ATL: FRANKLIN - Remnants - Discussion

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Alyono
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1041 Postby Alyono » Wed Aug 09, 2017 12:54 pm

if it keeps intensifying at its current rate, probably around 975-970mb at landfall. Could be similar to Gert
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1042 Postby otowntiger » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:Nope - still a tropical storm. Recon could not find any hurricane-force winds at the surface.
Not a hurricane yet????!!???

Season cancel.


:P
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1043 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:11 pm

Alyono wrote:if it keeps intensifying at its current rate, probably around 975-970mb at landfall. Could be similar to Gert


It's wrapping up pretty nicely now. And with 12 hours to go, I guess 970mb isn't as remote as I thought. It's the absolute low end though short of a stall which doesn't look likely.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1044 Postby Sanibel » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:16 pm

Tightening up...Going for it no doubt...


Dry air mixed out...Hazy eye becoming apparent...
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1045 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:34 pm

Strongest towers to date now firing off as depicted by the cold tops in yellow.

Image
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1046 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:46 pm

Right on schedule with COAMPS forecasting a spike in Latent Heat / Enthalpy flux - impressive to say the least.
Looks like those towers are very hot and clearing out an eye.
COAMPS even called out the correct position relative to the CoC.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1047 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:49 pm

Big improvement in 500mb vort.

Image
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1048 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:54 pm

Core heating up quickly

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1049 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:56 pm

18z models ran on Franklin as a 65 knot hurricane.

Location: 20.1°N 94.4°W
Maximum Winds: 65 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 984 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 150 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 30 NM
Eye Diameter: N/A
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1050 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:00 pm

Image
Looks like Franklin may be opening his eye... N Atlantic and BOC may become the new MDR, J/K... :D
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1051 Postby Dave C » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:03 pm

Right on the 20 latitude line. Josh Morgerman may have better action with this than the Japan typhoon he just chased. :D :D
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Models

#1052 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:04 pm

Models still trying to cross Franklin over into the EPac..

Image
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1053 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:12 pm

Awesome depiction of how those towers fired off in a line and then spun up the eye.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... mmb-slider
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Models

#1054 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:15 pm

If I lived in that part of Mexico, I'd be preparing for a major hurricane. Heck I wouldn't entirely be shocked if it became a cat 4...although that may be pushing it, stranger things have happened.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1055 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:19 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1056 Postby cainjamin » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:19 pm

Any idea when Recon is heading in again?
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1057 Postby ColdMiser123 » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:24 pm

Safe to say that the upgrade is coming at 5 PM.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1058 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:26 pm

Hurricane Franklin certainly appears to be continuing to strengthen. Here's an image from CIRA's SLIDER where band 13 is overlaid onto band 2. Pretty cool.

Image
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1059 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:37 pm

The Rammb page is listing this as Hurricane Franklin
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... r=AL072017
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1060 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:40 pm

Image
Landfalling hurricane history for this area... Frank seems to be on a Hurricane Janet type track...
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