Larry forecast #1..... somewhat los, whole GOM vulnerable

[Derek Ortt]

http://www.nwhhc.com/atlantic17fd.html


Major cluelessness on my part. So many different scenarions. Hoping that this comes out OK (what I wouldnt do for a G-IV flight to get rid of the model inconsistency)

[WXBUFFJIM]

Definitely a good reason why the entire gulf needs to watch this. With no motion over the next day or two, where does it go? It's a clueless game at this point. The entire gulf does need to watch this though, I would agree on that.

Jim

[wxman57]

Looks non-commital to me. If the storm is at 21N/95W at 00Z on Tuesday, it'll be in the middle of a cold airmass streaming down into the BOC.

[Derek Ortt]

Very non-commital by me indeed as I do not have much of a clue at this point

[WEATHER53]

Larry Cosgrove, who I like, has this storm mergin in such a way as to bring severe conditions to a large part of the east coast. Anyone else read his discussion.

[JCT777]

Weather53 - Yes, I did see that from LC. I often take these types of predictions with a grain of salt, especially since this is at least 5 days away. Plus his confidence in this scenario is not very high.

[ameriwx2003]

Yes.. I see that Larry Cosgrove thinks that Larry will be a Florida threat also... I like LC but he sometimes tries to bring storms to the US coast like JB does when the odds don't look that good:P):)