ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/NWSCorpus/status/900668247703527424




NWS Corpus Christi ✔ @NWSCorpus
We have now transitioned from watch phase to warning phase. Make sure your hurricane preparations are completed ASAP #Harvey #ccwx #txwx
6:36 AM - Aug 24, 2017

[TexasStorm]

Looks like it is heading straight towards northern Mexico.

[tiger_deF]

This is an extremely dangerous situation for anyone near the landfall area. If this is truly RI, we could see catastrophic impacts from a slow moving, brown earth, and potentially backwards moving into the gulf storm with impacts likely to be that of a major hurricane. The US major drought may be over.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Looks like a hurricane on the visible sat.

[Ntxw]

Argument could be made for HU, just got to wait for recon confirmation

[FLpanhandle91]

Looks like it is heading straight towards northern Mexico.

I would not analyze frame by frame movement at this point. Cyclonic oscillation is going to happen with a storm intensifying like this and changing its structure so quickly. Frame by frame wobble should NOT be used as a measure of overall large-scale motion of the storm.

[WAcyclone]

Strong eyewall is almost complete...

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/900702600085069824




Michael Ventrice ✔ @MJVentrice
UPDATE: #Harvey now has a robust, closed eyewall in the newest microwave imagery hot off the Satellite. Hurricane intensity imminent.
8:53 AM - Aug 24, 2017

[Dean4Storms]

Anyone notice that Recon had to turn left on its approach to hit the center, it was further east than thought. Not by much but if it continues over time and you extrapolate it does become much.

[Tireman4]

Argument could be made for HU, just got to wait for recon confirmation

Well, Rock..I think RI is beginning or in the phase thereof.

[KWT]

Looks like a hurricane on the visible sat.

Yes it does look that way, of course it maybe the case the winds are lagging a little behind the clearly organizing system, but won't be long before we are getting pressure readings into the 970s.

[tolakram]

60 good frames now. You can see the eyewall building. I wish we could enjoy this for a storm out to sea and not here.


http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1009&y=959&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=90&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[JtSmarts]

I just don't think I've ever seen a storm build a core this fast. Harvey still looked a bit ragged around 2AM this morning.

[Ivanhater]

And Folks, this is why you should never start season cancel and season bust posts. What is happening now is truly remarkable and dangerous for the United States.....and we could still be dealing with Harvey a week from now...

[Christiana]

Well. Alright then. Very symmetrical storm. As soon as the center clears out he's gonna be looking at us, sooner rather than later. If any folks on the TX coast are planning to stay, that this looks like "fun", please reconsider, it's dangerous to stay and definitely not fun. Please pay close attention to your local authorities and be ready to go if asked to. Stay safe, this is liable to be one for books. Long hours ahead watching this monster, surely to be a curve ball or two, most always is.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/900705469999833089




NHC Atlantic Ops ✔ @NHC_Atlantic
Follow your local @NWS offices for more information on #Harvey: @NWSBrownsville @NWSCorpus @NWSHouston @NWSSanAntonio @NWSFortWorth
9:04 AM - Aug 24, 2017

[bg1]

Argument could be made for HU, just got to wait for recon confirmation

https://i.imgbox.com/J1eMbNev.jpg

Especially since the eyewall seems to be almost complete.

Even seems to be making that "fist" right of center. In the models thread, it was mentioned that SHIPS gives it a 70% chance of 45 kt increase in 36 hrs.

[terstorm1012]

those NAM runs yesterday turning out to be possibly actually close to reality is really spooking me right now!

Good luck everyone down there, you're all in my thoughts!

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Best looking TS i have seen in a long while. Looks a cane.

[TheStormExpert]

WOW! Is all I have to say, haven't been able to post since yesterday afternoon but man this sure took off last night when the 00z GFS came in MUCH stronger. Looks like it's early predictions of a potent major hurricane striking the SE Texas coast may not be too far off if trends continue until landfall.

Folks, this is a SERIOUS AND DEADLY situation setting up and will likely be the first major hurricane to strike the U.S. since October 2005. The major hurricane strike drought may be near over, even if it comes shy of major status we saw what Ike can do back in 2008 and with the shallow waters of the Gulf surge will be a HUGE issue. The Gulf of Mexico is surely working it's powers today.