ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7381 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:51 pm

Almost looks as if it had more time it would make another run at hurricane...


That guy from Florida who said he knows a category 2 when he sees one wasn't kidding...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7382 Postby Langinbang187 » Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:52 pm

Steve wrote:Suffering is on a similar magnitude regardless of the numbers. Though they are all completely different, Harvey is now one of the big boy American storms of the last 30 years joining names like Hugo, Andrew, Sandy, Ivan, Wilma and Katrina (among others) at the top.


Some of the things I've been seeing it wouldn't surprise me if Harvey were at the top of that list when all is said & done sadly.
Last edited by Langinbang187 on Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7383 Postby NDG » Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:54 pm

COC is almost due south of Lake Charles, moving ENE to NE the last couple of hours, IMO.

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7384 Postby artist » Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:57 pm

I believe many here are suffering from storm fatigue, even if not there, worried about friends, family, and s2k members, following everything they can find. I know I am. The news is getting slower coming out as I believe the climax at this point seems to have been hit, hopefully, and as new news lulls, conversation will sometimes drift, without meaning to take away from the tragedy with Harvey. Let's be kind to one another, forgive small transgressions as others relive their former nightmare watching all this unfold. Just my thoughts.
Last edited by artist on Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:00 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7385 Postby Frank P » Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:57 pm

[quote="NDG"]COC is almost due south of Lake Charles, moving ENE to NE the last couple of hours, IMO.

been saying east pretty much all evening... perhaps the south central LA coast will be 3rd landfall... certainly not the TX/LA border as some alluded to earlier... sat loops don't lie.... now casting very effective regarding what some say...
Last edited by Frank P on Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7386 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:58 pm

Vortex is not rotating northward, as I suspected it would Don't focus on the center - there's nothing there. Focus on the convection over SE TX and SW LA.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7387 Postby KBBOCA » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:01 pm

NWS Shreveport with updated expected precipitation totals

 https://twitter.com/NWSShreveport/status/902726995875909632




Edit: here's a hopefully clearer look at the graphic:

Image
Last edited by KBBOCA on Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7388 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:01 pm

Good thing too 57. At this point, I don't want to be on the east side of Harvey unless it's decapitated. Lucky as **** compared to all of you.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7389 Postby Exalt » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:06 pm

According to Bloomberg, Harvey's projected costs have risen to $42 billion USD, bumping him up to the third costliest hurricane in US history (not counting inflation).
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7390 Postby artist » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:07 pm

Exalt wrote:According to Bloomberg, Harvey's projected costs have risen to $42 billion USD, bumping him up to the third costliest hurricane in US history (not counting inflation).

Once all is said and done, I wouldn't be surprised if it isn't higher.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7391 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:08 pm

10:00 PM CDT Tue Aug 29
Location: 29.0°N 93.6°W
Moving: NE at 6 mph
Min pressure: 994 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7392 Postby Exalt » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:11 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:10:00 PM CDT Tue Aug 29
Location: 29.0°N 93.6°W
Moving: NE at 6 mph
Min pressure: 994 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph


At the rate this center seems to be reforming and how slow it's moving, I wouldn't be surprised if it went back up to 60-65 mph before final landfall.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7393 Postby Blinhart » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:12 pm

NDG wrote:COC is almost due south of Lake Charles, moving ENE to NE the last couple of hours, IMO.

Image


Looks like it will make landfall around Pecan Island or Freshwater City.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7394 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:13 pm

wxman57 wrote:Vortex is not rotating northward, as I suspected it would Don't focus on the center - there's nothing there. Focus on the convection over SE TX and SW LA.


its the center,.. yes you follow the center (which is responding to the blow up of convection and getting pulled towards it. ) .. no your correct its not the issue at hand the rainfall is..

dont think anyone is not following the convection. but the overall system moved east quite a bit today farther than models.
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7395 Postby artist » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:13 pm

nutkin517 wrote:They're doing water rescues in Central Gardens and Beauxart Gardens. They're in between Beaumont and Port Arthur along 69 near the prison.

You still doing ok, nutkin?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7396 Postby KBBOCA » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:14 pm

More on the Beaumont - Port Arthur rain totals:

 https://twitter.com/Wxmanms1/status/902730032820305920


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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7397 Postby Exalt » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:14 pm

wxman57 wrote:Vortex is not rotating northward, as I suspected it would Don't focus on the center - there's nothing there. Focus on the convection over SE TX and SW LA.


Yes it is..?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7398 Postby artist » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:15 pm

Looks like Beaumont is still getting hit hard. They need a break.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7399 Postby nutkin517 » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:27 pm

artist wrote:
nutkin517 wrote:They're doing water rescues in Central Gardens and Beauxart Gardens. They're in between Beaumont and Port Arthur along 69 near the prison.

You still doing ok, nutkin?


I'm feeling better since there's a little break in the heavy rain and they're saying it'll get better after midnight. As long as my ditch keeps draining, I'll be ok.

My brother got water in his house in North Vidor. My parents in South Vidor are still ok. My dad was able to get far enough earlier to get my mom's insulin.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7400 Postby nutkin517 » Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:28 pm

According to the rain gauge near me, we have gotten 18" since midnight.
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