ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion

[pcolaman]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

In Fort walton.

West Pensacola here half mile from Perdido Bay

[emeraldislenc]

It is pretty amazing what has happened in the past few hours

[Dean4Storms]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Miramar Bch here and getting concerned now. I may have to get my RV outta here in the morning, this trend both intensity and east of forecast track is giving me gas.

[Florabamaman]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Im in Santa Rosa as well, in Pace...looks like the next 36 hrs or so will be interesting to say the least.

[FLpanhandle91]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Hey neighbor, Santa Rosa county here, Pace. Just to the east of Pensacola . Stay safe over there.

I fear East Bay will have a significant surge impact. Storm is making landfall around high tide. Be safe! Any plans to evac?

[Taylormae]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Pensacola here!! Right behind airport. Going to gas up in a few.

[FLpanhandle91]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

In Fort walton.

West Pensacola here half mile from Perdido Bay

I tell you what, if I was ANY further west right now, my pucker factor would be huge! What's your plan?

[saila]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Watching closely here too. Perdido Bay, Pensacola.

[SunnyThoughts]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Hey neighbor, Santa Rosa county here, Pace. Just to the east of Pensacola . Stay safe over there.

I fear East Bay will have a significant surge impact. Storm is making landfall around high tide. Be safe! Any plans to evac?

No plans to evacuate, we made it through Ivan , Dennis, opal, etc ok. Think we will be ok..hope so anyway. Good thing is the forward speed...should hit, (wherever that may be) and get outta dodge pretty quick. We lose power at the drop of a hat though. Not looking forwArd to that. Lots of foliage gonna be scattered though, lotsss of trees on property. Good luck to all in path.

[Florabamaman]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

Pensacola here!! Right behind airport. Going to gas up in a few.

Good luck, there were stations in Milton that were out of gas around 3pm today...i went to fill my cans up about 7 and the stations only had premium gas on hand.

[SunnyThoughts]

Sorry, double post.

[Jag95]

Watching this closely in Fort Walton Beach. I posted about the model intensity being way off earlier this afternoon. I fully expect at least hurricane force gusts here. Any other Florida panhandlers in here?

I was thinking that with this small cone that it has to be nerve wracking in the NHC right now with a warning only extending to the FL/AL line with a fast moving system like this. I just have this feeling that Pensacola has a better chance of hurricane conditions than west of New Orleans, where the warning extends to.

[pcolaman]

In Fort walton.

West Pensacola here half mile from Perdido Bay

I tell you what, if I was ANY further west right now, my pucker factor would be huge! What's your plan?

Me and the family gonna stay and ride out. We stayed during Ivan the terrible and was like a war zone the next morning. I am hoping not to have another storm in my lifetime like Ivan.

[norva]

I am guessing a category 2 at landfall, but a 3 is a very real possibility. I shutter to think beyond that.

[Kazmit]

Nate is making me worried. Incredible change in appearance since the last time I checked.

[Aric Dunn]

looks like another wobble to the right.. nearly due north on this pass maybe a nne wobble..

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 070432
AF307 0716A NATE HDOB 50 20171007
042230 2143N 08542W 8429 01537 0055 +175 +164 210038 039 035 004 00
042300 2145N 08543W 8430 01536 0053 +175 +162 212039 040 035 003 03
042330 2146N 08543W 8429 01536 0051 +175 +162 212040 041 036 003 03
042400 2148N 08544W 8434 01528 0050 +176 +175 216039 040 036 002 00
042430 2149N 08545W 8426 01535 0053 +177 //// 215038 039 035 006 01
042500 2151N 08546W 8428 01533 0053 +174 //// 212041 042 036 005 01
042530 2153N 08547W 8429 01530 0053 +173 +173 212042 043 034 008 00
042600 2154N 08547W 8429 01528 0050 +169 //// 215044 044 038 005 01
042630 2156N 08548W 8424 01533 0048 +169 //// 214045 046 039 004 05
042700 2158N 08549W 8430 01524 //// +170 //// 212046 046 036 003 01
042730 2159N 08550W 8433 01521 0042 +174 +173 212047 048 034 004 00
042800 2201N 08551W 8430 01525 0038 +175 +169 213047 047 037 004 00
042830 2203N 08552W 8429 01523 0039 +172 +170 212048 049 039 004 00
042900 2204N 08552W 8432 01518 0039 +171 +171 211049 049 039 004 05
042930 2206N 08553W 8428 01521 0037 +171 //// 210049 050 039 004 01
043000 2208N 08554W 8428 01519 0033 +173 +170 210051 052 041 004 00
043030 2209N 08555W 8430 01514 0031 +174 +172 210051 052 040 004 00
043100 2211N 08556W 8429 01515 0029 +175 +171 212050 051 041 002 00
043130 2213N 08557W 8430 01510 0023 +179 +171 213050 051 042 001 00
043200 2214N 08557W 8432 01508 0018 +184 +166 214052 053 040 001 00
$$
;

[Florabamaman]

I was thinking that with this small cone that it has to be nerve wracking in the NHC right now with a warning only extending to the FL/AL line with a fast moving system like this. I just have this feeling that Pensacola has a better chance of hurricane conditions than west of New Orleans, where the warning extends to.

I thought for sure they would stretch the hurricane warning further East with the last advisory...

[dhweather]

As the NHC says, do not focus on a point for this. Most of the weather will be to the East of landfall, i.e. the Florida Panhandle.

[PTPatrick]

hwrf certainly sees the strengthening...looks like to me a hair east of previous and slower an stronger at 981 as it passes the mouth of the mississippi. It still however does show a major hurricane, just back to barely a hurricane as it nears landfall which is looking like it will be somewhere in MS