ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1101 Postby Bhuggs » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:59 pm

This thread is killing me. Everyone is over in the Harvey ones speaking of doom and y'all got a nice little competition going here. Props to you guys!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1102 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:18 pm

Dodging rain most of the day here so far in St. Lucie County. Half an inch, perhaps less. Plenty of rain off shore that looks to be heading this way.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1103 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:34 pm

jlauderdal wrote:92L Precip Contest over/under 6.5, midnite friday contest ends

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Lookin' like most everyone is thinking that 92L is mostly "full of hot air" but will be low on precip lol. For what its worth, if 92L happens to stick around past midnight Friday.... so will the contest :wink:
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon

#1104 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:40 pm

NOAA gulfstream jet plane is on route to sample the upper atmosphere.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1105 Postby Emmett_Brown » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:44 pm

12z Euro wants to close off a low off the E coast of FL on Sunday, moving slowly up the SE coast early next week. Looks like a TS off of Carolinas on this run. The long oddesy of 92L marches on... However, I notice 92L is no longer a link on the floater page. Perhaps they finally pulled the plug on it?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1106 Postby OuterBanker » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:44 pm

NHC has dropped the 92l floater. Isn’t it now officially dead?
Where’s Bones?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1107 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:46 pm

OuterBanker wrote:NHC has dropped the 92l floater. Isn’t it now officially dead?
Where’s Bones?

12z Euro begs to differ FWIW. :wink:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1108 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:47 pm

Bhuggs wrote:This thread is killing me. Everyone is over in the Harvey ones speaking of doom and y'all got a nice little competition going here. Props to you guys!


Thanks! Well us mellow Florida folks just don't see Harvey deepening to anything over a Cat. 4 and have little interest to jump into the Harvey Discussion thread and sounding alarmist. Besides, even IF biblical quantities of rain bury ALL of of Eastern Texas under 5' of water.....in time it WILL recede :lol: In all seriousness though, hope everyone over there does stay vigilant and stay safe.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1109 Postby Emmett_Brown » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:47 pm

OuterBanker wrote:NHC has dropped the 92l floater. Isn’t it now officially dead?
Where’s Bones?


Yeah, and the Euro menaces the Carolina coast next week with 92L as a TS, so it would be fitting for them to call Bones on it now. Adds to the drama.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1110 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:49 pm

Emmett_Brown wrote:12z Euro wants to close off a low off the E coast of FL on Sunday, moving slowly up the SE coast early next week. Looks like a TS off of Carolinas on this run. The long oddesy of 92L marches on... However, I notice 92L is no longer a link on the floater page. Perhaps they finally pulled the plug on it?


I noticed that too. "It's gone", wait.... its back. The little disturbance that could?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1111 Postby BlueWater36 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:54 pm

AdamFirst wrote:Dodging rain most of the day here so far in St. Lucie County. Half an inch, perhaps less. Plenty of rain off shore that looks to be heading this way.


Howdy neighbor, I'm in St. Lucie as well. Its been drier than I expected, but definitely looks like we have some moisture headed our way.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1112 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:15 pm

As if a broad low pressure area is wanting to develop over the FL Straights this afternoon, convection increasing on its eastern quadrant as more energy form the h70 vorticity approaches the surface trough.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1113 Postby fci » Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:20 pm

jlauderdal wrote:92L Precip Contest over/under 6.5, midnite friday contest ends

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If not too late, add me to the UNDER.
I've seen less rain from 92L then on normal days!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1114 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:22 pm

They dropped it because it's so close you can look outside and see it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1115 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:24 pm

chaser1 wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:92L Precip Contest over/under 6.5, midnite friday contest ends

Over
jlauderdal
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Under
Blown Away
Miami Storm Tracker
Boca
Nativefloridian
tgenius
SouthFLTropics
Blp
eastcoastFL
AdamFirst
AutoPenalti
Decomdoug


Lookin' like most everyone is thinking that 92L is mostly "full of hot air" but will be low on precip lol. For what its worth, if 92L happens to stick around past midnight Friday.... so will the contest :wink:


Wait a minute...If we're continuing indefinitely then I may have to change my pick!!! 8-)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1116 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:29 pm

NDG wrote:As if a broad low pressure area is wanting to develop over the FL Straights this afternoon, convection increasing on its eastern quadrant as more energy form the h70 vorticity approaches the surface trough.


I see the broad turning in the lower levels that you are seeing as well. If it continues to build convection it could maybe work something to the surface, however the western side is going to be adversely affected by Harvey's outflow.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1117 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:31 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:
chaser1 wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:92L Precip Contest over/under 6.5, midnite friday contest ends

Over
jlauderdal
Chaser1
StormTracker

Under
Blown Away
Miami Storm Tracker
Boca
Nativefloridian
tgenius
SouthFLTropics
Blp
eastcoastFL
AdamFirst
AutoPenalti
Decomdoug


Lookin' like most everyone is thinking that 92L is mostly "full of hot air" but will be low on precip lol. For what its worth, if 92L happens to stick around past midnight Friday.... so will the contest :wink:


Wait a minute...If we're continuing indefinitely then I may have to change my pick!!! 8-)


no picks were accepted after 12 pm eastern..convection popping but overs still in trouble, will need big days on thurs and fri and latest mlb disco gives the overs a shot, will see what mia says but probably more of the same, its going to be a good contest for both sides
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1118 Postby otowntiger » Wed Aug 23, 2017 3:18 pm

Phoenix78 wrote:Put me down for WAY under, please. Wouldn't be the first time tropical rainfall was over-estimated... just sayin'....
agreed. we haven't gotten a drop or even as much as a cloud out of this system today or yesterday.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1119 Postby nativefloridian » Wed Aug 23, 2017 3:27 pm

otowntiger wrote:
Phoenix78 wrote:Put me down for WAY under, please. Wouldn't be the first time tropical rainfall was over-estimated... just sayin'....
agreed. we haven't gotten a drop or even as much as a cloud out of this system today or yesterday.


Well here in Downtown Miami where I work the dark clouds and rain have certainly moved in this afternoon.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1120 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 3:33 pm

It does look like I may be proven wrong. The atmosphere appears to have become all juiced up in a hurry.....decent storm even blew up and approached from the east.
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