ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11861 Postby fci » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:00 pm

stormreader wrote:
wx247 wrote:I know a lot of attention is on Florida right now, but just got this tweet from the US Virgin Islands and the earlier damage caused by Irma. Wow.

 https://twitter.com/blkahn/status/906674272701173761



And I think British Virgin Islands were actually closer to absolute top level effects.

Has Irma gone up either coast with the ferocity that the Virgin Islands felt, those pictures would have been of Florida.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11862 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:00 pm

Southern half of the eye is not coming back over Naples, but as sampled by the recon is not that strong at all.

Street is still flooded, I am sure is storm surge now coming in.

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/2TRywcaNHMV
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11863 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:01 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:We are getting pounded with hurricane force gusts, have been for hours now. Lots of tree damage and no power. Everyone stay safe.


Ditto in Stuart...wicked winds right now.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11864 Postby stormreader » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:01 pm

mspencer wrote:Brett Adair showing what appears to be storm surge flooding in Naples
https://livestormchasing.com/map

Keeping tabs on Naples tidal gauge on national TV. Couple of minutes ago it reached 5 ft above sea level---was down 2.5 feet before that.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11865 Postby ozonepete » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:03 pm

Portaransas wrote:I hear the folks saying this isn't over. But I think it's fair to say, judging from the minor damage in Naples via Jeff and others, the wind part of the storm was not even close to as severe as it could've been had Irma not scraped Cuba like it did. I'm not rooting for anyone to go outside, but compared to what it did in the Carribean, Florida did catch a big break. Surge? We'll see but even that doesn't seem to match with the severe predictions we saw. Rain seems to be a temporary problem as it gains forward speed and weakens. All that said, I do hope for minimal damage and hopefully no loss of life in Florida. I do think it's important for us to be less CONUS-centric and really think about/ send prayers out to the thousands of people in other places whose lives were upended by her pre-FL landfall.




The hurricane is affecting and damaging "the CONUS" right now. That's why we're focused on "the CONUS." There is a damage thread to talk about all of the damage and aftermaths for those areas already struck. This thread is for what's going on right now. Maybe you didn't know this?
Last edited by ozonepete on Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11866 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:03 pm

AJC3 wrote:
NDG wrote:
AJC3 wrote:
Dry air entrainment in weakening hurricanes is subsident. It actually makes the convective downdrafts stronger. We've seen these many many times in Florida.


Hi AJC3, do you those wind gusts the Euro and GFS forecast for the Orlando area of 80-100 mph could come to fruition? I am thinking it might be possible with the dry air coming in behind which could cause the downdrafts to carry those 125-150 mph winds at H85 down to the surface.


80-100 MPH? Yes! Especially, the longer short term motion (355-360 according to radar) keeps up.


I don't like the fact that it seems that there's been a surface trough over our area for a while now, I think it has to do a lot with Irma taking on a more a northerly track since this morning.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11867 Postby MrStormX » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:04 pm

NWgeorgiastormdawg wrote:Excellent TV coverage on live YouTube from NBC2 and ABC7 who joined together. Showed storm surge coming onto 5th avenue in Naples. Just search for NBC2 on youtube


I am watching it, and one of the newscasters just said that none of the damage that they have seen is "catastrophic", once the surge comes in he might (hopefully not) have to change his tune.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11868 Postby AdamFirst » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:06 pm

Eye now visible on Melbourne radar.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11869 Postby Weatherhorse » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:06 pm

MacTavish wrote:
syfr wrote:Just lost the Naples cam....


Its back up. Ive been watching it since before the eyewall arrived. amazing footage.


You just have to refresh and it comes back up.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11870 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:06 pm

Down to Cat 2, officially moving north now.

6:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 26.3°N 81.7°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 938 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11871 Postby PandaCitrus » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:08 pm

Are most hurricanes like this? Hurricane force winds in just a tiny little section and then random hurricanr gusts in cells? Stronger gusts 100 miles away than in ft. Myers? Or is this situation particular to Irma with her core disrupted after cuba?

It seems really strange. Like irma got put in a blender and her energy randomly scattered hundreds of miles.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11872 Postby hurricaneCW » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:09 pm

Not everyone was lucky sadly, those poor islands got crushed and we still have a ways to go with Irma.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11873 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:10 pm

Probably gonna Jinx it, but I still have power here in Parrish FL (Between Sarasota and Tampa)
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11874 Postby skillz » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:11 pm

Vero Beach currently getting slammed with torrential rain and 36mph sustained with gusts of 50+ every minute or so.... Please shift west...not anymore east...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11875 Postby Meteorcane » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:13 pm

NWS Melbourne needs to switch their radar back to VCP 212, difficult to monitor potential tornadic couplets moving onshore with the amount of range folding going on.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11876 Postby p1nheadlarry » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:13 pm

NDG wrote:
AJC3 wrote:
NDG wrote:
Hi AJC3, do you those wind gusts the Euro and GFS forecast for the Orlando area of 80-100 mph could come to fruition? I am thinking it might be possible with the dry air coming in behind which could cause the downdrafts to carry those 125-150 mph winds at H85 down to the surface.


80-100 MPH? Yes! Especially, the longer short term motion (355-360 according to radar) keeps up.


I don't like the fact that it seems that there's been a surface trough over our area for a while now, I think it has to do a lot with Irma taking on a more a northerly track since this morning.


Not sure what that means for us in northern FL, the forecast has actually gotten a wee bit better for us, though the coastal areas will still see surge once it moves through.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11877 Postby Steve » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:13 pm

Live from Ft Meyers

https://youtu.be/_egSTyWb1gk
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#11878 Postby HenkL » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:14 pm

AF307 3111A IRMA HDOB 20 20170910
214800 2707N 08238W 6969 02989 9862 +124 +124 069072 073 055 010 00
214830 2708N 08239W 6969 02992 9871 +121 +121 067066 072 055 011 00
214900 2710N 08240W 6964 03002 9871 +122 +122 069061 065 056 017 00
214930 2711N 08241W 6970 02996 9863 +123 +123 074063 065 054 009 00
215000 2713N 08243W 6970 02998 9859 +125 +125 076065 065 057 006 00
215030 2714N 08244W 6971 03000 9863 +125 +125 078069 070 055 006 00
215100 2716N 08245W 6974 03002 9869 +121 //// 077071 072 057 006 01
215130 2718N 08246W 6969 03010 9878 +123 +123 077074 075 054 009 00
215200 2719N 08248W 6972 03010 9893 +120 +120 075074 075 054 009 00
215230 2721N 08249W 6970 03019 9907 +116 +116 066071 073 055 008 00
215300 2722N 08250W 6970 03022 9913 +114 +114 064071 072 054 009 00
215330 2724N 08251W 6968 03024 9915 +115 +115 067070 072 055 008 00
215400 2724N 08251W 6968 03024 9915 +115 +115 067067 071 054 008 00
215430 2726N 08253W 6972 03032 9919 +114 +114 067071 075 054 008 00
215500 2728N 08255W 6971 03032 9922 +112 +112 066077 078 055 007 00
215530 2729N 08256W 6971 03038 9923 +111 +111 067080 080 053 009 00
215600 2731N 08257W 6971 03040 9918 +113 +113 069074 079 053 007 00
215630 2732N 08258W 6970 03042 9923 +111 //// 070068 071 053 006 01
215700 2734N 08259W 6969 03049 9933 +104 //// 071064 068 054 004 01
215730 2735N 08301W 6973 03044 9938 +107 //// 070056 063 053 006 01
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11879 Postby Blown Away » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:14 pm

Portaransas wrote:I hear the folks saying this isn't over. But I think it's fair to say, judging from the minor damage in Naples via Jeff and others, the wind part of the storm was not even close to as severe as it could've been had Irma not scraped Cuba like it did. I'm not rooting for anyone to go outside, but compared to what it did in the Carribean, Florida did catch a big break. Surge? We'll see but even that doesn't seem to match with the severe predictions we saw. Rain seems to be a temporary problem as it gains forward speed and weakens. All that said, I do hope for minimal damage and hopefully no loss of life in Florida. I do think it's important for us to be less CONUS-centric and really think about/ send prayers out to the thousands of people in other places whose lives were upended by her pre-FL landfall.


Ummm, did you see the surge in the lower keys up to the. bottom of homes on stilts... There are many homes near ground level, Venture Out Community, that will be devistated and upended... That was a very uneducated comment from you!
Last edited by Blown Away on Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11880 Postby Otown_Wx » Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:14 pm

skillz wrote:Vero Beach currently getting slammed with torrential rain and 36mph sustained with gusts of 50+ every minute or so.... Please shift west...not anymore east...


Let's hope!! Orlando is at 81.4 longitude and storm is at 81.7 moving due north not a good situation for us here in Central Florida.
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