As of 13:15 UTC (9:15am EDT), the eye has now passed the islands per satellite imagery.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.htmlDoes seem to have some wobble and eyewall rebuilding. Last 2 frames spanning an hour shows a decidedly eastward bump.
12:15UTC shows the eyewall from Key West to Big Pine Key, but the 12:45 and 13:15 frames shows a decided NE bump. It goes from centered just south of Saddlebunch/Sugarloaf, then an E bump centered just south of Big Pine, then continues on just north of Big Pine.
Another interesting bit is from 10:45 until 12:15, over an hour, the storm seemed to have a temporary stall in one place, after which it had that E bump before turning north again over Big Pine, instead of being centered and crossing over the naval air station just east of Key West. This is a 25+ mile wobble almost due east... Yes it may just be a wobble, but, what if it is the start of a more eastern trend?
So are a few of the models seeing something that would account for a more eastern run with slightly earlier landfall SE of Naples? We can hope an everglades landfall would be best as it would deflate this beast sooner, and that much earlier instead of staying just offshore intensifying making it worse for the rest of the state including the panhandle.