ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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alan1961
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon

#1081 Postby alan1961 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:03 am

Are the aircraft identifiable on flightradar 24?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1082 Postby boca » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:09 am

To me it looks like that area by Andros Island is moving north and will bypass us looking at the sat that gatorcane provided.I don't think we will get much out of this.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1083 Postby SFLcane » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:14 am

Still waiting on all this rain in SFL to take place thus far hit and miss showers. 3-4 inches forecasted
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon

#1084 Postby Andy_L » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:15 am

alan1961 wrote:Are the aircraft identifiable on flightradar 24?


Military/gov't flightplans don't usually show up on flightradar 24

Cheers
Andy
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1085 Postby boca » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:18 am

I honestly think this is a busted forecast because that vorticity is not moving NW, it's drifting north and bypassing us.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1086 Postby joey » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:37 am

SFLcane wrote:Still waiting on all this rain in SFL to take place thus far hit and miss showers. 3-4 inches forecasted


stroms are forming just east of south fl and further east could fill in plus this adds to the daytime heating still might happen but they keep moving that yellow x lol :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1087 Postby Decomdoug » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:41 am

I'll go with under and we need the rain here in Jupiter.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon

#1088 Postby alan1961 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:46 am

Andy_L wrote:
alan1961 wrote:Are the aircraft identifiable on flightradar 24?


Military/gov't flightplans don't usually show up on flightradar 24

Cheers
Andy

I have seen the gulfstream aircraft on flightradar before but not the noaa aircraft.
ok thanks andy :wink:
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon

#1089 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:51 am

TCPOD for missions on Thursday and Friday.The Global Hawk is flying as of this post.

Code: Select all

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT WED 23 AUGUST 2017
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
         VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z AUGUST 2017
         TCPOD NUMBER.....17-084

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
       FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 42         FLIGHT TWO -- N0AA 49
       A. 24/1800Z                   A. 25/0000Z
       B  NOAA2 1409A HARVEY         B. NOAA9 1509A HARVEY
       C. 24/1400Z                   C. 24/1730Z
       D. 24.5N 94.4W                D. NA
       E. 24/1600Z TO 24/2130Z       E. NA
       F. SFC TO 15,000 FT           F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

       FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 71      FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 72
       A. 24/2330Z,24/0530Z          A. 25/0900Z,1200Z,1500Z
       B  AFXXX 1609A HARVEY         B. AFXXX 1709A HARVEY
       C. 24/2130Z                   C. 25/0700Z
       D. 25.2N 94.9W                D. 26.3N 95.6W
       E. 24/2300Z TO 25/0530Z       E. 25/0830Z TO 25/1500Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT           F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES IF
       SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.

    3. REMARKS: THE GLOBAL HAWK (NA872) IS FLYING A 24.5 HR
       FLIGHT OVER HARVEY TODAY. TAKEOFF TIME WAS SCHEDULED
       FOR 23/1400Z. ALTITUDE 55,000 TO 65,000 FT.
       ANTICIPATING 78 DROPS.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1090 Postby Emmett_Brown » Wed Aug 23, 2017 11:28 am

VIS satellite shows the vort near Andros taking on a more crescent shaped appearance, perhaps trying to spin up? 12z GFS still moves the whole weak gyre of vorticity across FL, partially into the GOM, and back over the state, meandering around until exiting NE on Sat. Seems like rain in FL is still a good bet.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1091 Postby StarmanHDB » Wed Aug 23, 2017 11:45 am

About to fly into FLL from Charlotte, NC. Will it be "interesting"? Hmmmmmmm.... 8-)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1092 Postby xironman » Wed Aug 23, 2017 11:49 am

StarmanHDB wrote:About to fly into FLL from Charlotte, NC. Will it be "interesting"? Hmmmmmmm.... 8-)


After watching 92L for the past few days it will be as interesting as watching concrete set.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1093 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:01 pm

To think that we have been tracking this invest since it left Africa. Across the whole Atlantic and can't even seem to make depression status.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Recon

#1094 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:11 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
panamatropicwatch wrote:Thanks google earth not showing it for some reason.

Anyone know why GE is not updating? Not working for me either

My site was moved to a new server and that stopped all my site's systems. I was too busy working on other tropical related things that I didn't even notice. If anyone ever notices an issue, contact me. (either by private message or my site's contact form) My web hosting provider fixed the issue and it works again.

If it ever happens again, data for Google Earth can be found on these sites that use my system:

http://hurricanecity.com/recon/
http://aircraft.myfoxhurricane.com/recon/
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1095 Postby Phoenix78 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:16 pm

Put me down for WAY under, please. Wouldn't be the first time tropical rainfall was over-estimated... just sayin'....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1096 Postby shortwave » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:19 pm

Emmett_Brown wrote:VIS satellite shows the vort near Andros taking on a more crescent shaped appearance, perhaps trying to spin up? 12z GFS still moves the whole weak gyre of vorticity across FL, partially into the GOM, and back over the state, meandering around until exiting NE on Sat. Seems like rain in FL is still a good bet.


I'm seeing that as well. Looks more mid vort but it could end up being a llc genesis spot.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1097 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:29 pm

92L Precip Contest over/under 6.5, midnite friday contest ends

Over
jlauderdal
Chaser1
StormTracker

Under
Blown Away
Miami Storm Tracker
Boca
Nativefloridian
tgenius
SouthFLTropics
Blp
eastcoastFL
AdamFirst
AutoPenalti
Decomdoug
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1098 Postby SFLcane » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:57 pm

70% pops here in dade um... :roll:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1099 Postby blp » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:58 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:To think that we have been tracking this invest since it left Africa. Across the whole Atlantic and can't even seem to make depression status.


Yep and almost 100 pages of posts between discussion and models and we still have several more days before it is gone. I will be happy to see this invest go away.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1100 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:59 pm

jlauderdal wrote:92L Precip Contest over/under 6.5, midnite friday contest ends

Over
jlauderdal
Chaser1
StormTracker

Under
Blown Away
Miami Storm Tracker
Boca
Nativefloridian
tgenius
SouthFLTropics
Blp
eastcoastFL
AdamFirst
AutoPenalti
Decomdoug

Add me to the under 6.5 inches of rain. This looks to be a potential bust at least for coastal NE Palm Beach County.
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