ATL: HARVEY - Models

[Steve]

Stall? Back offshore? What the?

[Bonesinis]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=scus&pkg=mslp_uv850&runtime=2017082300&fh=120

Craziness ensues.

[Cpv17]

Flooding looks really bad again for SE TX and SW LA so far. Very strange track.

[Steve]

Flooding looks really bad again for SE TX and SW LA so far. Very strange track.

This seriously needs to get to 168 so I can go to sleep. Come on Euro.

[Kingarabian]

00z hour 132... down to 988mb 70kt winds.

[Cpv17]

Flooding looks really bad again for SE TX and SW LA so far. Very strange track.

This seriously needs to get to 168 so I can go to sleep. Come on Euro.

I've never seen a track like this. It barely moves in 3 days..nuts!

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro hour 144:

[ronyan]

Oh geez...980 mb accelerating towards LA

[Bonesinis]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=scus&pkg=mslp_uv850&runtime=2017082300&fh=144&xpos=0&ypos=92

Right next to Houston at 979?
This system is drunk.

[Steve]

Yeah I don't know because the track initially had some
Good momentum. Now it's offshore of Galveston Bay at 980 next Monday evening.

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro hour 72-144

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro is up to 92kt winds.

[Kingarabian]

Flooding looks really bad again for SE TX and SW LA so far. Very strange track.

This seriously needs to get to 168 so I can go to sleep. Come on Euro.

Don't think hour 168 will do it.

[Cpv17]

So it just hangs around the TX coast for 3 or 4 days..crazy.

[Steve]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=355

I'll leave y'all with the Euro at 500mb. No blocking high except way west. Some generally low pressure in the South. Looks like no steering currents.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=355

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro about to make a landfall into LA at hour 150. Down to 977mb.

Edit: 975mb landfall over LA with 90kt winds.

That's it for me folks, be back later.

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro hour 168:

[Steve]

Too broad of a time gap but it looks like second landfall roughly around Orange, TX and moves up N along the TX/LA border. Night.

[Cpv17]

Anyone know how much rain the Euro just put out over Texas and Louisiana on this run?

[South Texas Storms]

Anyone know how much rain the Euro just put out over Texas and Louisiana on this run?

Widespread totals of 10-20 inches across a large part of southeast TX and southwest LA.