ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 232357
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 18 20170823
234800 2141N 09216W 9257 00704 //// +235 //// 341007 009 019 001 01
234830 2141N 09215W 9256 00705 //// +237 //// 315006 007 009 001 05
234900 2142N 09213W 9254 00705 //// +235 //// 170008 013 009 001 01
234930 2143N 09212W 9260 00703 //// +231 //// 158015 016 012 000 05
235000 2143N 09210W 9254 00711 //// +233 //// 155015 017 /// /// 05
235030 2142N 09210W 9250 00712 //// +228 //// 156010 013 009 002 01
235100 2141N 09211W 9265 00698 //// +231 //// 178006 007 010 001 01
235130 2140N 09213W 9256 00706 //// +236 //// 274007 008 009 002 05
235200 2138N 09214W 9253 00709 //// +235 //// 298008 009 010 002 01
235230 2137N 09215W 9256 00709 //// +235 //// 315012 013 010 001 01
235300 2136N 09216W 9257 00707 //// +236 //// 316013 013 011 001 01
235330 2135N 09217W 9256 00710 //// +232 //// 321013 014 012 001 01
235400 2134N 09219W 9254 00711 0033 +227 +214 319012 013 010 000 00
235430 2133N 09220W 9254 00713 0035 +224 +221 318012 012 010 001 00
235500 2132N 09221W 9255 00711 0035 +222 //// 319013 014 008 002 01
235530 2131N 09222W 9254 00714 //// +221 //// 316013 014 008 001 01
235600 2130N 09224W 9260 00709 //// +221 //// 313014 017 009 001 01
235630 2129N 09225W 9255 00714 //// +220 //// 323017 018 013 001 01
235700 2127N 09226W 9256 00713 //// +220 //// 319015 017 013 002 01
235730 2126N 09227W 9256 00715 0040 +220 +218 310013 014 013 001 01
$$

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[caneman]

We are getting flooding rains for the last few hours in the Tampa Bay area

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Air Force through 7:57pm EDT:

[jlauderdal]

Cool, high and dry in fort lauderdale today

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240007
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 19 20170823
235800 2125N 09229W 9258 00714 0041 +217 //// 319015 018 014 001 01
235830 2124N 09230W 9255 00718 //// +216 //// 325015 017 013 001 01
235900 2123N 09231W 9254 00718 //// +214 //// 330015 016 011 001 01
235930 2122N 09232W 9258 00715 //// +214 //// 328015 016 013 000 01
000000 2121N 09234W 9256 00718 0045 +214 +214 330015 016 013 001 01
000030 2120N 09235W 9256 00718 0045 +218 +213 327014 015 010 001 00
000100 2119N 09236W 9254 00720 0045 +220 +212 329015 016 009 002 00
000130 2118N 09237W 9254 00721 0046 +220 +211 320018 019 011 001 00
000200 2116N 09238W 9254 00721 0047 +220 +211 320018 019 011 002 00
000230 2115N 09240W 9255 00722 0048 +217 +211 320017 018 010 001 03
000300 2114N 09241W 9257 00719 0048 +216 +211 318017 018 009 001 00
000330 2113N 09242W 9256 00721 0049 +215 +211 320017 017 009 001 00
000400 2112N 09243W 9254 00724 0048 +218 +210 319017 017 009 001 00
000430 2111N 09245W 9254 00723 0049 +219 +209 315017 017 011 001 00
000500 2110N 09246W 9253 00725 0048 +222 +209 316018 018 013 000 00
000530 2109N 09247W 9255 00723 0048 +223 +209 312016 017 012 000 00
000600 2108N 09248W 9252 00725 0050 +220 +209 309017 017 013 001 00
000630 2107N 09249W 9257 00723 0051 +218 +210 310018 019 011 001 00
000700 2106N 09251W 9254 00726 0052 +215 +212 313020 020 011 002 00
000730 2104N 09252W 9253 00727 0052 +214 +213 313020 020 011 002 00
$$
;

[AdamFirst]

Those who took the over, stick to your guns...Steve Weagle (Chief met at WPTV in West Palm) is adamant that flood watches will go up tomorrow, with Friday being a particularly nasty day

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240017
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 20 20170824
000800 2103N 09253W 9257 00723 0053 +215 +213 315019 020 010 002 00
000830 2102N 09254W 9254 00727 0053 +214 +214 317018 019 013 002 00
000900 2101N 09255W 9254 00726 0053 +215 +213 319017 019 011 001 00
000930 2100N 09257W 9257 00724 0053 +214 +211 317018 019 012 001 00
001000 2059N 09258W 9256 00725 0053 +214 +211 316020 020 011 001 00
001030 2058N 09259W 9256 00725 0054 +215 +210 314019 021 013 001 00
001100 2057N 09300W 9254 00726 0053 +216 +211 316019 020 012 001 00
001130 2056N 09302W 9254 00727 0053 +216 +210 317021 022 010 002 00
001200 2055N 09303W 9256 00726 0054 +216 +210 315023 023 014 001 00
001230 2054N 09304W 9256 00726 0054 +216 +209 312022 023 013 001 00
001300 2052N 09305W 9254 00726 0054 +214 +210 315021 022 013 001 00
001330 2051N 09306W 9256 00727 0055 +215 +210 319022 023 012 001 00
001400 2050N 09308W 9253 00729 0056 +214 +211 320023 024 013 001 00
001430 2049N 09309W 9256 00727 0056 +214 +211 317023 024 012 002 00
001500 2048N 09310W 9258 00726 0057 +215 +212 317022 023 017 000 00
001530 2047N 09311W 9254 00730 0057 +215 +212 321023 024 014 002 00
001600 2046N 09312W 9257 00728 0057 +215 +212 320024 024 014 001 00
001630 2045N 09314W 9255 00729 0058 +215 +213 319023 024 017 000 00
001700 2044N 09315W 9256 00730 0059 +215 +212 317024 024 017 000 00
001730 2043N 09316W 9257 00729 0060 +215 +212 318024 024 014 001 00
$$
;

[jlauderdal]

Those who took the over, stick to your guns...Steve Weagle (Chief met at WPTV in West Palm) is adamant that flood watches will go up tomorrow, with Friday being a particularly nasty day

Yep, this over is a lock with the setup

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240027
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 21 20170824
001800 2041N 09317W 9252 00735 0060 +215 +212 317023 023 015 001 00
001830 2040N 09319W 9261 00726 0059 +220 +211 317023 023 013 001 00
001900 2039N 09320W 9254 00734 0061 +220 +210 315023 023 015 001 03
001930 2038N 09320W 9249 00738 0062 +220 +210 308021 023 /// /// 03
002000 2037N 09318W 9256 00732 0060 +220 +210 305020 021 015 001 00
002030 2038N 09316W 9256 00731 0060 +219 +211 301019 020 015 001 00
002100 2038N 09314W 9256 00732 0060 +220 +212 303020 021 014 002 00
002130 2038N 09312W 9256 00731 0059 +219 +212 303021 021 014 002 00
002200 2038N 09311W 9254 00731 0060 +220 +203 301021 021 016 001 00
002230 2038N 09309W 9257 00729 0059 +220 +193 302020 021 015 001 00
002300 2038N 09307W 9256 00730 0058 +220 +190 303020 020 016 001 00
002330 2038N 09305W 9256 00730 0058 +220 +200 304020 020 017 001 00
002400 2038N 09303W 9249 00737 0060 +218 +207 300020 021 016 002 00
002430 2038N 09301W 9256 00731 0060 +218 +208 295022 023 015 002 00
002500 2038N 09259W 9254 00732 0060 +220 +206 294023 023 015 001 00
002530 2038N 09257W 9254 00733 0061 +217 +206 294023 024 016 001 00
002600 2038N 09255W 9254 00732 0061 +215 +207 290020 022 015 001 00
002630 2038N 09253W 9256 00732 0061 +215 +208 289020 021 014 001 00
002700 2038N 09251W 9256 00732 0061 +215 +208 291020 021 015 001 00
002730 2038N 09249W 9265 00723 0060 +220 +208 294020 021 012 002 00
$$
;

[tolakram]

JB says Irma by Sunday, moving up east coast, 60kts near Hatteras (offshore) by Wednesday.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240037
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 22 20170824
002800 2038N 09247W 9255 00730 0058 +219 +207 295019 020 013 002 00
002830 2038N 09245W 9256 00729 0058 +216 +209 291021 021 015 001 00
002900 2038N 09243W 9252 00733 0058 +216 +210 287020 022 014 001 03
002930 2038N 09241W 9257 00729 0058 +220 +209 285021 022 016 000 00
003000 2038N 09239W 9250 00736 0059 +218 +209 280019 020 013 002 00
003030 2038N 09238W 9255 00730 0058 +215 +210 278020 021 013 001 00
003100 2038N 09236W 9261 00724 0058 +216 +210 281021 022 014 001 00
003130 2038N 09234W 9256 00730 0059 +219 +209 281020 021 014 001 00
003200 2038N 09232W 9256 00730 0058 +220 +208 282020 020 013 001 00
003230 2038N 09230W 9254 00731 0058 +220 +206 280018 019 013 001 00
003300 2038N 09228W 9254 00732 0059 +220 +206 278017 017 014 001 00
003330 2038N 09226W 9256 00730 0059 +217 +208 277016 017 015 001 00
003400 2038N 09225W 9257 00729 0059 +219 +208 274016 016 014 001 00
003430 2037N 09223W 9256 00730 0060 +218 +209 272016 016 013 001 00
003500 2037N 09221W 9253 00733 0059 +218 +210 268016 017 013 002 00
003530 2037N 09219W 9256 00731 0058 +220 +210 272015 016 009 001 00
003600 2037N 09217W 9257 00730 0059 +220 +209 268015 016 012 001 00
003630 2037N 09215W 9254 00733 0059 +219 +211 266015 016 013 000 00
003700 2037N 09214W 9257 00729 0059 +218 +212 256016 016 014 002 00
003730 2037N 09212W 9257 00730 0058 +218 +213 263017 017 014 002 00
$$
;

[tolakram]

He posted on twitter so I will repost here.

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/900504100030357505

[floridasun78]

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Harvey, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending across the Bahamas,
southern Florida, and the adjacent waters are associated with a
trough of low pressure. Development, if any, of this system
during the next few days should be slow to occur while it drifts
northward over Florida and the adjacent waters. Thereafter, some
tropical or subtropical development is possible over the weekend
while the system moves northeastward over the western Atlantic
before it merges with a front. Regardless of development,
very heavy rain and flooding is possible over portions of the
Florida peninsula during the next few days. Please refer to
products from your local National Weather Service office for more
information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240047
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 23 20170824
003800 2037N 09210W 9256 00731 0058 +219 +212 268017 017 012 001 03
003830 2037N 09208W 9251 00735 0059 +219 +210 267017 018 015 000 00
003900 2037N 09206W 9258 00730 0060 +219 +209 267016 017 014 001 00
003930 2037N 09204W 9256 00733 0060 +219 +208 265016 016 011 001 00
004000 2037N 09203W 9251 00735 0060 +221 +209 261017 018 012 001 03
004030 2037N 09201W 9258 00731 0060 +224 +208 259016 016 013 000 03
004100 2037N 09159W 9256 00732 0061 +220 +207 257016 016 012 000 00
004130 2037N 09157W 9257 00733 0063 +215 +209 247014 017 012 002 00
004200 2037N 09155W 9262 00729 0062 +221 +211 237012 013 009 001 00
004230 2037N 09154W 9253 00737 0062 +225 +210 241011 012 010 002 03
004300 2037N 09152W 9256 00734 0063 +222 +209 237012 012 008 001 00
004330 2037N 09150W 9256 00734 0063 +223 +209 230012 013 009 000 00
004400 2037N 09148W 9254 00735 0063 +221 +209 231013 014 009 001 00
004430 2037N 09147W 9254 00736 0063 +220 +210 234014 014 009 001 00
004500 2037N 09145W 9255 00736 0063 +224 +210 232014 014 010 000 00
004530 2037N 09143W 9256 00735 0063 +222 +210 229014 014 009 001 00
004600 2037N 09141W 9257 00734 0063 +223 +211 230013 014 008 001 00
004630 2037N 09139W 9256 00735 0063 +220 +212 227014 014 009 002 00
004700 2037N 09138W 9254 00737 0064 +216 +212 224014 015 008 002 00
004730 2037N 09136W 9251 00739 0064 +213 +213 224014 015 012 004 00
$$

[OuterBanker]

Just out of curiosity since they dropped the 92l floater would anything that would develop be 93l? Hasn't 92l been officially dropped?

[tolakram]

Just out of curiosity since they dropped the 92l floater would anything that would develop be 93l? Hasn't 92l been officially dropped?

No, floater is not tied to if an invest is active.

Still going:

AL, 92, 2017082306, , BEST, 0, 258N, 808W, 20, 1013, WV, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 90, 70, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 021,
AL, 92, 2017082312, , BEST, 0, 260N, 811W, 20, 1013, WV, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 90, 70, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 021,
AL, 92, 2017082318, , BEST, 0, 264N, 818W, 20, 1012, WV, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 90, 70, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 021,
AL, 92, 2017082400, , BEST, 0, 265N, 822W, 20, 1011, WV, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 90, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 021,

Source: ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/

[tgenius]

Those who took the over, stick to your guns...Steve Weagle (Chief met at WPTV in West Palm) is adamant that flood watches will go up tomorrow, with Friday being a particularly nasty day

Yep, this over is a lock with the setup

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

maybe up by you guys but down in miami I don't think it will be as much.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240057
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 24 20170824
004800 2037N 09134W 9259 00732 0063 +216 +213 216012 013 015 004 00
004830 2037N 09132W 9253 00739 0064 +219 +213 227011 012 011 001 00
004900 2037N 09131W 9257 00734 0064 +221 +209 232012 013 010 001 00
004930 2037N 09129W 9252 00739 0064 +224 +207 239013 013 009 002 00
005000 2037N 09127W 9260 00733 0064 +223 +207 237014 015 010 001 00
005030 2037N 09125W 9257 00735 0066 +220 +208 238014 015 010 001 00
005100 2037N 09123W 9256 00738 0067 +219 +209 215014 015 015 002 00
005130 2037N 09122W 9250 00744 0068 +217 +210 224012 014 015 001 00
005200 2037N 09120W 9257 00737 0068 +215 +210 225013 014 013 002 03
005230 2037N 09118W 9255 00739 0068 +216 +210 234015 015 008 000 00
005300 2037N 09116W 9257 00737 0069 +215 +210 232015 016 007 001 03
005330 2037N 09115W 9256 00738 0068 +218 +209 235016 016 011 001 00
005400 2037N 09113W 9250 00744 0067 +221 +207 234015 016 010 001 00
005430 2037N 09111W 9258 00736 0067 +222 +207 231014 015 011 001 00
005500 2037N 09109W 9254 00740 0067 +222 +207 224013 014 012 000 00
005530 2037N 09107W 9256 00739 0068 +218 +209 222014 015 007 002 00
005600 2037N 09106W 9259 00736 0068 +221 +209 214015 016 007 001 00
005630 2037N 09104W 9252 00743 0068 +223 +208 208016 016 007 001 03
005700 2038N 09103W 9257 00740 0067 +230 +207 201013 016 /// /// 03
005730 2039N 09105W 9257 00738 0066 +229 +208 196011 012 008 001 03
$$
;

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240107
AF305 0909A HARVEY HDOB 25 20170824
005800 2041N 09106W 9254 00739 0066 +228 +208 199010 011 009 002 00
005830 2042N 09107W 9257 00737 0067 +222 +211 212010 010 008 001 00
005900 2043N 09108W 9254 00739 0066 +220 +212 208011 011 010 001 00
005930 2044N 09110W 9256 00738 0066 +221 +213 201011 012 007 001 00
010000 2045N 09111W 9256 00737 0065 +223 +213 197011 011 008 001 00
010030 2046N 09112W 9256 00737 0065 +222 +213 194012 012 008 001 03
010100 2047N 09113W 9256 00736 0065 +220 +213 188011 012 011 001 00
010130 2049N 09114W 9254 00737 0064 +220 +214 186012 012 011 000 00
010200 2050N 09116W 9256 00737 0064 +220 +214 185012 012 010 001 00
010230 2051N 09117W 9254 00738 0064 +224 +213 187011 011 011 000 00
010300 2052N 09118W 9257 00735 0063 +223 +213 188010 011 010 001 03
010330 2053N 09119W 9253 00738 0063 +221 +213 186011 011 010 001 00
010400 2054N 09121W 9256 00734 0063 +223 +212 189010 011 011 001 00
010430 2056N 09122W 9254 00736 0062 +221 +212 195010 011 011 001 00
010500 2057N 09123W 9257 00733 0063 +221 +211 195009 010 010 001 00
010530 2058N 09124W 9256 00735 0064 +219 +213 194009 010 010 001 00
010600 2059N 09125W 9256 00734 0062 +220 +212 190010 010 012 000 00
010630 2100N 09127W 9257 00734 0063 +220 +213 181008 009 008 001 03
010700 2101N 09128W 9256 00734 0063 +220 +212 180009 009 008 001 00
010730 2103N 09129W 9256 00734 0063 +218 +212 183008 009 010 002 00
$$
;