08917W 6966 03094 9947 +121 +074 020035 036 029 002 00
163300 2716N 08915W 6970 03083 9938 +125 +072 020033 036 033 001 00
163330 2716N 08913W 6973 03078 9932 +127 +070 018032 033 034 001 00
163400 2716N 08911W 6965 03084 9923 +133 +060 019030 033 038 001 00
163430 2716N 08910W 6965 03078 9906 +143 +049 011030 030 041 002 00
163500 2716N 08908W 6970 03067 9892 +149 +049 007032 034 044 001 00
163530 2716N 08906W 6972 03057 9864 +168 +038 006034 035 043 001 00
163600 2716N 08904W 6965 03060 9847 +178 +034 355031 034 043 001 00
163630 2716N 08902W 6975 03041 9838 +180 +046 004037 041 044 001 00
163700 2716N 08900W 6955 03056 9838 +171 +058 007038 045 044 001 00
163730 2716N 08858W 6969 03035 9817 +186 +048 001029 034 047 000 00
163800 2716N 08856W 6975 03022 9828 +167 +071 028025 028 047 001 00
163830 2716N 08854W 6970 03013 9804 +174 +077 034013 024 039 002 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2077 Postby tolakram » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:41 am

SLIDER visible

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=5763&y=5706&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2078 Postby tailgater » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:41 am

No wobbles west please, but i wouldn't mind seeing Stephine get a little wet. :D
Last edited by tailgater on Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2079 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:41 am

pressure looks sub 980 now..
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data

#2080 Postby artist » Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:42 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 071638
AF305 0816A NATE HDOB 49 20171007
162900 2716N 08931W 6967 03116 9991 +107 +070 021018 020 025 001 00
162930 2716N 08929W 6970 03111 9983 +110 +067 022021 022 026 001 00
163000 2716N 08927W 6970 03106 9978 +113 +065 025023 025 029 001 00
163030 2716N 08925W 6966 03107 9970 +117 +063 024024 026 030 002 00
163100 2716N 08923W 6971 03097 9964 +117 +061 021027 029 029 001 00
163130 2716N 08921W 6970 03095 9958 +120 +067 020030 031 029 001 00
163200 2716N 08919W 6967 03094 9954 +119 +077 019031 033 027 002 00
163230 2716N 08917W 6966 03094 9947 +121 +074 020035 036 029 002 00
163300 2716N 08915W 6970 03083 9938 +125 +072 020033 036 033 001 00
163330 2716N 08913W 6973 03078 9932 +127 +070 018032 033 034 001 00
163400 2716N 08911W 6965 03084 9923 +133 +060 019030 033 038 001 00
163430 2716N 08910W 6965 03078 9906 +143 +049 011030 030 041 002 00
163500 2716N 08908W 6970 03067 9892 +149 +049 007032 034 044 001 00
163530 2716N 08906W 6972 03057 9864 +168 +038 006034 035 043 001 00
163600 2716N 08904W 6965 03060 9847 +178 +034 355031 034 043 001 00
163630 2716N 08902W 6975 03041 9838 +180 +046 004037 041 044 001 00
163700 2716N 08900W 6955 03056 9838 +171 +058 007038 045 044 001 00
163730 2716N 08858W 6969 03035 9817 +186 +048 001029 034 047 000 00
163800 2716N 08856W 6975 03022 9828 +167 +071 028025 028 047 001 00
163830 2716N 08854W 6970 03013 9804 +174 +077 034013 024 039 002 00
$$
;
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