ATL: HARVEY - Models

[Alyono]

its in the BOC again

[FLpanhandle91]

Nevermind. Reemerging at hour 102.

[Cpv17]

In the BOC at hour 108.

[Cpv17]

Almost stalled out in the southern part of the BOC from hours 108 through 126. Slightly farther north from 18z maybe 50 miles.

[Cpv17]

At hour 132 troughing is coming down south and Harvey beginning to slowly strengthen and looks like a slow turn towards the N or NNW.

[Alyono]

GFS does not have favorable upper winds in the Gulf. Instead, it has a June-like system that interacts with an upper low

[Cpv17]

GFS does not have favorable upper winds in the Gulf. Instead, it has a June-like system that interacts with an upper low

Yep, looks like a weak tropical storm, but I'm more interested in the track than strength. GFS doesn't seem to be doing a good job on the strength of storms this year.

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS is coming in farther north through 156 hours. Might be the farthest north run it's had for Harvey.

[Cpv17]

0z GFS is coming in farther north through 156 hours. Might be the farthest north run it's had for Harvey.

Probably a good 50 miles farther north from 18z. Has south TX getting some good rains from it.

[stormlover2013]

Trend is ur friend !!

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS is coming in farther north through 156 hours. Might be the farthest north run it's had for Harvey.

Probably a good 50 miles farther north from 18z.

Yep. Looks to make landfall just south of the border next Friday night.

[stormlover2013]

Way farther north than 18z

[South Texas Storms]

UKMET with a big shift north as well at 0z.

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 63.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 19.08.2017 0 13.7N 63.3W 1005 31
1200UTC 19.08.2017 12 14.1N 66.8W 1004 31
0000UTC 20.08.2017 24 14.7N 70.3W 1004 30
1200UTC 20.08.2017 36 14.7N 74.6W 1004 34
0000UTC 21.08.2017 48 15.6N 77.8W 1004 35
1200UTC 21.08.2017 60 16.8N 81.5W 1004 36
0000UTC 22.08.2017 72 18.0N 84.9W 1004 32
1200UTC 22.08.2017 84 18.6N 87.9W 1003 35
0000UTC 23.08.2017 96 19.1N 89.5W 1004 23
1200UTC 23.08.2017 108 19.7N 91.2W 1004 30
0000UTC 24.08.2017 120 19.8N 92.3W 999 34
1200UTC 24.08.2017 132 20.3N 93.5W 993 45
0000UTC 25.08.2017 144 20.5N 94.6W 986 50

[PTrackerLA]

[Wx_Warrior]

0z Good For Something

[South Texas Storms]

0z Canadian just south of the border as a 985mb hurricane next Friday night.

[PTrackerLA]

Interesting change in the GFS. Definitely need to keep an eye on Harvey next week if you're in the western GOM region.

[stormlover2013]

Trend is ur friend!!! Still a week away still tons of time

[South Texas Storms]

Interesting change in the GFS. Definitely need to keep an eye on Harvey next week if you're in the western GOM region.

Yep. I'm expecting the 0z Euro to shift north tonight as well. Texas definitely needs to keep a close eye on Harvey.

[hd44]

This looks Texas bound.